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  • #829,741
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:02pm Aug 27, 2013 1:02pm
Quoting sidhujag
Funny how JP Morgan is now long PM's leading up to Syrian crisis, how convenient eh? The financial system is not rigged? lol yea right
Why? It makes sense. "safety" assets in the wake of war talks via US/Syria, Iran and Russia. When you see opportunity, you get results. I longed crude and brent last night, and it exploded today.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #829,742
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:07pm Aug 27, 2013 1:07pm
Quoting zolo
{quote} Hello man. Sorry for bother you, but what is behind your EU short positions. Why do you believe it will go down? Thanks.
Looks bullish. USA "ready to go" against Syria, according to Chuck Hagel. I see dollar and equities to decline further.


Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} so wait you "hedge" with the same instrument?




Not speak about this trade specifically, but I noticed a lot of "traders" do this when they are underwater. I am not hedging fancy, but sounds like too much dollar/euro exposure. I'd rather spread my exposure through various currencies if not assets.
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When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #829,743
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:09pm Aug 27, 2013 1:09pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Looks bullish. USA "ready to go" against Syria, according to Chuck Hagel. I see dollar and equities to decline further. {quote} Not speak about this trade specifically, but I noticed a lot of "traders" do this when they are underwater. I am not hedging fancy, but sounds like too much dollar/euro exposure. I'd rather spread my exposure through various currencies if not assets.

pssssst, dont talk about this guru or you will be ignored by him....like me and mohan
do whatever the fuck you want to do !
  • #829,744
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:14pm Aug 27, 2013 1:14pm
Quoting icantmilk
{quote} pssssst, dont talk about this guru or you will be ignored by him....like me and mohan
Hey i joined the most wanted club !!!
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #829,745
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:19pm Aug 27, 2013 1:19pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Why? It makes sense. "safety" assets in the wake of war talks via US/Syria, Iran and Russia. When you see opportunity, you get results. I longed crude and brent last night, and it exploded today.
U dont get it, they were long at 11xx its all manipulated and timed. They wouldn't be long if Syrian wasn't going to happen. Its a rinse repeat cycle. Thats where th real profit is because you have to accumulate $billions worth not just a few lots here and there.
  • #829,746
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:20pm Aug 27, 2013 1:20pm
Quoting icantmilk
{quote} pssssst, dont talk about this guru or you will be ignored by him....like me and mohan
Haha, I am just saying. Why have a full book of the same asset going each which way. Last 16 hrs I have dollar, euro, sterling, yen, S&P and crude/brent on the books. Great day, clear books. Ready to reload on crude lower, and potential 1.34 break out of eurodollar. Each are tight...

Pending
EURUSD @ 1.3405, SL 1.3395, TP 1.343
Crude @ 108.45, SL 108.33 (to include expenses), TP 109.15
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #829,747
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:22pm Aug 27, 2013 1:22pm
Quoting sidhujag
{quote} U dont get it, they were long at 11xx its all manipulated and timed. They wouldn't be long if Syrian wasn't going to happen. Its a rinse repeat cycle. Thats where th real profit is because you have to accumulate $billions worth not just a few lots here and there.
Even if that was the case in hind sight $1179 is quite a discount from the $1600 fall. Mind you the vast majority is "paper" gold in the forms of forwards, swaps, ETFs, etc. I could trade, if I had the capital, a vast amount of forwards, but mainly ETFs and futures without having to physically buy an ounce of gold.

There has been a massive inflow into gold funds. Just the way it is. I look to trade gold, not invest in gold so either direction I'm emotionally neutral.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #829,748
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:27pm Aug 27, 2013 1:27pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Hey i joined the most wanted club !!!
hehe welcome....

Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Haha, I am just saying. Why have a full book of the same asset going each which way. Last 16 hrs I have dollar, euro, sterling, yen, S&P and crude/brent on the books. Great day, clear books. Ready to reload on crude lower, and potential 1.34 break out of eurodollar. Each are tight... Pending EURUSD @ 1.3405, SL 1.3395, TP 1.343 Crude @ 108.45, SL 108.33 (to include expenses), TP 109.15
gratz on your oil prediction...very nice really

I think I will close my intraday trades...need to eat, even my cat closed short for +7 so...
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do whatever the fuck you want to do !
  • #829,749
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:29pm Aug 27, 2013 1:29pm
Quoting icantmilk
{quote} hehe welcome.... {quote} gratz on your oil prediction...very nice really I think I will close my intraday trades...need to eat, even my cat closed short for +7 so... {image}
Lol green pips
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #829,750
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:40pm Aug 27, 2013 1:40pm
Another hard try and another fail to break 1.34. May be it is time for better pull back than 1.3330 area? Who know? I will keep my short open till Friday . If no break trough in any direction I will take vacation till September 18.
  • #829,751
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:46pm Aug 27, 2013 1:46pm
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Lol green pips

ok done...188 pips

I am not intraday trader, but these days its seems to be good idea, dont have nothing to do anyway
it is really exhausting and I am whole day with PC, really dont envy intra-scalp traders in their work....
do whatever the fuck you want to do !
  • #829,752
  • Aug 27, 2013 1:49pm Aug 27, 2013 1:49pm
Quoting icantmilk
{quote} ok done...188 pips I am not intraday trader, but these days its seems to be good idea, dont have nothing to do anyway it is really exhausting and I am whole day with PC, really dont envy intra-scalp traders in their work....
Got to take what the market gives you. I think we will have many more days like today throughout the rest of the year. $$$ opportunities.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #829,753
  • Aug 27, 2013 2:11pm Aug 27, 2013 2:11pm
seems this time trade a bond tightener was the profit maker as EUR has stayed high. But as I said, they always come together.
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  • #829,754
  • Aug 27, 2013 2:30pm Aug 27, 2013 2:30pm
Quoting Silat50
{quote} rtm, the vol on the eur/usd is lower than on the eur/aud and eur/nzd!!! that pair doesnt really get volume till the NY futures start moving. Why not take the euro woith another currency if you must get in now for a short term move. if you are going to hold a few days, thats different. I try to and im long euro against aud and nzd.

Im also long EUR AUD trading off the daily already took out my two positons and just trailing a 162 pip runner ATM
Cheers
All posts are my personal opinion
  • #829,755
  • Aug 27, 2013 2:34pm Aug 27, 2013 2:34pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} 30y's are less important than 10's for FX which are less important that 5's etc etc, the belly of the curve is on the highs so that is USD bullish. Gold is an interesting case as is Oil. Both undoubtedly up for good reasons, but that doesn't really affect the USD. Same as a strong USD wouldn't have affected Gold on a day such as today where it moved for geopol reasons.
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} yeah but there has been a lot of money into bonds... Large vols for cash bonds (i.e. generally speaking longer term traders)
Not only USD will have bullish effect on EUR. Have a look at JGBs
  • #829,756
  • Aug 27, 2013 2:36pm Aug 27, 2013 2:36pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} I'm sitting out cable until EU catches up or they find their respective supported ranges. But that's not to say money cannot be made on it today... Cable Renko {image}
Hey Coolman,.........just sayin helloooooo
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #829,757
  • Aug 27, 2013 2:41pm Aug 27, 2013 2:41pm
Quoting kaspopsicle
{quote} Hey Coolman,.........just sayin helloooooo
Hey Sunshine!

How's you been?
Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #829,758
  • Aug 27, 2013 2:43pm Aug 27, 2013 2:43pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} {quote} Not only USD will have bullish effect on EUR. Have a look at JGBs
JGB's aren't doing anything weird? pretty much flat for the past 2 months, My only EUR short is vs. CAD and that is doing very well, hitting lows as I type.

Italian risk premiums are short term quite high (not EUR bullish), Periphery equity are weak, IBEX down 3%, options are bearish EUR both Vols and Risk reversals.

There is not one clear bullish EUR sign out there, But as I have said I'm neutral position wise, not short or long. Just waiting. The thing is looking away from charts (which are too subjective) the cross asset spectrum says buy USD and dump EURs.

I post these charts so other can see as I know many aren't fortunate enough to have eikon terminals and people can interpret as they will.
  • #829,759
  • Aug 27, 2013 2:50pm Aug 27, 2013 2:50pm
Quoting Magix
{quote} Hey Sunshine! How's you been?
Yards better thanks to you . ...Thank you

I pray that you will continue in recovery

cant post chart atm...markets and me are fcuked
All systems of divination, like music itself,work through patterns.
  • #829,760
  • Aug 27, 2013 2:52pm Aug 27, 2013 2:52pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} JGB's aren't doing anything weird? pretty much flat for the past 2 months, My only EUR short is vs. CAD and that is doing very well, hitting lows as I type. Italian risk premiums are short term quite high (not EUR bullish), Periphery equity are weak, IBEX down 3%, options are bearish EUR both Vols and Risk reversals. There is not one clear bullish EUR sign out there, But as I have said I'm neutral position wise, not short or long. Just waiting. The thing is looking away from charts (which are too subjective) the cross asset spectrum says...
Can't say doing well for E/CAD. Almost 1/4 still underwater.

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