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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #408,441
  • Feb 12, 2015 2:21pm Feb 12, 2015 2:21pm
Quoting navk
{quote} Surprisingly after 2 pm, spike ?
Might be Fat fingers in action, 200 pips since Inflation report and they quoted that Inflation is far away from BOE's Target ???
  • #408,442
  • Feb 12, 2015 2:30pm Feb 12, 2015 2:30pm
Quoting moonshot
{quote} Exactly my view on the Cable. I have a strong conviction that 1.5000 will be achieved next week. However, below that am not sure. Also today GBP/USD breached 1.53 and looks also to test 1.54, but with the Stoch RSI and CCI well above 80 and 200 respectively, this indicates that something is being overdone, and it is only a matter of time before the market corrects this mismatch. {image}
what makes you say that it will drop to 150? what is the highest point you think it will touch?
  • #408,443
  • Feb 12, 2015 2:31pm Feb 12, 2015 2:31pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Hi guys, am not investing much here, as not focusing on GBP and long term am bearish due to Carney on the wheel, but think ECB action could cause some flow into GBP, as apart is boost for EU stox and Dax, Brittains could well profit as well and are the most long term stable currency surrounding EMU apart from CHF which is out of question now. So think we could correct here above 1,52, not calling reversal, but think we could have a nice bounce. Will appreciate thoughts, am really not much into GBP. T
Dunno. Also watch Oil and SaP500. Both going north. Think is most USD move now.
+ ofc todays staments bout cutting on QE...
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #408,444
  • Feb 12, 2015 2:37pm Feb 12, 2015 2:37pm
might only get back to 5389/68/43/32
  • #408,445
  • Feb 12, 2015 2:37pm Feb 12, 2015 2:37pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Dunno. Also watch Oil and SaP500. Both going north. Think is most USD move now. + ofc todays staments bout cutting on QE...
sorry but what do you mean?
  • #408,446
  • Feb 12, 2015 2:41pm Feb 12, 2015 2:41pm
Quoting danndc
{quote} sorry but what do you mean?
Standard and Poors 500 index trying to break highs. Not saying it is gonna break, those guys are nuts, but are dangerous levels. And also Oil is bouncing. So heavy affect on USD flow.

And news around west today had a race in quoting various fellas mentioning Brittains and Japans may stop with monetary expansion. Could be rumour, doesnt have to be, I dont know. But seems people think they may hike rates a bit.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #408,447
  • Feb 12, 2015 2:51pm Feb 12, 2015 2:51pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Standard and Poors 500 index trying to break highs. Not saying it is gonna break, those guys are nuts, but are dangerous levels. And also Oil is bouncing. So heavy affect on USD flow. And news around west today had a race in quoting various fellas mentioning Brittains and Japans may stop with monetary expansion. Could be rumour, doesnt have to be, I dont know. But seems people think they may hike rates a bit.
so are you going to be short or long? sorry for the question
  • #408,448
  • Feb 12, 2015 2:55pm Feb 12, 2015 2:55pm
Quoting danndc
{quote} so are you going to be short or long? sorry for the question
Yes, is kinda sorry question. US stocks up, Oil up = USD down. Silly crowd thinks BoE will hike rates = GBP buy. So yes, am long, but a) Market isnt working that simple and can do anything anytime b) cmon man...
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #408,449
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:03pm Feb 12, 2015 3:03pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Standard and Poors 500 index trying to break highs. Not saying it is gonna break, those guys are nuts, but are dangerous levels. And also Oil is bouncing. So heavy affect on USD flow. And news around west today had a race in quoting various fellas mentioning Brittains and Japans may stop with monetary expansion. Could be rumour, doesnt have to be, I dont know. But seems people think they may hike rates a bit.


Are you being serious? There actually ARE people on this planet that think UK will hike their rates?

lol...
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #408,450
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:04pm Feb 12, 2015 3:04pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} Are you being serious? There actually ARE people on this planet that think UK will hike their rates? lol...
Well, they will hike.... one day... but think not as long as Carney is on the wheel. But I definitely dont have enough informations to decide when the hike is coming.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #408,451
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:06pm Feb 12, 2015 3:06pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Well, they will hike.... one day... but think not as long as Carney is on the wheel. But I definitely dont have enough informations to decide when the hike is coming.
Well that's for sure
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #408,452
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:08pm Feb 12, 2015 3:08pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Well, they will hike.... one day... but think not as long as Carney is on the wheel. But I definitely dont have enough informations to decide when the hike is coming.
so why it is going up? by reading your words GBP should drop from here on
  • #408,453
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:10pm Feb 12, 2015 3:10pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} Well that's for sure
But generally saying - there goes my third reason for beeing GBP long -doesnt matter in the end if QE impacts business 10 or 15%. Ofc most gets stuck in banks and stocks, but is a little boost for business anyway, however incompetitive . So, given fact they started second after US, not saying US numbers are real, but think Brittains gonna follow simmilar strategy and start posting pretty good numbers soon to justify hike laterz.

Quoting danndc
{quote} so why it is going up? by reading your words GBP should drop from here on
Is difference of long and mid term view. Am long term bullish USD, bearish Yen and Euro. But given current ECB cut and situation within Eurozone, I consider GBP as a short term safe haven,... and since Stocks and Oil mid term against me, I have switched my USD long term exposure to mid term GBP up move. Rumours just helped me.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #408,454
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:16pm Feb 12, 2015 3:16pm
Approaching my broad trike zone to short,
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDDaily.png Size: 30 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDWeekly.png Size: 26 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #408,455
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:21pm Feb 12, 2015 3:21pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} Well that's for sure
Guys can someone Please give us a chat with a few indicators on this pair.
  • #408,456
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:21pm Feb 12, 2015 3:21pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} But generally saying - there goes my third reason for beeing GBP long -doesnt matter in the end if QE impacts business 10 or 15%. Ofc most gets stuck in banks and stocks, but is a little boost for business anyway, however incompetitive . So, given fact they started second after US, not saying US numbers are real, but think Brittains gonna follow simmilar strategy and start posting pretty good numbers soon to justify hike laterz. {quote} Is difference of long and mid term view. Am long term bullish USD, bearish Yen and Euro. But given current...
It wouldn't surprise me if any major reversal in this downtrend comes due to the FED (and I quote), "not quite being ready to raise rates due to workforce structural issues - despite the good numbers".
Both Ben and Yellen have already wet our appetites for this potential with their comments on this deeper problem the numbers don't reveal.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #408,457
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:22pm Feb 12, 2015 3:22pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
{quote} It wouldn't surprise me if any major reversal in this downtrend comes due to the FED (and I quote), "not quite being ready to raise rates due to workforce structural issues - despite the good numbers". Both Ben and Yellen have already wet our appetites for this potential with their comments on this deeper problem the numbers don't reveal.
Yes, thats the other issue. Its all play with expectations. Now I was speaking long term, meaning like a year. Speaking very long term, say 5-7 years, I expect we are gonna get QE cubed.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #408,458
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:23pm Feb 12, 2015 3:23pm
Quoting hoom
gu formed a short term base after breaking 5200/20 resistance aiming for +5400 , above that figure building a short could be wise but not now .
those who shorted blindly after we break 53xx got burned , built 1st s position @ 5410 , I will s 545x/6x if it allows and hold for 506x to close half position and let it run through 49xx upon evaluation .

edit : sl 5550
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #408,459
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:24pm Feb 12, 2015 3:24pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yes, thats the other issue. Its all play with expectations. Now I was speaking long term, meaning like a year. Speaking very long term, say 5-7 years, I expect we are gonna get QE cubed.
And our kids will take it sideways
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #408,460
  • Feb 12, 2015 3:29pm Feb 12, 2015 3:29pm
Chart please guys.
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