Hey guys,
What is going to happen if NFP is going to be better than last month but worse than forecast?
What is going to happen if NFP is going to be better than last month but worse than forecast?
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DislikedNo entirely true.
Whilst lagging in one respect, employment data does provide distinct clues to the strength of the consumer, and their ability and willingness to spend in the months ahead. Don't forget, the consumer accounts for roughly 2/3 of the US economy.Ignored
DislikedIt lags both ways, and you can't judge an economic recovery by an increase in unemployment alone. There are some really good studies done by the fed during the recession of the 70's and how unemployment figures continued to increase while the economy was recovering.
A recovery can be so tenuous that employers continue to shed employees to increase their capital first. They can also continue to lay people of while their business is recovering just to shed unprofitable parts of their business, there are myriads of reasons that unemployment can continue...Ignored
DislikedIt definately isn't... Just took a adrenaline shot of about 1Trillion Dollars and it is now starting to wear off...
I say anarchy in 10 years...Ignored
DislikedThere are some really good studies done by the fed during the recession of the 70's and how unemployment figures continued to increase while the economy was recovering.Ignored
QuoteDislikedI am not saying that the US is recovering now, that is another debate in itself.
Dislikedhi paul from a fundy point of view..u think pound is going up or down?Ignored
Disliked.
Neither am I my man. The way I see it; because of things at work, what is happening to everybody I know ( not they they have lost their jobs but somebody in their family has ), 7 weeks ago here where I live, over 500 people stood in line for 8 job openings paying $9.50 USD per hour---a side note on that is that a Tornado warning was issued at the time with sirens blaring and lightning striking but yet few gave up there place in line.
It's scary.Ignored
DislikedYou are actually strenghtening my argument, 1 trillion on a job package and nobody got hired while the output is increasing.Ignored
DislikedNot that I'd be prepared to trade purely based on my - often flawed and imperfect - understanding of the world.....
However, in answer to your question, a large part depends, I think, on whether the Fed embarks on further QE in order to reflate the slowing economy....Ignored
DislikedNot that I'd be prepared to trade purely based on my - often flawed and imperfect - understanding of the world.....
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DislikedSorry Delite I just noticed you are from U.K.
Naptown here in the states is otherwise known as Indianapolis, Indiana.Ignored
DislikedTechnicals seem somewhat less subjective an analysis than fundamental.
G/LIgnored
DislikedNo problem! Never been to Indianapolis, but we have good friends who live in Chicago and have a place in Wisconsin. Both terrific places.
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