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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #300,861
  • Feb 17, 2012 4:47pm Feb 17, 2012 4:47pm
Quoting bguguen
Good to know...
ive added my last short on GU at 5800
expect a sharp fall to happen sometime next week in all risk pairs...

Today's been great for me... my long on UJ took profit at 79, and 79.5, one last long awaiting tp at 80 though i might slowly push the TP up on this one...

All and all... great week for me, except Ben's Talk of death that happened late thursday, but the upmove not strong enough to turn my bias, still bearish on EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD (this pair is bound for a fall for a really long time... as soon as China stop propping...
0.95 that IS long term, I'll be retired by then and can trade full time . China is just making its move into Europe now as well I believe, which should provide a lot of confidence? What is your take on that? It seems they want to buy up and take over the world as their long term view? They have just about more cash than anyone else?
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #300,862
  • Feb 17, 2012 4:56pm Feb 17, 2012 4:56pm
Didn't want to say, but actually entered a couple of shorts 20 mins before market close on my other live platform at an average of 5830, not the kind of thing to be known for
I hope you enjoy London and college
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Come with me if you want to live....
  • #300,863
  • Edited 5:17pm Feb 17, 2012 5:16pm | Edited 5:17pm
Price action short term consolidating in pennant, some prefer to see them as bullish continuation patterns- I regard them as neutral on shorter timeframes and rather see how they break because pattern becomes less reliable as price trades towards the point. Momentum indicators turning neutral rather than bearish.
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  • #300,864
  • Feb 17, 2012 5:26pm Feb 17, 2012 5:26pm
Quoting Flatfish
Price action short term consolidating in pennant, some prefer to see them as bullish continuation patterns- I regard them as neutral on shorter timeframes and rather see how they break because pattern becomes less reliable as price trades towards the point. Momentum indicators turning neutral rather than bearish.
I'm expecting flat too Flatfish. I am just shorting Monday, I think we will be flat for a while 5644 could prove hard to break but daily MACD not primed for a bullish turn either.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #300,865
  • Feb 17, 2012 5:34pm Feb 17, 2012 5:34pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
0.95 that IS long term, I'll be retired by then and can trade full time . China is just making its move into Europe now as well I believe, which should provide a lot of confidence? What is your take on that? It seems they want to buy up and take over the world as their long term view? They have just about more cash than anyone else?
China is not making its move into Europe... as much as they want to help Europe, china is not dumb enough to help europe now...
Chinese investors are more likely to BUY European goods when they are rock bottom price... i mean like so cheap that an island in greece worths only 1000 EURO...

China has its own problems, perhaps you dont know but one long lasting issues is their house prices and inflationary problems huh...
Oh and you do know the figures coming from China are all manipulated figures do you??

as much as china tries to adapt to economic openness, their strict regulations in financial trades and exchange rates even the publication of financial figures goes through the government... i only know all too well this is the fact only because i've been raised in Hong Kong and this is the stuff you read in the News everyday in Hong Kong about their Neighbouring Big Brother China...

Anyways glad to be back in london... first week back, so much stuff to sort out... especially this retarded HSBC UK... they decided to close my account after they decided to pay up some debt my DEBIT account incurred (how does a debit account incur debt is not known to my mind) so i got pissed off with them and decided to open an account with barclays instead... which takes atleast a week time to get everything ready... then i still need to pay my bills for my Mobile phone which is quite the hassle if i dont have a bank account... sooo yea its been a hectic week, but a rewarding week trading wise... made about 1000 usd from the 2 USDJPY longs that took profit this week not too shabby for a 19 yr old student huh...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #300,866
  • Feb 17, 2012 5:58pm Feb 17, 2012 5:58pm
Quoting bguguen
China is not making its move into Europe... as much as they want to help Europe, china is not dumb enough to help europe now...
Chinese investors are more likely to BUY European goods when they are rock bottom price... i mean like so cheap that an island in greece worths only 1000 EURO...

China has its own problems, perhaps you dont know but one long lasting issues is their house prices and inflationary problems huh...
Oh and you do know the figures coming from China are all manipulated figures do you??

as much as china tries to adapt to economic...
Not too shabby at all
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #300,867
  • Feb 17, 2012 6:05pm Feb 17, 2012 6:05pm
just looking a bearish repeat. After that who knows. Strong 1 hr bullish move against the daily MACD should produce a correction from the trendline. After that, I am flat.
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Come with me if you want to live....
  • #300,868
  • Feb 17, 2012 8:13pm Feb 17, 2012 8:13pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
Didn't want to say, but actually entered a couple of shorts 20 mins before market close on my other live platform at an average of 5830, not the kind of thing to be known for
I hope you enjoy London and college
Hi,

I also shorted but forgot about the weekend close.My SL is at 1.5865.Do you think that sunday night opens lower or higher than friday close ? Is there any way to guess sunday opening being lower or higher than friday close on friday night ?

Thanks in advance
  • #300,869
  • Feb 17, 2012 9:25pm Feb 17, 2012 9:25pm
it will jump higher , at least to 1.5970... then when it comes to friday GU will close lower..
  • #300,870
  • Feb 17, 2012 9:38pm Feb 17, 2012 9:38pm
Quoting ijan112
it will jump higher , at least to 1.5970... then when it comes to friday GU will close lower..
Another one of your assumptions based on??
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #300,871
  • Feb 17, 2012 10:02pm Feb 17, 2012 10:02pm
Quoting okanemici
Hi,

I also shorted but forgot about the weekend close.My SL is at 1.5865.Do you think that sunday night opens lower or higher than friday close ? Is there any way to guess sunday opening being lower or higher than friday close on friday night ?

Thanks in advance
I wouldn't have a clue about predicting platform gaps sorry. My SL will be above Friday high. I am only looking for the 1 hr TL on this trade, after that it could well shoot up again and test 5925 again. I think next week will be flat as we are between strong resistance and support and my daily MACD is reflecting this.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #300,872
  • Feb 17, 2012 10:06pm Feb 17, 2012 10:06pm
it is not just an assumption..this is base on what i've traded previously...been in fx for 5yrs.. so, i trade with what i see...i knw it's difficult to make ppl understand... but at least i closed all my trades yesterday with 949pips for a week....

Happy trading to all...
  • #300,873
  • Feb 17, 2012 10:49pm Feb 17, 2012 10:49pm
Weekly charts shows that market sentiment disoriented, a bit of risk aversion.
Is the Greece's noise could actually turn into a melodious song this time? lets see.

Have a great weekend
.
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  • #300,874
  • Feb 17, 2012 10:53pm Feb 17, 2012 10:53pm
Quoting abdul_halim
SMA/BB period 560(8H) in TF M1 flat..
480 ?
  • #300,875
  • Feb 18, 2012 2:55am Feb 18, 2012 2:55am
Do you know any way to guess anything ? Lol !! You can follow www.xe.com during the weekend and this may give you an indication of whether price will gap at your broker open, and if so whether that will be up or down.

G/L

Quoting okanemici
Hi,

I also shorted but forgot about the weekend close.My SL is at 1.5865.Do you think that sunday night opens lower or higher than friday close ? Is there any way to guess sunday opening being lower or higher than friday close on friday night ?

Thanks in advance
ex member
  • #300,876
  • Feb 18, 2012 2:59am Feb 18, 2012 2:59am
@tsar
@smikester
@faller
and @everyone who directly quoted some my post:

sorry i was really busy this week and had no time to stay a lot in the thread. indeed i came in and out everytime.
my apologyze if i didn't reply, i missed the quote and only now i noticed them!

90% of traders use TA, indicators and prediction
  • #300,877
  • Feb 18, 2012 3:21am Feb 18, 2012 3:21am
Another subdued pip rabge on Friday (67% of 20 day atr) and a subdued pip range on the week (74% of 20 week atr.) Friday's daily candle closed bullishly and the Weekly candle as a bullish hammer type candle ?

The Weekly t/f remains in an overall price action (opa) range making a H @ 5927 so far above the last LH, the recent such range really extending from 6165-5243.

The Daily t/f has seen a HH at 5927 and since then has printed a L below it's last HL, that L coming at a previous Daily swing hi zone (previous resistance and around the 38.2% of the recent 5243-5917 move up.) Despite this L this t/f looks somewhat bullish although noot in a classic opa uptrend yet.

The 4hr has seen 2 x HL's and a HH printed, and price closed on Friday just off that HH. This t/f is in an opa uptrend.

G/L
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ex member
  • #300,878
  • Feb 18, 2012 3:36am Feb 18, 2012 3:36am
Price High last week 5861 was at the 76.4% of the recent 5927-5243 Daily swing down with Friday's pullback lo off that 5861 Hi being at the 85.4% fib of the 5788-said 5861 move up (1hr swing - Friday's move up)

Price closed on the 1hr chart shown at 5822 and immediately above current price is as follows: (Monday's Daily and next Week's Weekly pivots are calculated.)

5840-43 prev minor 1hr sw hi zone

[ 5845-48 prev minor 1hr sw hi zone
[ 5846-54-61 prev minor 4hr/1hr sw hi zone incl 5859 = Daily R1 @/around, and 5860 = 76.4% 5927-5643
[ 5855 area descending 4hr t/line on 1st new 4hr candle of the week

5870-84 prev 4hr/1hr sw hi zone

5885-5905 2 x daily t/f descending trend lines coming thru on Monday's Daily candle incl 5886 85.4% 5927-5643, and 5896 = Daily R2 @/around

5906-16-27 prev 4hr/1hr sw hi zone incl 5907 = Weekly R1 @/around, and 5924 = 50% 6617-5234
5946 76.4% 6165-5234
5961 Monthly R1 @/around
5966 85.4% 6091-5234
5969 Daily R3 @/around
5986/89 2 x fibs incl 50% 6746-5234
5993 Weekly R2 @/around
5999 85.4% 6130-5234
6030 85.4% 6165-5234
6042 Daily R4 @/around
6073-92 incl 6087 = 61.8% 6617-5234
6103-15-30 prev Dly/4hr sw hi zone
6136-65 prev Wkly/Dly sw hi zone incl 6158 = Monthly R2 @/around and 6163 = 76.4% 6454-5234
6167 61.8% 6746-5234
　
To the immediate downside per the current near-term 1hr chart below (Daily and Weekly pivots noy shown.)

G/L
　
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ex member
  • #300,879
  • Feb 18, 2012 3:54am Feb 18, 2012 3:54am
Saw some sign of price staying at HL while my indicator ends at LL, a possible
upward movement. See red lines on price and stochastic indicator

http://i40.tinypic.com/zvigh.jpg

But still, let's wait till Monday.
  • #300,880
  • Feb 18, 2012 4:00am Feb 18, 2012 4:00am
Following from “Forex–Trade Updates (17 Feb 2012)”, GBP/USD formed a support level at 1.56445 (that’s why I long GBP/USD). The risks that I aware is 200 SMA resistance and 1.58821-1.6000.


http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2...g?w=1028&h=482
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