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  • #977,361
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:43pm Apr 3, 2015 3:43pm
I agree G ,I hope for pull back I really do ,let this develop further


Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i cant L into 1.1068 for any reason... atm,, at near 07xx maybe..
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #977,362
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:06pm Apr 3, 2015 4:06pm
Quoting Patient1
{quote} This one just might be the best one to watch right now. Weak us data, and a rate cut just about fully priced in. If they shoot all of their bullets on mon, a rate cut in the future would be unlikely. So a retest of the lows .7533 and then a weekly close up above could be a nice r/r trade set up. If they do not cut, aud will pop and then come back down later in the month as may rate cut chance would loom (so long the us dollar doesn't fall apart). The latter seems more likely as RBA wants a lower currency and the idea of a rate cut encourages...
I like your analysis. But, market always come with surprises. So, may not happen the where the picture is painted.
  • #977,363
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:09pm Apr 3, 2015 4:09pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} We heard the same here, and around 1.6 i think- I dunno. It all runs together now {image}

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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #977,364
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:16pm Apr 3, 2015 4:16pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} We heard the same here, and around 1.6 i think- I dunno. It all runs together now {image}
it is different

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #977,365
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:28pm Apr 3, 2015 4:28pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} it is different {image}
You're correct. But there is no HH. It isnt broken until it's broken.

No HH, but there is a LL. Same as the other. No since in arguing it as we'll both go in circles.

Good luck- atm I'm winning. And sl is be- so even if I'm wrong I'm right.

Don't take this as offense, none is meant
  • #977,366
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:35pm Apr 3, 2015 4:35pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} You're correct. But there is no HH. It isnt broken until it's broken. No HH, but there is a LL. Same as the other.
need to see how next week candle turns out. It either breaks out up next week or goes below the dotted red line.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #977,367
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:39pm Apr 3, 2015 4:39pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} You're correct. But there is no HH. It isnt broken until it's broken. No HH, but there is a LL. Same as the other. No since in arguing it as we'll both go in circles. Good luck- atm I'm winning. And sl is be- so even if I'm wrong I'm right. Don't take this as offense, none is meant
No offense is taken. It is discussion.

You have a stop loss, that will protect you and it does not matter to be wrong.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #977,368
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:39pm Apr 3, 2015 4:39pm
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Pretty sure from 1.39.... Here's a guy that shows all the right qualities of an excellent trader, and I rarely see anyone asking him for advice. Not saying people should ask "is the euro a buy or a sell here" , but what type of habits he has, what is he thinking about when making a trade, what does he risk, etc. And I know you're not looking for a herd to follow you, Ken. It just amazes me how ignorant people are and how a trader like yourself is taken for granted on here.
He's not. Read his past posts- very interesting journey to say the least
  • #977,369
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:41pm Apr 3, 2015 4:41pm
you are right to be cautious and I don't disregard the pattern repeat completely ,the last pattern you can see what eur was up against ,
I look through all eur charts to me sideways at least for mo
right now Ill stay bullish eu ,


Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} You're correct. But there is no HH. It isnt broken until it's broken. No HH, but there is a LL. Same as the other. No since in arguing it as we'll both go in circles. Good luck- atm I'm winning. And sl is be- so even if I'm wrong I'm right. Don't take this as offense, none is meant
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #977,370
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:45pm Apr 3, 2015 4:45pm
Quoting Bones
you are right to be cautious and I don't disregard the pattern repeat completely ,the last pattern you can see what eur was up against , I look through all eur charts to me sideways at least for mo right now Ill stay bullish eu , {quote} {image}
hey bones, do you get LFX data from your broker?
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #977,371
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:46pm Apr 3, 2015 4:46pm
no I use demo lite forex ,eur gbp is very clear ,monthly
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #977,372
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:49pm Apr 3, 2015 4:49pm
Quoting Bones
no I use demo lite forex ,eur gbp is very clear ,monthly {image}
yup

Quoting ffleo
{quote} and I like EG to move the following way: {image}
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #977,373
  • Edited 5:06pm Apr 3, 2015 4:55pm | Edited 5:06pm
Quoting Bones
no I use demo lite forex ,eur gbp is very clear ,monthly {image}
but 0.74 seems to be the next hurdle.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #977,374
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:56pm Apr 3, 2015 4:56pm
Quoting Bones
no I use demo lite forex ,eur gbp is very clear ,monthly {image}
You still here? Our date for Saturday is definitely off now.

Structure and reaction gives it credence, I see higher above.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #977,375
  • Apr 3, 2015 7:14pm Apr 3, 2015 7:14pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} yup {quote} {image}
hello, ffleo. What's the name of the indicator on the right side of the chart? The one that looks like volume rotated by 90 degrees.
Thanks in advance.
  • #977,376
  • Apr 3, 2015 7:24pm Apr 3, 2015 7:24pm
Quoting matsci
{quote} hello, ffleo. What's the name of the indicator on the right side of the chart? The one that looks like volume rotated by 90 degrees. Thanks in advance.
That's not an indicator my friend, it's a map of North American continent with Native/First Nation territories and weed growing areas.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #977,377
  • Apr 3, 2015 9:05pm Apr 3, 2015 9:05pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} That's not an indicator my friend, it's a map of North American continent with Native/First Nation territories and weed growing areas.
  • #977,378
  • Apr 3, 2015 9:49pm Apr 3, 2015 9:49pm
Okay, that xe.com site that has live exchange rates... how does that correlate to Forex prices? I thought they were linked, but where is that site getting their numbers from if all the markets are now closed? I'm asking because there's a huge difference between the close (somewhere around 1.0960) and the quote now on that site (as of right now, 1.0894).
  • #977,379
  • Apr 3, 2015 10:15pm Apr 3, 2015 10:15pm
Quoting Ratmach
Okay, that xe.com site that has live exchange rates... how does that correlate to Forex prices? I thought they were linked, but where is that site getting their numbers from if all the markets are now closed? I'm asking because there's a huge difference between the close (somewhere around 1.0960) and the quote now on that site (as of right now, 1.0894).
forex market actually never closes. its an OTC market so brokers somewhere may still be operating on holidays where there is demand there is supply...
liquidity on holidays are a matter though....
you need to understand. when NFP came out disappointing... it was only US online to push the EURUSD up... but there are plenty markets out there who wants to sell that move up...

as i said countless times. if EURUSD actually fails to break above 1.1 on such a bad NFP data then this is surely not a good sign for bulls.
moreover march NFP came out bad due to adverse weather in the US. so its not surprising data was bad on jobs added...
but a lot of people are unaware of something.....

FED is now looking at Wage Growth (inflation) and also Unemployment Rate. as primary indicators for rate hike.
yes the NFP data was bad. theres less jobs added in March. but unemployment rate did not tick up because of that..... which would suggests a good NFP number for the month of april releases in May. if that numbers comes out better, the likelyhood of unemployment rate to drop is very likely... which adds to the fuel of FED having to hike rates...

This NFP does not delay the fed's forcast of June-September, with higher likelyhood of September.

ANother thing... There is Wage Growth... Fed has been stressing the importance of that to spur inflation.... so thats a good sign.

either way. do not be bullish just yet. if 1.1 holds this remains bearish. with parity in sight.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #977,380
  • Apr 3, 2015 10:37pm Apr 3, 2015 10:37pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} forex market actually never closes.... do not be bullish just yet. if 1.1 holds this remains bearish. with parity in sight.
Thanks a lot. And you went way beyond just answering my dumb question... and I really appreciate it. Because actually, that was my main reason for asking. I mean, that the numbers on that exchange rate site seem to be telling a story that might not be in line with what a lot of people were saying here late today. Of course there's a lot of time between now and Sunday afternoon, so who knows what things will look like by then, but when I heard a couple people suggesting there might be a big gap UP come the open, I was thinking to myself just the opposite. In other words, no, you don't have to worry about me being bullish right now... in fact I agree with you that it's looking more bearish than anything else.
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