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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #377,261
  • May 12, 2014 9:47am May 12, 2014 9:47am
we could get a bounce at 81 -75 of the emas on the 1 hour on the 5 min looks like it wants to go short but it might wait till the 100 in blue comes up,, then we will break away 75%short at the moment i think 6874 i might load, it ??
  • #377,262
  • May 12, 2014 10:08am May 12, 2014 10:08am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1a.png Size: 95 KB
looking to break the tl now for a good short tecs look good target 6850 172.78 short gbj sl 173 of the back of gbus
  • #377,263
  • May 12, 2014 10:10am May 12, 2014 10:10am
Quoting elbert3
we could get a bounce at 81 -75 of the emas on the 1 hour on the 5 min looks like it wants to go short but it might wait till the 100 in blue comes up,, then we will break away 75%short at the moment i think 6874 i might load, it ??
My chart comes up with a valid bounce too. But i choose 1.6869 for reload. It is an astro / ema (24) on h1 timeframe indie.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpusdh1b.png Size: 39 KB
Don't blame the tools. Blame the carpenter.
  • #377,264
  • May 12, 2014 1:11pm May 12, 2014 1:11pm
Quoting KecoaKecil
{quote} My chart comes up with a valid bounce too. But i choose 1.6869 for reload. It is an astro / ema (24) on h1 timeframe indie. {image}
my 4 hour is trying to confirm short i expect a break out soon 1 hour cross over red white emas
  • #377,265
  • May 12, 2014 1:27pm May 12, 2014 1:27pm
Quoting elbert3
{quote} my 4 hour is trying to confirm short i expect a break out soon 1 hour cross over red white emas
hi , i see a nice candle pattern ( bearish ) on 4hr as well
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Cable8.jpg Size: 45 KB
  • #377,266
  • May 12, 2014 1:46pm May 12, 2014 1:46pm
So everybody is shorting down into 1.6930 right? If that holds we could see 1.7 soon? I haven't had a chance to take any measurements but looks like a Gartley Crab set up



tim
  • #377,267
  • May 12, 2014 1:49pm May 12, 2014 1:49pm
Actually just eyeballing a crab would come down into 1.6845 then head back North
  • #377,268
  • May 12, 2014 1:59pm May 12, 2014 1:59pm
Quoting aktrader
Actually just eyeballing a crab would come down into 1.6845 then head back North
Hello, please post when you can, setups welcome

J
  • #377,269
  • May 12, 2014 3:30pm May 12, 2014 3:30pm
My options would really appreciate a 200+ downward swing.

However, news today seemed to indicate that news setting up for Wednesday would bring us back to 1.70.
  • #377,270
  • May 12, 2014 4:16pm May 12, 2014 4:16pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2.png Size: 92 KB
i would like to see it on the x
  • #377,271
  • May 12, 2014 4:36pm May 12, 2014 4:36pm
Quoting Baggi
My options would really appreciate a 200+ downward swing. However, news today seemed to indicate that news setting up for Wednesday would bring us back to 1.70.
I completely agree with you on 1.70 target and something is telling me we'll even go past it!
  • #377,272
  • May 12, 2014 6:00pm May 12, 2014 6:00pm
What professional trader do you think is going to sell after a massive sell off in a currency? Not oen that is making money! We had a good day yesterday is USD however GBPUSD still very much in bullish mode and I would be buying the best dips you can get!
Good luck all!
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #377,273
  • Edited 11:23pm May 12, 2014 11:00pm | Edited 11:23pm
Quoting Rtm
What professional trader do you think is going to sell after a massive sell off in a currency? Not oen that is making money! We had a good day yesterday is USD however GBPUSD still very much in bullish mode and I would be buying the best dips you can get! Good luck all!
Much of GU is dictated by EU moves.
If EU continues south 37-36 you can be pretty sure GU will continue south as well.
Its as simple as that.No need for complications.
91.4% weekly positive correlation.
Quoting Rtm
What professional trader do you think is going to sell after a massive sell off in a currency? Not oen that is making money! We had a good day yesterday is USD however GBPUSD still very much in bullish mode and I would be buying the best dips you can get! Good luck all!
Could you say the same on opposite direction? You sure can.Price can go up after massive surge up and then some more and then some more.

Just for reference Donchian did exactly that.Buy/sell after break out and buy/sell some more.Entire Turtle trading is based upon his ideas.
Love Donchian
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #377,274
  • May 12, 2014 11:19pm May 12, 2014 11:19pm
Alright I wanted to get back to that Crab pattern. I don't know how to post charts so until I do here is what Im thinking.

On the 6TH Cable reached a high of 1.6996. Thats "X" On the 9TH the price was 1.68322. Thats "A"

On the 12th we had a retrace of X-A leg of 45% to 1.6898

Then same day a retrace of A-B of 55% to 1.6861.

OK now to complete a Crab we need and extension of A-B of 224% to 361.8% correct? OK, a 2.24 extension takes us to 1.699.


Sorry explanation charting sucks dingaling
  • #377,275
  • May 13, 2014 1:02am May 13, 2014 1:02am
morning just up added shorts 6860 order
  • #377,276
  • May 13, 2014 1:06am May 13, 2014 1:06am
Quoting elbert3
morning just up added shorts 6860 order
Hi friend.
What's your TP
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #377,277
  • May 13, 2014 1:11am May 13, 2014 1:11am
Quoting Davit
{quote} Hi friend. What's your TP
morning see my sunday posts 5 charts targets marked ,, just looking to see if eurusd will break out below 13744 13774 seems to be holding it going long,, i think this will only happen if it is given a catalyst to help it for now 3800 might be capped,again depending on news .gb would be nice 6750 area for now ,,regards E
  • #377,278
  • May 13, 2014 1:19am May 13, 2014 1:19am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4.png Size: 95 KB
we just need to break the 100 and then down to 200
  • #377,279
  • May 13, 2014 1:20am May 13, 2014 1:20am
Quoting elbert3
{quote} morning see my sunday posts 5 charts targets marked ,, just looking to see if eurusd will break out below 13744 13774 seems to be holding it going long,, i think this will only happen if it is given a catalyst to help it for now 3800 might be capped,again depending on news .gb would be nice 6750 area for now ,,regards E
If PA does go to 68 I'll bail out.Thurs is unemployment numbers.Last month it surged forcefully up and prefer not experiancing the same.
Regards
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #377,280
  • May 13, 2014 1:58am May 13, 2014 1:58am
Quoting davit
{quote} if pa does go to 68 i'll bail out.thurs is unemployment numbers.last month it surged forcefully up and prefer not experiancing the same. Regards
yes i knew you were short you must of been biting your nails
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