USD/CHF | Page 334 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

USD/CHF

Similar Threads

GBP/CHF and USD/CHF 955 replies

Correlation EUR/USD, USD/CHF, EUR/CHF (Humour me please... Thx) 8 replies

Can only view EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF through broker? 1 reply

EUR/CHF, USD/CHF turning up? 1 reply

Using usd/chf - eur/usd correlation to see moves in EUR/USD 46 replies

Attachments: USD/CHF
Exit Attachments

USD/CHF

  • #6,661
  • Jun 16, 2026 1:33am Jun 16, 2026 1:33am
Probability Distribution Curve (6SU6 Implied Volatility)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 15 KB


my last pendings are waiting @7899.
chaos is just unknown order
  • #6,662
  • Jun 17, 2026 2:31pm Jun 17, 2026 2:31pm
Just closed all usdchf long positions @ 0.8003
The internet is full of bots giving trading advises. Be careful!!
  • #6,663
  • Jun 18, 2026 2:15pm Jun 18, 2026 2:15pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Immagine 2026-06-18 211409.png Size: 32 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 3 KB
chaos is just unknown order
  • #6,664
  • Jun 18, 2026 6:21pm Jun 18, 2026 6:21pm
0.8075 is next
The internet is full of bots giving trading advises. Be careful!!
  • #6,665
  • Jun 18, 2026 6:44pm Jun 18, 2026 6:44pm
I've been watching USD/CHF lately and it's been pretty choppy. After that strong dollar run earlier this year, the pair pulled back hard when the SNB held rates steady. I'm still long from around 0.88 but it's testing my patience with all the ranging.

The Swiss franc feels like a safe haven play right now with all the global uncertainty. What do you guys think—anybody catching the recent bounces or waiting for a clearer break below 0.87? I've been scaling out small pieces on rallies to manage risk. Solid pair for longer-term holds if you're patient.

Anyone else trading it actively these days?
  • #6,666
  • Edited 9:06pm Jun 18, 2026 8:18pm | Edited 9:06pm
Quoting Pandora92
I've been watching USD/CHF lately and it's been pretty choppy. After that strong dollar run earlier this year, the pair pulled back hard when the SNB held rates steady. I'm still long from around 0.88 but it's testing my patience with all the ranging. The Swiss franc feels like a safe haven play right now with all the global uncertainty. What do you guys think—anybody catching the recent bounces or waiting for a clearer break below 0.87? I've been scaling out small pieces on rallies to manage risk. Solid pair for longer-term holds if you're patient....
Remain Calm.
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...8#post15744758
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 21 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 24 KB
Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #6,667
  • Jun 18, 2026 8:37pm Jun 18, 2026 8:37pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 32 KB
Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #6,668
  • Jun 18, 2026 11:22pm Jun 18, 2026 11:22pm
Quoting Pandora92
I've been watching USD/CHF lately and it's been pretty choppy. After that strong dollar run earlier this year, the pair pulled back hard when the SNB held rates steady. I'm still long from around 0.88 but it's testing my patience with all the ranging. The Swiss franc feels like a safe haven play right now with all the global uncertainty. What do you guys think—anybody catching the recent bounces or waiting for a clearer break below 0.87? I've been scaling out small pieces on rallies to manage risk. Solid pair for longer-term holds if you're patient....
Currently .87 is irrealistic, for now.
in terms of probabilities according the current macro conditions there s only a 20% for a target @ ~ .8350 max. On weekly basis.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Immagine 2026-06-19 061300.png Size: 15 KB


It depends by how much time (and margin) u have to wait and how you manage your positions, anyway. But u already know, i m sure of that
chaos is just unknown order
  • #6,669
  • Jun 18, 2026 11:30pm Jun 18, 2026 11:30pm
Quoting GhosTraderGT
{image}
i m following that div since it has started, with all the patience needed but ihmo to have some chances of a overvalue of dollar against swiss franc we ll'have to wait at least a couple of years and a very favourable conjuctures
chaos is just unknown order
  • #6,670
  • Edited 3:53am Jun 20, 2026 2:27am | Edited 3:53am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} i m following that div since it has started, with all the patience needed but ihmo to have some chances of a overvalue of dollar against swiss franc we ll'have to wait at least a couple of years and a very favourable conjuctures

No doubt Luxyus. I agree. No one is certain if price will get to 0.87 and when! We all have different approach & methods to project & confirm price direction despite market uncertainty and based on your response you are referring to the longer term scenario. I tend to focus on the short/mid term price movement + direction.

I have valid setups (multiple bullish scenarios & confluences on the HTFs with "likely projected targets") + current interest rate differential on this pair further confirming current USD strength vs CHF. So far USD is making a retracement effort looking at the HTF chart especially on the weekly. For now cant say if it is indeed a reversal but same question remains, how far up can it go? My projections (give or take 300-400 pips from current price) - 0.8090(current), 0.8200, 0.8400, 0.8500. *+ a break above 0.8120 would confirm my analysis.

I have strong interest on this pair and have a feeling of a market shift from CHF/GOLD to USD.

Till then as we watch PA unfold.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 21 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 26 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 20 KB
Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #6,671
  • Jun 20, 2026 3:16am Jun 20, 2026 3:16am
Quoting GhosTraderGT
D1 {image} {image}
Before and After
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 40 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 35 KB
Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #6,672
  • Jun 22, 2026 12:02am Jun 22, 2026 12:02am
like a magnet, guess what
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 14 KB
chaos is just unknown order
  • #6,673
  • Jun 22, 2026 4:40am Jun 22, 2026 4:40am
For intraday shorts there s life only untill 0.8065, for now. It s the 0TDE strike, MM will reject once touched.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 33 KB
chaos is just unknown order
  • #6,674
  • Jun 23, 2026 1:57am Jun 23, 2026 1:57am
ive been analysing it for a bit now, it will be an uptrend for atleast the next week if not a bit longer, there will be a draw down but thats just a correction then its back up again
  • #6,675
  • Jun 23, 2026 2:11am Jun 23, 2026 2:11am
A wedge has formed on the H1 timeframe for the USDCHF pair. The resistance level of 0.8093 has been holding the price for three days now, pushing it lower. If the lower boundary of the wedge is broken, the support level of 0.8012 could be a selling target. If the price breaks upward from 0.8093, the resistance level of 0.8128 could be a buying target.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 49 KB
  • #6,676
  • Jun 23, 2026 2:40am Jun 23, 2026 2:40am
Quoting Jeks
A wedge has formed on the H1 timeframe for the USDCHF pair. The resistance level of 0.8093 has been holding the price for three days now, pushing it lower. If the lower boundary of the wedge is broken, the support level of 0.8012 could be a selling target. If the price breaks upward from 0.8093, the resistance level of 0.8128 could be a buying target. {image}
by checking volumes, till now, it s an intraday re-accumulation process. the move expected is still to the upside

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 16 KB


as for yesterday, 0tde options are again on 0.8065. it s th institutional floor. unbreakable at least for today.
chaos is just unknown order
  • #6,677
  • Jun 24, 2026 3:10am Jun 24, 2026 3:10am
HOD most probable .8129
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 19 KB
chaos is just unknown order
  • #6,678
  • Jun 24, 2026 2:34pm Jun 24, 2026 2:34pm
Calls OTM also trading above puts OTM and ITM they're expensive. There could be something cooking here.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2026-06-24_12_26_54_USD_CHF_cot_asset_mgr_spread_ratio-scaled.jpg Size: 76 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2026-06-24_12_26_54_USD_CHF_cot_noncomm_spread_ratio-scaled.jpg Size: 73 KB
  • #6,679
  • Jun 25, 2026 12:24am Jun 25, 2026 12:24am
Quoting PowerupFx
Calls OTM also trading above puts OTM and ITM they're expensive. There could be something cooking here. {image} {image}
Yes, there's definitely something going on, and you've identified a profound structural anomaly in the derivatives market. The fact that yesterday, OTM (Out-of-the-Money) calls on USD/CHF were trading at higher premiums than both OTM and ITM (In-the-Money) puts certifies a technical phenomenon called "Positive Risk Reversal Skew." This isn't just graphical noise: when calls at the same distance from the spot price cost more than puts, it means institutions are paying an asymmetric volatility premium to hedge against a sharp rise in the dollar (or a collapse in the franc).
Yesterday, we witnessed a gamma squeeze triggered by the need to conduct massive delta hedging above the 0.81strike. This is why OTM calls have become so expensive: market makers, terrified of being caught in another multiday forced buying loop, have inflated call premiums to discourage buyers and protect their books.
chaos is just unknown order
  • #6,680
  • Jun 25, 2026 1:58am Jun 25, 2026 1:58am
Quoting Luxyus
For intraday shorts there s life only untill 0.8065, for now. It s the 0TDE strike, MM will reject once touched. {image}
I like this.
Institution vs Retail.

You have data for GBPUSD? It should be mixed i guess.
Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
3 traders viewing now