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EUR/CHF

  • #8,441
  • Jul 3, 2012 3:25am Jul 3, 2012 3:25am
Agreed with last post!
  • #8,442
  • Jul 3, 2012 6:44am Jul 3, 2012 6:44am
DJ SNB's Jordan: Indicates Switzerland Faces Problem of Deflation - Report
Switzerland isn't at risk from higher inflation and even faces the problem of deflation, Swiss National Bank Chairman Thomas Jordan said in an interview published Tuesday.

Despite expansionary monetary policy in the U.S. and Europe, "we aren't actually in danger of a large rise in inflation on product markets...anywhere," Mr. Jordan told German newspaper Handelsblatt.

"In Switzerland we even have the opposite problem," Mr. Jordan said. "But we also have a large degree of price stability in the U.S. and Europe."

Still, the central banker warned money created by central banks to overcome the debt crisis is flowing into assets such as safe bonds or real estate.

"In Switzerland we are experiencing very strong price rises in real estate," he said.

Original article: http://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/...e/6825048.html

Write to Tom Fairless at [email protected]
  • #8,443
  • Jul 3, 2012 7:40am Jul 3, 2012 7:40am
Is anything going to make this pair rally?

If CPI comes in better than expected at the end of the week and the ECB cuts rates that's gonna put pressure on again.
  • #8,444
  • Jul 3, 2012 2:32pm Jul 3, 2012 2:32pm
Quoting cipid2012
If EUR rate > CHF rate, it should be positive. If it's equal then it will be zero.
Now EUR rate is 1% and CHF < 0.25%. If they will cut, EUR rate will be 0.50% and still higher than CHF rate and of course the swap should be around "half".
Just a point here..if ECB cuts rate (probability 15% estimated by specialists) then it will favorize short positions (swap maybe will be zero for short) on this pair when the pair tries to go up....more pressure on SNB.
Speculation converts one man's capital into another man's income
  • #8,445
  • Jul 4, 2012 2:15am Jul 4, 2012 2:15am
Quoting cipid2012
Just a point here..if ECB cuts rate (probability 15% estimated by specialists) then it will favorize short positions (swap maybe will be zero for short) on this pair when the pair tries to go up....more pressure on SNB.
is there an impact on swaps, if CH is introducing negative interest rates? what do you think?
  • #8,446
  • Jul 4, 2012 2:27am Jul 4, 2012 2:27am
Quoting Swissie
is there an impact on swaps, if CH is introducing negative interest rates? what do you think?
As I mentioned earlier, eur interest rate > chf interest rate than it's good for longs..if chf interest rate will go negative than it will be even better for longs. Just ti watch if ECB cut rate maybe SNB will put negative also
Speculation converts one man's capital into another man's income
  • #8,447
  • Jul 4, 2012 8:39am Jul 4, 2012 8:39am
If ECB cuts 25bps, hopefully SNB will follow suit. Make a small little -ve, -0.25%. Nett, no change in swap.

But we know well our brokers will take the opportunity to greatly reduce, zero or make -ve also long swap.

It is now very very hard to do carry trade for this pair. can just do scalping and hope for spikes.
  • #8,448
  • Jul 4, 2012 4:46pm Jul 4, 2012 4:46pm
anybody else had 1.19989 at 21:04 or just my broker hunted the stops?
  • #8,449
  • Jul 4, 2012 5:06pm Jul 4, 2012 5:06pm
Quoting worsttrader
anybody else had 1.19989 at 21:04 or just my broker hunted the stops?
No, today lowest rate: 1.20085
  • #8,450
  • Jul 4, 2012 5:44pm Jul 4, 2012 5:44pm
FXCM 1.1996, unuasual, looks like people are afraid of rate cut
  • #8,451
  • Jul 4, 2012 9:40pm Jul 4, 2012 9:40pm
The word "utmost" is sort of infectious virus, Shirakawa just used it word weakening Yen, and God knows I hate this word with utmost determination.
  • #8,452
  • Edited 3:02am Jul 5, 2012 2:26am | Edited 3:02am
Quoting worsttrader
anybody else had 1.19989 at 21:04 or just my broker hunted the stops?
My lowest in hotforex was 1.19977 but my other broker(Fibo Group) was fine. It's lowest was 1.2009.
  • #8,453
  • Jul 5, 2012 2:47am Jul 5, 2012 2:47am
With my account on IC Markets I had the low as 1.20095, that seems way too low with FXCM.
  • #8,454
  • Jul 5, 2012 3:41am Jul 5, 2012 3:41am
Quoting cadencetrade
With my account on IC Markets I had the low as 1.20095, that seems way too low with FXCM.
FXCM: spike kings
  • #8,455
  • Jul 5, 2012 4:14am Jul 5, 2012 4:14am
Quoting pipxster
FXCM: spike kings
Haveto admit, Im also there
  • #8,456
  • Jul 5, 2012 4:40am Jul 5, 2012 4:40am
going higher....
  • #8,457
  • Jul 5, 2012 4:41am Jul 5, 2012 4:41am
Quoting tim10167
going higher....
yea..sumthin is goin on 4 pip move..lol
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #8,458
  • Jul 5, 2012 4:42am Jul 5, 2012 4:42am
Quoting eqshack
yea..sumthin is goin on
you thinking of shorting it if it moves above 1.203?
  • #8,459
  • Jul 5, 2012 4:43am Jul 5, 2012 4:43am
Quoting tim10167
you thinking of shorting it if it moves above 1.203?
Good idea...
  • #8,460
  • Jul 5, 2012 4:45am Jul 5, 2012 4:45am
Quoting tim10167
you thinking of shorting it if it moves above 1.203?
no idea yet.Lets see if it goes there..Holding pretty big lot from 1.2012 TP 1.2060 if we see spike
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
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