Dislikedpossible decent play in the making - SHORT GBPAUD - due to GU hitting resistance and AU @ support @ 9320. Could be good for 80 points.Ignored
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
- #376,422
- May 7, 2014 8:57pm May 7, 2014 8:57pm
- | Commercial User | Joined Jan 2011 | 4,044 Posts
tired of market gurus calling a top in GU every time it pushed for new highs and then pulls back some.
Yous guys rank poorly on both fundie/tech side.
We will not have a change in trend until 25th May 2014 at least - and then the deal can also boost GU to new highs.
Buy the rumour, sell the fact (or in that case, buy the fact too)
Yous guys rank poorly on both fundie/tech side.
We will not have a change in trend until 25th May 2014 at least - and then the deal can also boost GU to new highs.
Buy the rumour, sell the fact (or in that case, buy the fact too)
- #376,426
- May 7, 2014 10:52pm May 7, 2014 10:52pm
- | Commercial User | Joined Jan 2011 | 4,044 Posts
Morning Elbert!
C'mon dragon, push, push!
C'mon dragon, push, push!
- #376,427
- May 7, 2014 11:14pm May 7, 2014 11:14pm
- Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Trader | 19,815 Posts
Morning Elbert! C'mon dragon, push, push!
- #376,428
- May 7, 2014 11:17pm May 7, 2014 11:17pm
- | Commercial User | Joined Jan 2011 | 4,044 Posts
{quote} looks like it still could be short gbus,, gbj heading down just took 1 more short as hit red over white on the 30 min 172.50 target same as yesterday
GU-wise I'd rather that sob take out 173 this week.
- #376,429
- May 7, 2014 11:17pm May 7, 2014 11:17pm
- Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Trader | 19,815 Posts
Morning Elbert! C'mon dragon, push, push!
- #376,430
- May 7, 2014 11:19pm May 7, 2014 11:19pm
- Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Trader by hobby not by profession | 7,050 Posts
- #376,432
- May 7, 2014 11:21pm May 7, 2014 11:21pm
- Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Trader by hobby not by profession | 7,050 Posts
- #376,435
- May 7, 2014 11:27pm May 7, 2014 11:27pm
- Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Trader | 19,815 Posts
{quote} yeah, cause of the UKR news deal, breaking up two W1 pins @ 50 fibo not a usual feat. I guess gold can still print 1180-1220 before any decent reversal. Generally, we can look for a bottom in the mid-summer and start accumulating near the mid-summer lows. Most time in August there is some geopolitical spike, which will cause GLD to trade higher.
- #376,437
- May 7, 2014 11:30pm May 7, 2014 11:30pm
{quote} We are so waiting it !I'm considering to put stop order at 1.69420 for the night. I think no point to give up more of the profit from this trade.
- #376,438
- May 7, 2014 11:37pm May 7, 2014 11:37pm
- | Commercial User | Joined Jan 2011 | 4,044 Posts
guys don't forget that today is a BIG ONE. 
GBP news prolly same old story, but ECB would be interesting.
GBP news prolly same old story, but ECB would be interesting.
- #376,440
- May 7, 2014 11:42pm May 7, 2014 11:42pm
- Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Trader | 3,071 Posts
Morning Elbert! C'mon dragon, push, push!
Couple of points after granny testified yesterday
- It was a cold moment when traders realised she was able to and did maintain price stability and stuck to her guns (there was very little volatility as she testified and she kept the needle as good as flat during Q & A)
she's a real central banker and she does what she says she will - It is clear that even though she doesn't say it granny has an intentional PUT trade on the DX and any apparent $ strength would be trading against the FED -> never trade against a central bank
- For the purposes of this thread, the UK economy is recovering at a speed greater than the US economy. Although the UK pundits will no doubt want to tackle me on the issue the fact of the matter is in a slow race between two lame nags the UK nag is quicker (Deal with it, is what it is)
- The cold hard fact is that inflation in the US is still not present in any way comfortable enough for market participants and policy makers to need to change policy (i.e. raise interest rates for an extended period) The same is not true of the UK, inflationary pressures whilst not pressing are present
- Its my version that Carney has to blink first... UK rates will go up first
What does it mean?
Simple the present strength of the GBP is twofold unprecedented intentional weakening of the $DX and the simple fact that Carney will have to change policy first as inflation linked pressure will appear in the UK first.... (regardless of EU pressures)
Technically
Channel down buy its nature is bullish behaviour -> when the channel breaks -> its to the upside!
Events
Note that the MPC statement will drive volatility but no surprises are anticipated, maybe a journalist will get some sort of comment out of Mark but policy isn't set to change in the immediate short term...
Have a good day.