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  • #961,081
  • Feb 18, 2015 7:53am Feb 18, 2015 7:53am
Did someone break Canada in the last 24 hours? Positive Cad, neg. US news and still CAD (UCad) can't find its legs....
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #961,082
  • Feb 18, 2015 7:56am Feb 18, 2015 7:56am
We see the firgures from the US is worsening. The currency is getting too high while the figures in Europe aret starting to improve. Still the USD will continiue to rise to to the safe heaven currency
  • #961,083
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:01am Feb 18, 2015 8:01am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yy, UJ stuck unfortunately, but coz of USD move. Yen is a clear sell and Geppy confirms. Cable + Geppy - was nice combo.
1624 seems wanted.. others further
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #961,084
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:04am Feb 18, 2015 8:04am
Quoting MarianneOslo
We see the firgures from the US is worsening. The currency is getting too high while the figures in Europe aret starting to improve. Still the USD will continiue to rise to to the safe heaven currency
its about supply..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #961,085
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:09am Feb 18, 2015 8:09am
Quoting sgkrishn
Nice swing before news
Yep near perfect text book.. into original support now resistance mid range...
  • #961,086
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:15am Feb 18, 2015 8:15am
Quoting MarianneOslo
We see the firgures from the US is worsening.
really ???? ....didn't we have the best NFP numbers in recent history only a week and half ago?, didn't we have overshoot in GDP expectations by a mile in the last 3 quarters? didnt we start printing positive wage gains for the first time since the financial crisis? don't we have consumers confidence in average as high as pre recession levels? , aren't we trading all time highs in equities in almost every single sector (except energy)? ...

I strongly disagree with your view about the US worsening.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #961,087
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:19am Feb 18, 2015 8:19am
Once again Sisse and Gatorlina, thanks for your continued analysis and contribution, has helped my trading personally no end.

Reluctant to drop any shorts in at the moment, at this level, though did well out of the run up too 1450+ and fall back too 1360 a few hours back.

scouse.
All My Opinions, Are Just That, My Opinion!!!
  • #961,088
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:28am Feb 18, 2015 8:28am
EURUSD will be stalled until FED minutes or any decision regarding Greece is taken
  • #961,089
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:30am Feb 18, 2015 8:30am
...as suspected 1.138x for NY opening.... Again and for the 100s time these last few days. 1.138x only level to track for the opening range. Failure to break down that level with today's roll will make bears very very very weak ....

GL all

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #961,090
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:32am Feb 18, 2015 8:32am
In a few hours FOMC.

I know one thing every time see speaks we go down.

We will see.
  • #961,091
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:33am Feb 18, 2015 8:33am
Quoting sisse
{quote} really ???? ....didn't we have the best NFP numbers in recent history only a week and half ago?, didn't we have overshoot in GDP expectations by a mile in the last 3 quarters? didnt we start printing positive wage gains for the first time since the financial crisis? don't we have consumers confidence in average as high as pre recession levels? , aren't we trading all time highs in equities in almost every single sector (except energy)? ... I strongly disagree with your view about the US worsening. sisse
Forrest for the trees...
  • #961,092
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:34am Feb 18, 2015 8:34am
So many bad data and EU dont have power to go up, so its only one way...
Trust only yourself
  • #961,093
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:37am Feb 18, 2015 8:37am
Quoting sisse
{quote} really ???? ....didn't we have the best NFP numbers in recent history only a week and half ago?, didn't we have overshoot in GDP expectations by a mile in the last 3 quarters? didnt we start printing positive wage gains for the first time since the financial crisis? don't we have consumers confidence in average as high as pre recession levels? , aren't we trading all time highs in equities in almost every single sector (except energy)? ... I strongly disagree with your view about the US worsening. sisse
The figures coming out from the fourth quarter have been worse than other three quarters. WE had the NFP numbers a week ago which showd as you said looked good.
Not everyone agrees abouth how this figures are presented in the US. Firstly they are not counting people that have been out from the labour marked for a long time they are not considered as applicants. In addition the figures does not show all the part time workers who are counted as one

There’s another reason why the official rate is misleading. Say you’re an out-of-work engineer or healthcare worker or construction worker or retail manager: If you perform a minimum of one hour of work in a week and are paid at least $20 — maybe someone pays you to mow their lawn — you’re not officially counted as unemployed in the much-reported 5.6%. Few Americans know this.
Yet another figure of importance that doesn’t get much press: those working part time but wanting full-time work. If you have a degree in chemistry or math and are working 10 hours part time because it is all you can find — in other words, you are severely underemployed — the government doesn’t count you in the 5.6%.

WE see also that the inflation is declining
  • #961,094
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:40am Feb 18, 2015 8:40am
Quoting MarianneOslo
{quote} The figures coming out from the fourth quarter have been worse than other three quarters. WE had the NFP numbers a week ago which showd as you said looked good. Not everyone agrees abouth how this figures are presented in the US. Firstly they are not counting people that have been out from the labour marked for a long time they are not considered as applicants. In addition the figures does not show all the part time workers who are counted as one Theres another reason why the official rate is misleading. Say youre an out-of-work engineer...
How does one count unemployed people mowing lawns for $20?

Do I take my $20 bill and go to the employment agency so that they can put me on the list of employed? Would you report that on your monthly work report (or whatever the time-frame is now) for unemployment benefits?

Why would the government count you in the unemployment if you are severely underemployed? How many people hold worthless degrees and/or choose jobs doing other things? Do you hire an Engineer whom could be directly linked to a building structural failure? Why not? He has the degree....so what if he's an idiot. What about a doctor convicted of malpractice? Employment is employment is employment. Not everyone deserves the job they have, whether better or worse. Some people deserve exactly what they have. Why would the govt split hairs either way?
  • #961,095
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:41am Feb 18, 2015 8:41am
Quoting 3Davy
In a few hours FOMC. I know one thing every time see speaks we go down. We will see.
idk...every time i see this blue colored news on the table, we do double spike, and maybe S/R break....idk about logic break...
Quoting sisse
{quote} really ???? ....didn't we have the best NFP numbers in recent history only a week and half ago?, didn't we have overshoot in GDP expectations by a mile in the last 3 quarters? didnt we start printing positive wage gains for the first time since the financial crisis? don't we have consumers confidence in average as high as pre recession levels? , aren't we trading all time highs in equities in almost every single sector (except energy)? ... I strongly disagree with your view about the US worsening. sisse
she probably care about this(red colored thing) persisting bad US datas...good NFP alone doesn't make a healthy country, the NFP data can be fake (part-time workers fake jobs...)...consumer confidence depend of the population choosen for the test... this thing just follow the last US GDP who was bad too...
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DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #961,096
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:44am Feb 18, 2015 8:44am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} How does one count unemployed people mowing lawns for $20? Do I take my $20 bill and go to the employment agency so that they can put me on the list of employed? Would you report that on your monthly work report (or whatever the time-frame is now) for unemployment benefits?

They report the parttime employed as full time employed which gives a wrong picture that is the main point

and the inflation

http://blogs.reuters.com/macroscope/...alling-prices/
  • #961,097
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:45am Feb 18, 2015 8:45am
Having no trades open before FOMC, I already feel like I am making money. Asia will be easy money, once FOMC burns all the overconfident ones.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #961,098
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:50am Feb 18, 2015 8:50am
In practice beyond 1533 is out of reach of FOMC. Providing Yellen doesnt come out and proclaim Draghi the EU God and the Dollar toilet paper.
  • #961,099
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:51am Feb 18, 2015 8:51am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Forrest for the trees...
Please clarify
  • #961,100
  • Feb 18, 2015 8:51am Feb 18, 2015 8:51am
Quoting sisse
{quote} really ???? ....didn't we have the best NFP numbers in recent history only a week and half ago?, didn't we have overshoot in GDP expectations by a mile in the last 3 quarters? didnt we start printing positive wage gains for the first time since the financial crisis? don't we have consumers confidence in average as high as pre recession levels? , aren't we trading all time highs in equities in almost every single sector (except energy)? ... I strongly disagree with your view about the US worsening. sisse
NFP.....how about other numbers, red all along last few months for US data?
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