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EURUSD

  • #985,301
  • Apr 28, 2015 1:23pm Apr 28, 2015 1:23pm
EUR/USD finally reached the resistance at 1.1000. The question is now whether it will be able to break above it or whether it will form candlesticks that indicate a new move to the downside. I, personally, think that it will probably break above the resistance and reach at least 1.1050.
  • #985,302
  • Apr 28, 2015 1:24pm Apr 28, 2015 1:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} put a sock in it.. u said the same thing as it dropped 500 + pips. and like many others climbing out the woodwork, were silent near lows.
Yes true. I guess it was the irrational exuberance (if i may borrow such a stupid term). Ill go hide in a hole now...
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #985,303
  • Apr 28, 2015 1:24pm Apr 28, 2015 1:24pm
Quoting Neqrotik
The fact that everyone insists on being short E/U and didn't even see a move of this size coming makes me question the entire use of this thread. Including Mr. UJ long who I was telling him for weeks it was bearish. Oh wait...i forgot...he looks at yearly charts.
yeah they will be calling short until 1.40, then start calling long
  • #985,304
  • Apr 28, 2015 1:32pm Apr 28, 2015 1:32pm
EUR/USD had a nice break over 1.090 and target 1.100.
  • #985,305
  • Apr 28, 2015 1:52pm Apr 28, 2015 1:52pm
Quoting mkvy
{quote} yeah they will be calling short until 1.40, then start calling long
hey you still trade with oscilloscope? how accurate is your scope in predicting up or down?

Quoting mkvy
{quote} 2 taps and a break is not enough, more likely 3 taps and a big move up? {image}
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #985,306
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:03pm Apr 28, 2015 2:03pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} True that and Amen.
let them break it. or go to 1.03.. talking about breaking it, wont break it. since ecb started buying. 118 billion printed using 60 billion per month average (2 b per day, just a guess). if they want to break it. it will be broken.. if not, its cheaper at the highs with a smaller risk cost.
i seem to recall the u.s. printing 600 billion as a big deal..starting somewhere in nov 2008 and lasting 6 years 2014. i wonder what 1080 billion will do in 18 months. i really dont know the answer, i dont know what news will bring. i seriously doubt anyone else does either. if anyone does know. i wouldn't mind shining their shoes. they better know the answer beforehand on the whether subject and the long beach subject slowing or not slowing u.s. economy.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #985,307
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:17pm Apr 28, 2015 2:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} let them break it. or go to 1.03.. talking about breaking it, wont break it. since ecb started buying. 118 billion printed using 60 billion per month average (2 b per day, just a guess). if they want to break it. it will be broken.. if not, its cheaper at the highs with a smaller risk cost. i seem to recall the u.s. printing 600 billion as a big deal..starting somewhere in nov 2008 and lasting 6 years 2014. i wonder what 1080 billion will do in 18 months. i really dont know the answer, i dont know what news will bring. i seriously doubt...
PREACH

Looking up chinese proverbs for fun instead of doing my job

Quote
This one makes a net,
That one stands and wishes;
Would you like to bet
Which one gets the fishes?
Attached Image
  • #985,308
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:23pm Apr 28, 2015 2:23pm
Pending BUY EU at 1.09654 Triggered SL 1.09624 (Small one, Just Experimenting)
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #985,309
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:23pm Apr 28, 2015 2:23pm
http://imagizer.imageshack.us/v2/280...0/534/xysn.jpg
Stop going for the easy buck
  • #985,310
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:24pm Apr 28, 2015 2:24pm
Quoting ill_be_back
Pending BUY EU at 1.09654 Triggered SL 1.09624 (Small one, Just Experimenting)
Too tight man.
Stop going for the easy buck
  • #985,311
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:27pm Apr 28, 2015 2:27pm
inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy;
Usual EffectActual > Forecast = Good for currency;
FrequencyReleased quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends;
Next ReleaseJul 30, 2015
FF NotesWhile this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart – Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;
Why Traders
CareIt's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health;
Also CalledGDP First Release, Estimated GDP;
Acro ExpandGross Domestic Product (GDP);
HistoryActualForecastPrevious
Jan 30, 20152.6%3.0%5.0%
Oct 30, 20143.5%3.1%4.6%
Jul 30, 20144.0%3.1%-2.9%
Apr 30, 20140.1%1.2%2.6%
Jan 30, 20143.2%3.3%4.1%
Nov 7, 20132.8%2.0%2.5%
Jul 31, 20131.7%1.1%1.8%
Apr 26, 20132.5%3.1%0.4%
Jan 30, 2013-0.1%1.1%3.1%
Oct 26, 20122.0%1.9%1.3%
Jul 27, 20121.5%1.5%1.9%
Apr 27, 20122.2%2.6%3.0%
Jan 27, 20122.8%3.0%1.8%
Oct 27, 20112.5%2.4%1.3%
Jul 29, 20111.3%1.7%1.9%
Apr 28, 20111.8%1.9%3.1%
Jan 28, 20113.2%3.5%2.6%
Oct 29, 20102.0%2.1%1.7%
Jul 30, 20102.4%2.5%2.7%
Apr 30, 20103.2%3.4%5.6%
Jan 29, 20105.7%4.5%2.2%
Oct 29, 20093.5%3.2%-0.7%
Jul 31, 2009-1.0%-1.4%-5.5%
Apr 29, 2009-6.1%-4.8%-6.3%
Jan 30, 2009-3.8%-5.4%-0.5%
Oct 30, 2008-0.3%-0.5%2.8%
Jul 31, 20081.9%2.2%1.0%
Apr 30, 20080.6%0.2%0.6%

if one looks here at just the april reports. u will see all are red except 2008. if u look back over many decades its about the same. the first 1/4 for some reason maybe due to reporting is most times red.. its rare to have a green one in this pattern. the likely color tomorrow is red. it dont always make the usd weaker. lately news has caused the usd to weaken, even good news. its not a certainty, things may change. from this i may get a chance to get in near highs.. fomc 5.5 hours after.. the month end the next day.. beware of bumps..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #985,312
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:27pm Apr 28, 2015 2:27pm
Quoting Neqrotik
The fact that everyone insists on being short E/U and didn't even see a move of this size coming makes me question the entire use of this thread. Including Mr. UJ long who I was telling him for weeks it was bearish. Oh wait...i forgot...he looks at yearly charts.
red:...not everyone,.. the majority maybe, not me... the behavior at 560-620 was not clear to me, and i told it a lot of times... what did you do when i was alone defending my cause the whole week posting all of this?...
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} the critical point is the support line at 560, below it's a graveyard for bears...the 620 is nearly nothing...good week end... {image}
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} a reverse can take some time...the friday evening not really a good reverse time...
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} y...i see this...the shorters are hoping for the whole thing won't explode. {image}
simply by reacting to those posts any listener could have made over 400pips, by simply holding a single long position...
gator didn't trusted me, and pointed 1.0390... pharmor only care about the monthly close, he will never go long...
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} I'm bearish until bulls prove they can close the month with no LL and ABOVE the M open. So far all has happened as predicted....but unless there's follow-through...doesnt matter...
black: if the thread is useless then why join it?...
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #985,313
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:28pm Apr 28, 2015 2:28pm
twitter dropped like a rock
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #985,314
  • Edited 2:43pm Apr 28, 2015 2:32pm | Edited 2:43pm
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} red:...not everyone,.. the majority maybe, not me... the behavior at 560-620 was not clear to me, and i told it a lot of times... what did you do when i was alone defending my cause the whole week posting all of this?... {quote} {quote} {quote} simply by reacting to those posts any listener could have made over 400pips, by simply holding a single long position... gator didn't trusted me, and pointed 1.0390... pharmor only care about the monthly close, he will never go long... {quote} black: if the thread is useless then why join it?......
5 more posts up dip-shit. <---don't take that as an insult.

Quote
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} If .07xx is taken with closes, I'm shopping for Longs the rest of the month, and if this M closes green, for probably most of the summer. We've gotten the "most times" monthly retest, now it's up to bulls to finish strong. all about timing.. .10xx is another important one, but that brings the green monthly

Two or 3 weeks ago, 450 pips ago...with chart

Quoting Pharm0r
Traditionally, we retest the low of a long wicked monthly before trend reversal.....we are approaching now in about 80 pips or so. 1.06389 / 1.05676 / 1.04963 / 1.04616 (low) are important numbers to bulls to solidify a monthly reversal. Bounces/closes from are bullish, closes below are bearish. The higher the TF, the better. +- a few pips for slip/brokers Been saying it all month- in my opinion those # are the last chance for bulls before parity (and below)- a short 700 pips away. The timing of this retest is right for the reversal if you're a bull, the risk is @ those numbers, bounces off them followed by HH closes should be taken seriously on H4 or above. A monthly LL should be enough to kill any bulls left, but even then- a close is needed. I'm not bullish {image}
Attached chart for this month...been an ugly one. most of those were stopped BE +1 on the short side. All EU except for 2 in UCAD today.
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  • #985,315
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:37pm Apr 28, 2015 2:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
twitter dropped like a rock
they halted the trading already
  • #985,316
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:37pm Apr 28, 2015 2:37pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} 5 more posts up dip-shit. {quote}{quote} Two or 3 weeks ago, 450 pips ago...with chart {quote}
PH.... why feel the need too respond to the bell end........ anyone remotely interested recalls what you had stated.... keep on, it's more than usefull thanks.....
All My Opinions, Are Just That, My Opinion!!!
  • #985,317
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:41pm Apr 28, 2015 2:41pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} 5 more posts up dip-shit. {quote}{quote} Two or 3 weeks ago, 450 pips ago...with chart {quote}
so you longed it too at 520 levels?...the last time you posted was against my view...and it is clear that you wait for the month close to be *convinced to go long*...looks like you removed your post where you told with the word <<to convince me the bulls must etc...>>...wow...
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #985,318
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:45pm Apr 28, 2015 2:45pm
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} red:...not everyone,.. the majority maybe, not me... the behavior at 560-620 was not clear to me, and i told it a lot of times... what did you do when i was alone defending my cause the whole week posting all of this?... {quote} {quote} {quote} simply by reacting to those posts any listener could have made over 400pips, by simply holding a single long position... gator didn't trusted me, and pointed 1.0390... pharmor only care about the monthly close, he will never go long... {quote} black: if the thread is useless then why join it?......
man my plan was posted long before it went to 0520.. i also told those with a long bias near 0474 was their best r/r for a long. the same as atm near 1.105x is the best r/r for a short. u on the other hand will say this after we move a hundreds of pips.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #985,319
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:47pm Apr 28, 2015 2:47pm
Quoting darimik
{quote} they halted the trading already
bid 38.. ask 43
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #985,320
  • Apr 28, 2015 2:51pm Apr 28, 2015 2:51pm
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} so you longed it too at 520 levels?...the last time you posted was against my view...and it is clear that you wait for the month close to be *convinced to go long*...looks like you removed your post where you told with the word <<to convince me the bulls etc...>>...wow...
Two I found quickly- just for you sweet cheeks. When I was building positions at the bottom, right after I shorted for 400 pips. There's 13 others somewhere in the list. I don't lie, or deceive. That's all that needs to be discussed on it. Both of those numbers are right where I said I'd put them +- a few pips.

Still bearish until price proves otherwise, and I expect it to prove otherwise. Aint over till the fat lady sings.
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