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  • #318,521
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:08am Nov 3, 2010 8:08am
As a new trader, will you guys watch from the sidelines today as the announcement is made on QEII or will you try and get in just after the news shows which way the USD is expected to go..???
  • #318,522
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:08am Nov 3, 2010 8:08am
Quoting T.E.Lawrence
There is some reaction - PA broke 5m trendline and got below my 8h trendline (green) I posted before. And now there's a pullback - so we have to wait for a decision, whether to go south or resume previous trend.

Attachment
May be a normal pa totally ignoring the news of any kind or very positive news did some negative reaction & usdx to continue bear whatever small it be .
lets see it usd need more news reactions thoughout the day including bid rates to have any sizable positive reaction or break down to further lows before it rest on a good support . right news on a wrong time perhaps .
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #318,523
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:09am Nov 3, 2010 8:09am
Quoting kuroro001
These are 3 pips bounce...lol
but news is coming .
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #318,524
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:09am Nov 3, 2010 8:09am
Quoting infinitus
I have updated my blog


We made a new high at 4059. It was 1 pip higher than the high before. For the triangle count (it is the count where we are in blue "e" of red "D") this opens the door for further movement up (maybe to the blue ac-trendline), or that upmove concluded red "D".

Options over options over options............




In case of the "thrust" scenario we might be in a flat correction.




All three counts of the previous post of my blog remain valid
your a hard worker, I take my hat off to you...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #318,525
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:10am Nov 3, 2010 8:10am
A good ISM should make the pair fall....2 good USD news and the big boys might unload some short USD right before the fed statement i'd say.

I went short earlier.
1,4005-1,3970-1,3930-1,3880 on the downside.
And i guess we cannot really expect a descent move ahead of the fed statement.
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #318,526
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:10am Nov 3, 2010 8:10am
many views out there... found this one interesting...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #318,527
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:11am Nov 3, 2010 8:11am
smells like a probe of 4000/02 possible...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #318,528
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:13am Nov 3, 2010 8:13am
Ok, short @4017.
  • #318,529
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:14am Nov 3, 2010 8:14am
Head and shoulders brake....kind of...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #318,530
  • Edited 8:15am Nov 3, 2010 8:15am | Edited 8:15am
Very nice bearish engulfing may show up at next M15 bar close. Will it play out ?

1.4007/1.4022 area is tough and a confluence of SR, Fibos, Ichimoku cloud (M15), ...
Don't just be a sheep : make your own idea of it.
  • #318,531
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:15am Nov 3, 2010 8:15am
Quoting sisse
there are some serious players starting to shift their midterm views on the EZ zone.
The chart astrologists phrase trade what you see should be completed what you don't see determines the direction.
Yes EZ economy overall is worse than US. Serious players after the QE hype settles will become aware of Ez reality.
Short EUR long USD
  • #318,532
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:17am Nov 3, 2010 8:17am
Quoting PayTheLimit
bears need this 15min close under 4026/28 in my opinion to get any mo going....

make that 4026/28 resistance on bounces....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart1.gif Size: 18 KB
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #318,533
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:20am Nov 3, 2010 8:20am
Quoting akhtergroup
Sell some more. But it would take a $1.43 print for me to hit the red button again. My last sale was $1.4104 about 16 trading days ago. Other than that I've been playing golf.
think it all depend on ur MM..
  • #318,534
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:23am Nov 3, 2010 8:23am
Quoting PayTheLimit
make that 4026/28 resistance on bounces....
same as of morning back again , possible bounce 4007, 3991 most likely and 3966, 37 next lines of defense as heavy news coming.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #318,535
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:23am Nov 3, 2010 8:23am
Quoting slickjack
any ickimuko traders here? I am staying short while below 15m tenkan, could go lower, thin cloud? (short at 1.4050 hoping for a nose dive!)
i would not short if price cross tenkan, i use ichimoku for TS/KS cross over and higher time frame should confirm,my advise do not use ichimoku week signal on small TF
  • #318,536
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:25am Nov 3, 2010 8:25am
Quoting catnip
The chart astrologists phrase trade what you see should be completed what you don't see determines the direction.
Yes EZ economy overall is worse than US. Serious players after the QE hype settles will become aware of Ez reality.
Short EUR long USD
I'm still thinking we are here to reload shorts for mid/long term move. I have a hard time explaining it, but this PA seems fake to me (remember I'm a noob : I'm mostly wrong). Meanwhile, as I know I know nothing, I'm trying to trade what happens on intraday basis : long scalp this morning, short one right now.

I'll monitor PA for the next 30 minutes, if we can move below 1.4007 before the news, I'll close my shorts and look to jump long again. If not, I'll keep them, tightening the sl and hoping for the news to push to the south through this zone. Something is cooking and next news session may be funny, or not ...
Don't just be a sheep : make your own idea of it.
  • #318,537
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:25am Nov 3, 2010 8:25am
LOL. Your comments are rather too simplistic, misleading and doesn't reflect any quantifiable measure . However, I do agree that in the last couple of months EZ has been relatively in "better" position just because of the uncertainty in the US economy (QE, etc) and not because of a real recovery . In any case good luck with your shorts.

sisse

Quoting catnip
The chart astrologists phrase trade what you see should be completed what you don't see determines the direction.
Yes EZ economy overall is worse than US. Serious players after the QE hype settles will become aware of Ez reality.
Short EUR long USD
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #318,538
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:25am Nov 3, 2010 8:25am
Quoting infinitus
I have updated my blog


We made a new high at 4059. It was 1 pip higher than the high before. For the triangle count (it is the count where we are in blue "e" of red "D") this opens the door for further movement up (maybe to the blue ac-trendline), or that upmove concluded red "D".

Options over options over options............




In case of the "thrust" scenario we might be in a flat correction.




All three counts of the previous post of my blog remain valid


Thrust count updated........ see pics on blog......
  • #318,539
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:29am Nov 3, 2010 8:29am
Quoting PayTheLimit
your a hard worker, I take my hat off to you...


Hi PayTheLimit,

thank you :-)


But I think I do not work harder than anyone earning money with Forex trading. Everyone has to do his/her analysis. The job is required to be done......

Many pips to you,


Markus
  • #318,540
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:29am Nov 3, 2010 8:29am
still got short running, but decided to put a trailing stop on it now...
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