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  • #921,361
  • Sep 4, 2014 1:42am Sep 4, 2014 1:42am
Quoting JustAndy
Nice numbers for the German Factory Orders
German Factory Orders had nice numbers, but it looks that market doesn't care about them so much.
Just small spike above 1,3150 and its back to EUR/USD 1,3145

Yestarday fundamentals were mostly red for EU and it went up.
So at this moment there is another factors beside fundamentals that are moving markets
  • #921,362
  • Sep 4, 2014 1:44am Sep 4, 2014 1:44am
Bit of a BS drop considering good numbers. EU is the worst manipulated currency of all imo.

ps. I am not or wasn't in a position so my bit-of-a-rant isn't to do with losing... just watching as it is breaking rising wedge on good numbers.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #921,363
  • Sep 4, 2014 1:44am Sep 4, 2014 1:44am
Quoting BlueGas
This is bat country!

“I blew the horn a few times, hoping to call up an iguana. Get the buggers moving. They were out there, I knew, in that goddamn sea of cactus--hunkered down, barely breathing, and every one of the stinking little bastards was loaded with deadly poison.”
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #921,364
  • Sep 4, 2014 1:44am Sep 4, 2014 1:44am
Quoting pipper
Second time lucky.. should drop 100 points.. rebalancing should help. 17078 now {quote}

hey brother, how you be mate?
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #921,365
  • Sep 4, 2014 1:46am Sep 4, 2014 1:46am
Quoting KiwiTrada
swissy heading to test important support 9174 now 9177

mate I'm eyeing AUD 9392 now for shorts, also considering letting them have some AUDNZD up at 1.1275
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #921,366
  • Sep 4, 2014 1:47am Sep 4, 2014 1:47am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} 3 legs down, 2 legs up. {image}
never got above the last 15/16 and held with closes...3992/3102 (3157.6)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #921,367
  • Sep 4, 2014 2:08am Sep 4, 2014 2:08am
nice to close below 41
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #921,368
  • Sep 4, 2014 2:17am Sep 4, 2014 2:17am
Quoting gatorinla
most bull bounces have been kicked in the nutz... the 4h closed under 3143.8.. the highest 4 h close this month/week.. it closed below after being above... not usually a bullish signal edit..3141.3 {image}
london still opening below
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #921,369
  • Sep 4, 2014 2:22am Sep 4, 2014 2:22am
Good Morning!

Today's S/R levels on MT4 Templates

EURO
CABLE
AUDUSD
EURJPY
GOLD
S&P 500

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...28#post7715628

EURO PINK
CABLE PINK
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #921,370
  • Sep 4, 2014 2:40am Sep 4, 2014 2:40am
I've been lurking around this thread for some time now, and I couldn't but notice the amount of posts mentioning that retail sentiment is bullish, thus it is favorable for the euro to go lower.

I don't understand where those people get their logic from! What i see is small speculators (retailers) at all time short extremes, never in the history of the euro has the retailers been so bearish. I'm not inventing this stuff up, the information is all there for free for everyone to view on the COT report.

It would be great if any of the guys here posting about retailers' sentiment could explain to me how they conclude their analysis
  • #921,371
  • Sep 4, 2014 3:33am Sep 4, 2014 3:33am
no new high and dropping around 3147 ish with a close below 3141 this h with close, is not so bullish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #921,372
  • Sep 4, 2014 3:38am Sep 4, 2014 3:38am
maybe I try some longs in GBPJPY at 171.95ish...


slows today...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #921,373
  • Sep 4, 2014 3:40am Sep 4, 2014 3:40am
Quoting pedro319
USDCAD Daily picture remains the same despite the sell off. You may want to watch the possibility of Bfly Buy 4 hours chart, where the left wing is already formed, price needs to come down to .618 or .786 Ret 4 Hours chart and that should be the limit. AUDUSD I am short, however daily candle too big and created new swing, so I need to see another selling signal on Daily. GBPUSD Price still sitting at MS1 + WS3 + bullish pattern (Cypher daily) PA doesn't confirm this yet. EURUSD Same update. Today there will be ECB Interest decision and press conf....
GOLD
Look for 1276 as possible strong resistance smaller tf.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #921,374
  • Sep 4, 2014 4:03am Sep 4, 2014 4:03am
EURUSD rose slightly during the Wednesday session, but found sellers above again on the 10 day moving average. All eyes will be on the interest rate statement coming out of the ECB today, looking for clues of further QE out of Brussels. The 1.32 level should continue as a key resistance and 1.31 should be a key support to pay attention today.
Want to learn more: HTO Trading
  • #921,375
  • Sep 4, 2014 4:08am Sep 4, 2014 4:08am
Quoting gatorinla
no new high and dropping around 3147 ish with a close below 3141 this h with close, is not so bullish
looks more intraday bullish,, still some R 57/58 ish and 80/86... last weeks break suggested a 3186/3220 bounce, before 3084.. few since 3992 have made that bounce. not getting to 3185 is not bullish for a reversal.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #921,376
  • Sep 4, 2014 4:12am Sep 4, 2014 4:12am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} mate I'm eyeing AUD 9392 now for shorts, also considering letting them have some AUDNZD up at 1.1275
hey bro my lady took me out to tea been fishing most of the day, and to show my success, we dined Seafood

Just checked au still dont like where shes at, using this weeks open as my marker, above it Id be buying, below it selling I have both on the table so if she keeps bobbling Im making nothing not even swap
maybe look at a short 9370 other than that 9502 right now on sidelines because still waiting for usd to blow out
swissy might be going for another crack @ 74 bbl
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #921,377
  • Sep 4, 2014 4:25am Sep 4, 2014 4:25am
bbl..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #921,378
  • Sep 4, 2014 4:50am Sep 4, 2014 4:50am
Quoting hathor
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change will be 15 minutes before ECB P.C. ECB Press Conference will be 30 minutes before closing H4 -> so prepare for a funny H4 candle.
just a reminder...
f(z)=z2+c
  • #921,379
  • Sep 4, 2014 4:54am Sep 4, 2014 4:54am
LOL... well all those posts didn't last long... eh?

So not that it matters but, I'll repost.

On the EU front. Purely TA from my side (I'm no fundie guy ) It finally reached the level I was expecting to see some retrace to about 1.32936 from. Technically I think it should but it seems obvious (and no surprise this time of year) it will all be about the numbers coming.

I'm not an indie guy either. The RSI is there for observational purposes only but interestingly enough, it seems to indicate a good spot for a bounce as well?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Ghost Rider - WWTBMD?
  • #921,380
  • Edited 5:40am Sep 4, 2014 5:21am | Edited 5:40am
Quoting FX-Jay
I've been lurking around this thread for some time now, and I couldn't but notice the amount of posts mentioning that retail sentiment is bullish, thus it is favorable for the euro to go lower. I don't understand where those people get their logic from! What i see is small speculators (retailers) at all time short extremes, never in the history of the euro has the retailers been so bearish. I'm not inventing this stuff up, the information is all there for free for everyone to view on the COT report. It would be great if any of the guys here posting...
Since you looks ignored, I'll try to answer:
1. How? Well it's an art hahhaha... Too long to explain.
2. COT released on intevals, and shows current open position not where and when it was opned. Small numbet might ride along the decend but mostly not. They usually trade on daily basis, and retailers are washed out daily. So IMHO COT is less reliable to track retail sentiment. There is one which might be more accurate but with more noise. You could find it here on home page. Choose lot size, reflect retail sentiment better than number f trades. COT is more reliable to track longer horizon trade like commercial position.

ps: I am building short on UJ, to replace my position which I close yesteraday. I the lower limit was here up to 105.08, I wasn't awake earlier the highest position I currently have is @104.95 opened when I was awake 1-2 min in between my nap.
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