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EURUSD

  • #829,721
  • Aug 27, 2013 11:56am Aug 27, 2013 11:56am
Realllllly wanting to short EUR...

but not going to.
  • #829,722
  • Aug 27, 2013 11:59am Aug 27, 2013 11:59am
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} so wait you "hedge" with the same instrument?

yes for these noobs hedging is like buying eur now...coz they are in trap of shorts....
do whatever the fuck you want to do !
  • #829,723
  • Aug 27, 2013 11:59am Aug 27, 2013 11:59am
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} 30y's are less important than 10's for FX which are less important that 5's etc etc, the belly of the curve is on the highs so that is USD bullish. Gold is an interesting case as is Oil. Both undoubtedly up for good reasons, but that doesn't really affect the USD. Same as a strong USD wouldn't have affected Gold on a day such as today where it moved for geopol reasons.
How is the correlation like between Gold/Oil with USD nowadays? You happen to have any correlation charts to share?
  • #829,724
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:01pm Aug 27, 2013 12:01pm
Quoting kelvinftg
{quote} How is the correlation like between Gold/Oil with USD nowadays? You happen to have any correlation charts to share?
I'll make one for you, what time frame do you want and for how many periods? 20 days, 50 days or YTD?
  • #829,725
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:05pm Aug 27, 2013 12:05pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} I'll make one for you, what time frame do you want and for how many periods? 20 days, 50 days or YTD?
50 days and YTD? Thanks!

Edit: Erm, make it 4H time frame. Just want to have a rough idea really.
  • #829,726
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:07pm Aug 27, 2013 12:07pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} oh, but surely he must realize that this is not hedging, far from in fact. All he is doing is realizing a loss on his trade and merely squaring positions. I'm literally speechless that this was his "hedging"...
every new to FX calls it hedging, however there are also experienced traders who also say this is hedging... I'm also speechless. That way of trading (I should not have used that word) sooner or later will wipe out your account. I just don't get it why not close position and wait for buy/sell at better price.
  • #829,727
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:08pm Aug 27, 2013 12:08pm
Quoting kelvinftg
{quote} 50 days and YTD? Thanks!
here, 50 period rolling correlations
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: correlations.png Size: 125 KB
  • #829,728
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:09pm Aug 27, 2013 12:09pm
Quoting icantmilk
{quote} yes for these noobs hedging is like buying eur now...coz they are in trap of shorts....
hedge earned us a place in iggy list
Mohan
  • #829,729
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:11pm Aug 27, 2013 12:11pm
Here is the correlation since Jan 1st, strong inverse corr with gold (-0.58) but pretty much none in oil (+0.014)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Corr YTD.png Size: 162 KB
  • #829,730
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:12pm Aug 27, 2013 12:12pm
Quoting mohan76
{quote} hedge earned us a place in iggy list
That's what you got for being a bad boy !!
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #829,731
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:15pm Aug 27, 2013 12:15pm
Quoting mohan76
{quote} hedge earned us a place in iggy list
how can we contnue without his analysis and 100 000 % profit in 1 month.....

he said that he was a long years analytic and god in stocks....so thats why he starts with 1000$ capital and after all these years (he is 60years old maybe)
he turned it to 27k !!!!!!!! great life success....
do whatever the fuck you want to do !
  • #829,732
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:16pm Aug 27, 2013 12:16pm
Quoting JeremyWS
Here is the correlation since Jan 1st, strong inverse corr with gold (-0.58) but pretty much none in oil (+0.014) {image}
Strong decline in inverse Gold correlation since July!

Thanks again for the charts.
  • #829,733
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:19pm Aug 27, 2013 12:19pm
Quoting kelvinftg
{quote} Strong decline in inverse Gold correlation since July! Thanks again for the charts.
can't really do H4 correlation btw, can only interpolate as using 1/6th of the daily count previous. So wouldn't be of any benefit unless you wanted an 8.33 day correlation
  • #829,734
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:24pm Aug 27, 2013 12:24pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} That's what you got for being a bad boy !!


WAke me if it cross 1.34 , already 3:30 Am
Mohan
  • #829,735
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:26pm Aug 27, 2013 12:26pm
Quoting mohan76
{quote} WAke me if it cross 1.34 , already 3:30 Am
that is interesting.. where do you live? NZ?
  • #829,736
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:32pm Aug 27, 2013 12:32pm
Quoting mohan76
{quote} WAke me if it cross 1.34 , already 3:30 Am
We are very close to it...bored as well, put alarm on...or come back for London tomorrow
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #829,737
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:41pm Aug 27, 2013 12:41pm
Quoting plumiash
{quote} that is interesting.. where do you live? NZ?
He lives in Oz
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #829,738
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:50pm Aug 27, 2013 12:50pm
Funny how JP Morgan is now long PM's leading up to Syrian crisis, how convenient eh? The financial system is not rigged? lol yea right
  • #829,739
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:57pm Aug 27, 2013 12:57pm
Quoting sidhujag
Funny how JP Morgan is now long PM's leading up to Syrian crisis, how convenient eh? The financial system is not rigged? lol yea right
Sorry man, whats "PM"?
  • #829,740
  • Aug 27, 2013 12:58pm Aug 27, 2013 12:58pm
Quoting dezolo
{quote} Sorry man, whats "PM"?
precious metals.
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