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EURUSD

  • #590,421
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:08pm Jan 31, 2012 11:08pm
Looking fro 1.3006
  • #590,422
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:15pm Jan 31, 2012 11:15pm
selloff selloff selloff
  • #590,423
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:15pm Jan 31, 2012 11:15pm
Target 1.2930
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #590,424
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:22pm Jan 31, 2012 11:22pm
I reckon it will bounce back ( to 1.30700ish ) when europe gets up.
Less is more...
  • #590,425
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:23pm Jan 31, 2012 11:23pm
Quoting sidhujag
selloff selloff selloff
Dare to say if happens, will not happen until this hourly close is done.

Have to see if 8hr 3. support has turned into resistance at 38/39.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #590,426
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:25pm Jan 31, 2012 11:25pm
greedy me,
i was lost confident on my long 50 try to close it for be , best i got -0.2 pip so waited for BE but end up giving -15 to sl
Mohan
  • #590,427
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:27pm Jan 31, 2012 11:27pm
Greek Paper Ekathimerini writes - PSI deal just a "Formal Step" away.

But deal looks like it requires additional public sector funds.... the formal step?

German coalition backing for further funds in doubt
  • #590,428
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:29pm Jan 31, 2012 11:29pm
Give it 2 or 3 weeks and we'll be back in the low 1.26xx and possibly lower.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #590,429
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:35pm Jan 31, 2012 11:35pm
Quoting Z3iz3i
Dare to say if happens, will not happen until this hourly close is done.

Have to see if 8hr 3. support has turned into resistance at 38/39.
Clearly 5min sellers are there but 38/39 is sucking a loads of volume but holding as yet.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #590,430
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:37pm Jan 31, 2012 11:37pm
"
I am still playing the SHS in 4h tf with 129 as a target .
stop if we break 131 ."

maybe target mooved to 12935 ( 12932 being low of 25th )
  • #590,431
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:38pm Jan 31, 2012 11:38pm
Quoting mohan76
greedy me,
i was lost confident on my long 50 try to close it for be , best i got -0.2 pip so waited for BE but end up giving -15 to sl
it's a slow morning with LHs and LLs. I haven't entered a single trade today. too chicken... or maybe my set up is no where to be seen. lol.
  • #590,432
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:40pm Jan 31, 2012 11:40pm
Quoting kuroro001
I've got my eyes on 1,3030 ...let's see if it can go there.
I'll buy below 1,3030 during London if there is no sell off in sight
All done!

Now let's wait for Frankfurt/London
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #590,433
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:42pm Jan 31, 2012 11:42pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Give it 2 or 3 weeks and we'll be back in the low 1.26xx and possibly lower.
But first, we got to take out 1.3000 which will be a hard nut to crack. It lies on some important retracement levels. If it does then our target may be 1.285x and later 1.2652.
  • #590,434
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:45pm Jan 31, 2012 11:45pm
if market really changed sentiment to short, we should see a clear break of 1.30. otherwise if we see a bullish change from the 38.2 % upward retracement...

http://i.imgur.com/d0sEz.gif
eurusd, d1, gmt+1

we will see
.:: your stop loss is another trader's first target ::.
  • #590,435
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:47pm Jan 31, 2012 11:47pm
Quoting happytrader
it's a slow morning with LHs and LLs. I haven't entered a single trade today. too chicken... or maybe my set up is no where to be seen. lol.
short of gray area i playing 1/5th today
Mohan
  • #590,436
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:48pm Jan 31, 2012 11:48pm
Quoting Retek
But first, we got to take out 1.3000 which will be a hard nut to crack. It lies on some important retracement levels. If it does then our target may be 1.285x and later 1.2652.
Agree.. bears sleep under 1.3
Less is more...
  • #590,437
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:49pm Jan 31, 2012 11:49pm
Quoting mohan76
greedy me,
i was lost confident on my long 50 try to close it for be , best i got -0.2 pip so waited for BE but end up giving -15 to sl
Wise decision buddy. Personally will wait for the 3120 - 3150 area to go short again. At the moment I cannot figure anything out of what this market is trying to do.
  • #590,438
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:49pm Jan 31, 2012 11:49pm
Quoting Passerby
On 95% confidence level:
We could not reject that EURUSD does not granger cause Dollar Index on lag 2. And we also could not reject that Dollar Index does not granger cause EURUSD on lag 2.

We could not reject that EURUSD does not granger cause Dollar Index on lag 1. And we could not reject that Dollar Index does not granger cause EURUSD on lag 1.

Thats mean EURUSD movement do have effect on Dollar Index(since i use natu5ral log value of EURUSD and Dollar Index) AND Dollar Index do have effect on EURUSD movement. But from probability value,...

the USDX is a weighted Geometric average, meaning that relative to each other the basket is weighted so the currencies in question do not affect the mean dis-proportionally due to the amount in the exchange rates i.e the Yen being large numbers does not have more weight than the Euro.

having said that
the basket is composed of:

58.6% Euro
12.6% yen
11.9% GBP
9.1% CAD
4.2% Swedish Krona
3.6% CHF


That is the reason I say that The Euro will dictate the strength of the USDX as all the other currencies combined amount 41.40%
so a change in the Eur/Usd has the biggest impact on the USDX. However the USDX is very useful as it basically reflects the Eur/Usd in flipped image as to give you 2 ways to look at the same thing, and because loss in value in the USD will be felt across the board so you see the EUR/USD go up, kind of like the chicken and the Egg.

however if the USD loses ground but the Euro is weak also, 41.40% of the other currencies will not have as much effect as a change in the Euro as it takes the biggest share in the weighted average.
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #590,439
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:50pm Jan 31, 2012 11:50pm
Taking back 3040 is significant. Lets see if it holds through the euro cash equity open.
  • #590,440
  • Jan 31, 2012 11:51pm Jan 31, 2012 11:51pm
Quoting Z3iz3i
Dare to say if happens, will not happen until this hourly close is done.

Have to see if 8hr 3. support has turned into resistance at 38/39.
two questions if it closes above then what would be the next target and if closes below then what would be the next ............
narender sehrawat from india
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