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EURUSD

  • #318,501
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:22am Nov 3, 2010 7:22am
E/U locked down. USD shoulda bounced
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #318,502
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:25am Nov 3, 2010 7:25am
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  • #318,503
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:28am Nov 3, 2010 7:28am
Sell on rallies!
  • #318,504
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:29am Nov 3, 2010 7:29am
Quoting redsword11
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They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #318,505
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:33am Nov 3, 2010 7:33am
716 traders watching...
Hm, seems no one is certain of the continuation
  • #318,506
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:34am Nov 3, 2010 7:34am
me thinks bears need to take out 4017/19 to get any ideas....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #318,507
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:36am Nov 3, 2010 7:36am
those are decisive moves we're witnessing...
  • #318,508
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:37am Nov 3, 2010 7:37am
Quoting akhtergroup
Looks like the sell programs are having another field day trying to liquidate short positions. Saw a futures gap earlier tonight that never filled. (around ~1.4007).

Holding and building short positions over the span of over a month isn't an easy task especially when you have these proggies competing for higher and higher prices when the slightest bit of real offers hit the table. A bit frustrating when these boxes are trying to scare you out of winning positions. (If i was leveraged more than 1:10 I think i would be smashing the shit out of...
if u are a trend follower, price is nv too high, e past 3 weeks movement around 1.4 is prob a consolidation. where it will move probably will see it today..

if u say gaps definitely is going to be filled, i can tell u there is a gap in AU at around 0.95 i think? can price go over n fill it? ha.
  • #318,509
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:38am Nov 3, 2010 7:38am
any ickimuko traders here? I am staying short while below 15m tenkan, could go lower, thin cloud? (short at 1.4050 hoping for a nose dive!)
  • #318,510
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:46am Nov 3, 2010 7:46am
Potent but impotent , no any news reaction either side !!
anyway closed scalping shorts & start long bit by bit .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #318,511
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:47am Nov 3, 2010 7:47am
Quoting yuan83
if u are a trend follower, price is nv too high, e past 3 weeks movement around 1.4 is prob a consolidation. where it will move probably will see it today..

if u say gaps definitely is going to be filled, i can tell u there is a gap in AU at around 0.95 i think? can price go over n fill it? ha.
The consolidation is blatantly obvious and induced by the sell programs seeking higher prices. I couldn't tell you about AUD/USD gap as I do not trade that pair. The difference here is I don't think there is a gap, I know it.
  • #318,512
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:47am Nov 3, 2010 7:47am
Interesting "good" #s before the FED announcement. However, the key news at the moment is the massive sell off of bonds in Ireland and Greece at the exactly same levels they started going down in May.

Still the key FED news and the NFP to come before anything else but definitively there are some serious players starting to shift their midterm views on the EZ zone.

For those interested check FT web pages for CDS and Bonds and this just published news in Wall Street Journal (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/iri...ist=beforebell)

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #318,513
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:50am Nov 3, 2010 7:50am
Eyes on USDCHF....

below 9783 --> short

EURUSD consequently (long)
The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #318,514
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:52am Nov 3, 2010 7:52am
bears need this 15min close under 4026/28 in my opinion to get any mo going....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #318,515
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:56am Nov 3, 2010 7:56am
Quoting fontu
Potent but impotent , no any news reaction either side !!
anyway closed scalping shorts & start long bit by bit .
fontu
There is some reaction - PA broke 5m trendline and got below my 8h trendline (green) I posted before. And now there's a pullback - so we have to wait for a decision, whether to go south or resume previous trend.

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  • #318,516
  • Edited 8:08am Nov 3, 2010 7:57am | Edited 8:08am
Quoting mercy seat
Hello Trade Raper,

thank you for your well formulated views ... incl. your chart grafics ... which shows the three parts of upmoves and your 127.2 % fib-enhancement (now I understood what you mean) ... I will try to reply from time to time ...

OK ...

I wrote ... as follows ... and this should be taken as my kind of TA outlook for today ...


Simplified Daily Outlook For EUR/USD :

Fine ... may be ... may be not ... move structures looks as if completed already or as if prior to an end of bullish wave ... but can easilly...

Simplified Daily Outlook For EUR/USD : Mid-Day Europe

Fine ... may be ... may be not ... move structures looks as if completed already or as if prior to an end of bullish wave ... but can easilly go further ... with a fourth peak ... etcetera pp ...

I still expect to see a move towards 1.4076 (in late European Session possible) as long as 1.4009 and 1.3991 zone (Daily Central Pivot) will offer some support ... in other words 1.4009 - 1.3991 could be re-tested ... and we never do know if this might hold or not at this stage ...

Elliott : points still to the upside same way as yesterday ... 1.4079 is still our point to watch out for at first ...

;-)


http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif

2010-11-03_10h00_ChartStation_EURUSD 120min _ 001.PNG (128.6 KB)


1.40594 has been highest after first test of daily PP zone ...

1.4044 represents 92% level of previous days range upside ...

1.40584 has been our previous days high ...


1.4044 - 1.4059 should be crossed soon ... otherwise one more pullback in the cards again ...

timing is an important theme as well ... in other words ... if not crossed soon ... then we have had our fun ... now it is lunch time in good old Europe at first ... and we did cover some larger parts ... before heading to the lunch ...

so what (?) ... nobody did die from taking a little profit to the safer side from time to time ...

be active ... always play with your 'break even' at specific levels of reaction ... pre-calculated reactive points ...

but don't touch it in the zones of running between the fences - let it run then - you should see the typical electro fences between those areas before you touch it ... zing !


http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif

2010-11-03_13h55_ChartStation_EURUSD 010min _ 001.PNG (104.9 KB)


got no time ... must go now again

Post Scriptum:

After this rise of today ... a move to the downside is expected again ... if not above 1.4100 limits a retracement towards targets below 1.3991 is then possible ... also 1.3961 - 1.3931/ 24 in the cards in case of an extention then ...


palim palim

;-)
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2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #318,517
  • Nov 3, 2010 7:57am Nov 3, 2010 7:57am
Quoting akhtergroup
The consolidation is blatantly obvious and induced by the sell programs seeking higher prices. I couldn't tell you about AUD/USD gap as I do not trade that pair. The difference here is I don't think there is a gap, I know it.

hmm i tot u say price will go down to 1.31. sorry if my tone sounds rude, not wad i intend..


so u building short? wad if price move the other way.
  • #318,518
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:01am Nov 3, 2010 8:01am
Its getting tough now, bulls had no intention to respect 1.4036 (1/2 swing from 1.4053 - 1.4019) as they were trying to build an setup just under 200EMA / 1min tf, so i shorted those few pips on pullback

It's not that risky while volumes are so low. But i think its good to wait for ISM unless tight range PING PONG is close your heart.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #318,519
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:05am Nov 3, 2010 8:05am
I have updated my blog


We made a new high at 4059. It was 1 pip higher than the high before. For the triangle count (it is the count where we are in blue "e" of red "D") this opens the door for further movement up (maybe to the blue ac-trendline), or that upmove concluded red "D".

Options over options over options............




In case of the "thrust" scenario we might be in a flat correction.




All three counts of the previous post of my blog remain valid
  • #318,520
  • Nov 3, 2010 8:07am Nov 3, 2010 8:07am
Quoting yuan83
hmm i tot u say price will go down to 1.31. sorry if my tone sounds rude, not wad i intend..


so u building short? wad if price move the other way.
Sell some more. But it would take a $1.43 print for me to hit the red button again. My last sale was $1.4104 about 16 trading days ago. Other than that I've been playing golf.
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