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Disliked{quote} when will you comeback again? can you do probabilistic based on this below thread.. i will give conditions if you wish.. thanks https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...4#post13115664Ignored

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- Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Error 404: LuXing not found | 1,572 Posts

Based on my screenshot below, am I correct in assuming the following ?

Out of 70 days, at some stage 52 times price closed between 50% and 60% of the 5 day ADR (=MinThresholdHit).

Of those 52 ocurrences, price traveled to and hit the MaxThreshold (60% of the 5 day ADR) 32 times.

In 37 cases, price first closed between 50% and 60% of the 5 day ADR, to hit

Just trying to get my head around this before running extensive tests.

Thanks in advance for clarifying.

LuXing

Wisdom begins in wonder

Disliked{quote} Based on my screenshot below, am I correct in assuming the following ? Out of 70 days, at some stage 52 times price closed between 50% and 60% of the 5 day ADR (=MinThresholdHit). Of those 52 ocurrences, price traveled to and hit the MaxThreshold (60% of the 5 day ADR) 32 times. In 37 cases, price first closed between 50% and 60% of the 5 day ADR, to hit 40% (OppositeHit ?) Just trying to get my head around this before running extensive tests. Thanks in advance for clarifying. {image} LuXingIgnored

So it was checking whichever touched first at candle close

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- Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Error 404: LuXing not found | 1,572 Posts

Disliked{quote} That is correct. Without touching the opposite it reached to MAX treshold only 32 times. So it was checking whichever touched first at candle closeIgnored

I am especially interested in knowing if "OppositHit" in the case of the screenshot was the 0.40% boundary.

i.e. Min threshold in the indi was set to 0.50, max threshold to 0.60, would opposite in this case be the same distance as between 0.5 and 0.6,

Another question, 70 days is statistically not very significant. My trading platform has M5 candles from begin May 2020, is there any way to up the number of days ?

LuXing

Wisdom begins in wonder

Disliked{quote} Thanks for your quick reply. I am especially interested in knowing if "OppositHit" in the case of the screenshot was the 0.40% boundary. i.e. Min threshold in the indi was set to 0.50, max threshold to 0.60, would opposite in this case be the same distance as between 0.5 and 0.6, 0.40 ? Another question, 70 days is statistically not very significant. My trading platform has M5 candles from begin May 2020, is there any way to up the number of days ? LuXingIgnored

In the code i made it to check based on your bar amount on the chart. So 70 days means. Out of your all history it found only 70 cases where it matched up your rule.

If you enter 0.10 and 0.90 close probably you will have more cases.

As your trigger treshold zone very tight.

So that 70 days might found out of 300 days. Means only 70 days have found your trigger based on your rule. Have to go now , but will be back thanks for the interest.

Im not going to beg anyone to make money for them

Hi Quants! Thank you for very interesting thread!

Could you please say %80 of what? For example 1 have 1m chart, then 80% of previous day? Or what? Sorry for noob questions )

Disliked{quote} When the price hit %80 of the day it have tendency to stop. Why do i say that ? Not because of the probabilities but the psychology. There is only %20 room left for profit while it can reverse back all the way down. So its not wise, most of the time you can see it will slow down at those points. I like Nested zones to place trades. {image}Ignored

greed and fear

DislikedHi Quants! Thank you for very interesting thread! {quote} Could you please say %80 of what? For example 1 have 1m chart, then 80% of previous day? Or what? Sorry for noob questions )Ignored

If candle moves in average of 100 pips per day. When 80 pips is reached it have tendency to stop.

Im not going to beg anyone to make money for them

Disliked{quote} HI emonts, just an idea, try to use sequence number for calculation next move of the candles. there should be 2 pullback and 1 projection. the seq number is a number added from previous number starting from 0 and 1 0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144,233,377 calculation for every candle can be made using small number for example: if you choose 13...number 8 and 5 become pullback/retrace and number 21 become next projection. (1st cycle) next if price breaks projection number 21 next number will be 34 or 55 if price stop at 55 and do pullback/retrace...Ignored

how do you calulcate your horizontale line based on sequence of fibonacci ? to get it on chart and after definite swing based on them ?

thx

- Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 1,487 Posts

Hi Quants, very good thread here, are you still open on requests?

If, then how many pips does the 4th 4 hour candle travel after its opening every day until it gets back to its opening again and after 10 pips move threshold.

Do you think you can code this?

If, then how many pips does the 4th 4 hour candle travel after its opening every day until it gets back to its opening again and after 10 pips move threshold.

Do you think you can code this?

Feels right this time!

Disliked{quote} %80 of the daily average. If candle moves in average of 100 pips per day. When 80 pips is reached it have tendency to stop.Ignored

Could you please calculate the probability

Daily open is zero.

What is the probability if MA(50 for example) cross zero +0.25% and then cross +0.75% and same

if MA cross cross -0.25% and then -0.75%

If you can create this for 5 steps for example 0.25-0.5-0.75-1-1.25 (with an ability to change steps) and stats like this

0.25 - 0.5 = 85%

0.5 - 0.75 = 74%

0.75 - 1 = 43%

1 - 1.25 = 12%

--

-0.25 - -0.5 = 86%

... so just ma settings, steps and days back.

Attached Image

Thanks!

greed and fear

Here is the new bomb.

Once EURGBP H4 Candle breaks the higher low or Lower high

It have %90 probability that it will take out the high of the lower high breakout candle

It have %87 probability that it will take out the low of the higher low breakout candle

LOL

Once EURGBP H4 Candle breaks the higher low or Lower high

It have %90 probability that it will take out the high of the lower high breakout candle

It have %87 probability that it will take out the low of the higher low breakout candle

LOL

Im not going to beg anyone to make money for them

1

DislikedHere is the new bomb. Once EURGBP H4 Candle breaks the higher low or Lower high It have %90 probability that it will take out the high of the lower high breakout candle It have %87 probability that it will take out the low of the higher low breakout candle LOL {image}Ignored

The sweet part is here.

If we go to USDCAD H4 And take Higher Low and Lower High levels.

And confirm the breakout at lower timeFrame which is M5.

Then we will see those candles high and lows was taken %100 of the time.

High for LowerHigh break

Low for Higher low break

I may add a future to check , If candles high or low was taken with atleast X pip. Without giving X pip back. So this would give me create my whole strategy with non subjective Takeprofit and stoploss

If we go to USDCAD H4 And take Higher Low and Lower High levels.

And confirm the breakout at lower timeFrame which is M5.

Then we will see those candles high and lows was taken %100 of the time.

High for LowerHigh break

Low for Higher low break

I may add a future to check , If candles high or low was taken with atleast X pip. Without giving X pip back. So this would give me create my whole strategy with non subjective Takeprofit and stoploss

Im not going to beg anyone to make money for them