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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #868,641
  • Nov 14, 2025 10:09am Nov 14, 2025 10:09am
Quoting Nordling
I see some members deleting their previous posts, i wonder why they do it Come on guys, what are you trying to prove by deleting posts when the market goes against you. Who are we trying to impress? Let's keep it real, if we get it wrong we get it wrong. Shit happens
That does not show maturity. Every professional traders knows it's a game of Risk/Reward management.

Mine is to do my best and Ignore market to do whatever...
Market Structure is the King.....
  • #868,642
  • Nov 14, 2025 10:12am Nov 14, 2025 10:12am
Quoting MrFanciful
My guess is, that given that the market sees interest rate cuts as positive for the currency, knowing that the Fed are going to be starting QE again is also being seen as positive. Enjoy your regular Friday dollar rocket I'm off for the weekend.
This guy's moving the market doesn't even look at news and result. They always start from a pre-determined point and move it to a destination.

It is we at our end that tends to give reason to justify like already priced in and so on ....

My perspective.
Market Structure is the King.....
  • #868,643
  • Nov 14, 2025 10:28am Nov 14, 2025 10:28am
another week like the weeks before
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trading is like dancing, don't think and just listen to the music!
  • #868,644
  • Nov 14, 2025 10:28am Nov 14, 2025 10:28am
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  • #868,645
  • Nov 14, 2025 11:53am Nov 14, 2025 11:53am
Ok, I'm calling it a week. Thankfully only 2 small losses. Hopefully we'll wake up to a more stable market on Monday. Cheers All
  • #868,646
  • Nov 14, 2025 12:54pm Nov 14, 2025 12:54pm
So I think I need some help.

I’ve got a strategy that really seems to work. Every day I go home and use cTraders backtesting features to go over the day and trade it, strictly adhering to my entry requirements, trend direction etc etc. I tend to make a decent profit. Not every day but most days.

However, when I’m trading in real time, whether on live or on demo, I can’t stick to the strategy. The market just moves too slowly and I get thoughts of “this could be the bottom of the pull back” and enter when it doesn’t fit my criteria.

This doesn’t happen when going over the day later on. I find I’m not even thinking at all.

I feel like my strategy isn’t the problem, given the results when I stick to it from that day, but my in ability to stick to it in real time.

Any tips?
  • #868,647
  • Nov 14, 2025 1:17pm Nov 14, 2025 1:17pm
Quoting MrFanciful
So I think I need some help. I’ve got a strategy that really seems to work. Every day I go home and use cTraders backtesting features to go over the day and trade it, strictly adhering to my entry requirements, trend direction etc etc. I tend to make a decent profit. Not every day but most days. However, when I’m trading in real time, whether on live or on demo, I can’t stick to the strategy. The market just moves too slowly and I get thoughts of “this could be the bottom of the pull back” and enter when it doesn’t fit my criteria. This doesn’t...
if your'e up for zoom sometime let me know
  • #868,648
  • Nov 14, 2025 1:18pm Nov 14, 2025 1:18pm
Quoting MrFanciful
So I think I need some help. I’ve got a strategy that really seems to work. Every day I go home and use cTraders backtesting features to go over the day and trade it, strictly adhering to my entry requirements, trend direction etc etc. I tend to make a decent profit. Not every day but most days. However, when I’m trading in real time, whether on live or on demo, I can’t stick to the strategy. The market just moves too slowly and I get thoughts of “this could be the bottom of the pull back” and enter when it doesn’t fit my criteria. This doesn’t...
Any tips?

 

  1. welcome to join my tg room also

  • #868,649
  • Nov 14, 2025 1:20pm Nov 14, 2025 1:20pm
Quoting T721
{quote} if your'e up for zoom sometime let me know
Thanks a lot. I’ll definitely take you up on it.
  • #868,650
  • Nov 14, 2025 1:34pm Nov 14, 2025 1:34pm
Quoting MrFanciful
{quote} Thanks a lot. I’ll definitely take you up on it.
ok, will dm you link. once in scroll all tha way to the start. Dont bother reading the messages there are too many (unless theyr'e from me)

Watch all the videos on 2x speed then watch them all again
  • #868,651
  • Edited 2:22pm Nov 14, 2025 2:10pm | Edited 2:22pm
Quoting MrFanciful
So I think I need some help. I’ve got a strategy that really seems to work. Every day I go home and use cTraders backtesting features to go over the day and trade it, strictly adhering to my entry requirements, trend direction etc etc. I tend to make a decent profit. Not every day but most days. However, when I’m trading in real time, whether on live or on demo, I can’t stick to the strategy. The market just moves too slowly and I get thoughts of “this could be the bottom of the pull back” and enter when it doesn’t fit my criteria. This doesn’t...


until you fix yourself your cannot fix the market


every strategy is tied to price action so strategy is not your problem, anyone can place a profitable trade but when the Psychology is bad you cannot remain consistent, another point is Day trading is really hard and for someone who is not discipline its very likely that account will be blown is trying to open position on daily.

you need to approach the market with same mindset, master same approach, example if your customer know you as a phone dealer and dey always contact you for phones but suddenly you start dealing in chemicals or drugs, you will need to start looking for another buyers, so this mean that if you often change your strategy you are approaching the market with unrepeatable deals and such is hard to negotiate with.
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #868,652
  • Edited 4:33am Nov 15, 2025 2:37am | Edited 4:33am
Quoting MrFanciful
So I think I need some help. I’ve got a strategy that really seems to work. Every day I go home and use cTraders backtesting features to go over the day and trade it, strictly adhering to my entry requirements, trend direction etc etc. I tend to make a decent profit. Not every day but most days. However, when I’m trading in real time, whether on live or on demo, I can’t stick to the strategy. The market just moves too slowly and I get thoughts of “this could be the bottom of the pull back” and enter when it doesn’t fit my criteria. This doesn’t...
This is aimed specifically at impulsive, impatient, with self-discipline problems.
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...aimed-at-first

Mainly these videos
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...0#post15447490

And this exercise
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...9#post15455619

Hesitancy - minor
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...6#post15449386

Fear if its got that bad
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...0#post15455640

And ego
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...7#post15459067

Checklists / slow it down
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...8#post15452968

And this is coin toss, running for two weeks. When I was at my shittest, this coin toss wiped the floor with me. If this is better than your last two weeks it's psychology.

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Up to post #23, skip my strategy that isn't important, skip all those bits, its a demonstration that strategy doesn't matter.

I've had similar problems, but you somehow learn to slowly change and ignore it. I've had stressful jobs before, difficult sole trader roles, technically more difficult than this, but trading exposes parts of you, that you don't know exits. This was by far the hardest, most brutal relentless, constant punch in the face that I have ever experienced.

You need to see results, and then it compounds itself and slowly things will change.

I was same in simulator too, ctrader at 200x -500x not a problem, go to 1x and I was shitter than shit, plus I had life and money issues. Went to bed miserable, screaming, throwing things, went on for nearly 18 months, searching for strategies and fear had taken a bad grip of me. The coin toss showed me how much of an idiot I was, I needed money and with stress you can't sometimes see clearly, and with depression, it's a recipe for disaster. It's worth confronting the issues, if you really want to be succesful at this, you have to face and confront yourself, brutal honesty why? The sense of accomplishment is immense, you will feel amazing when you do accomplish it and if you are determined, put in the hours - you will.
  • #868,653
  • Nov 15, 2025 3:17am Nov 15, 2025 3:17am
h4 rejection candles from important 1.3140 support. also from 50% fibo and from daily 38% fibo.

these are very bullish signs for longterm
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trading is like dancing, don't think and just listen to the music!
  • #868,654
  • Nov 15, 2025 4:19am Nov 15, 2025 4:19am
Inserted Video
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #868,655
  • Nov 15, 2025 4:21am Nov 15, 2025 4:21am
2 x interesting charts (,?) as of the week's close:

Probably not the extent of upside follow-thru on the previous week's wkly bullish hammer/pinbar candle close that the bulls hoped for, as of this week's close, but @ the week's 3216 hi price still broke upside of the dly and mthy parts of the prev dly/wkly/minor mthly sw lo zone = prev sbr = pot sbr that starts @ 3140, which on the wkly t/f is, as mentioned before, very wide, and extends up to circa 3267! The <13wk awr (68%) wkly candle closed neutral-bullish.

Friday spent the day in contraction mode after the day's lo and hi were printed early in the London session in a mad couple of hours of price swings. Price @ the day's/week's close had broken upside of the tightest 1hr triangle thingy.

Wkly, then 1hr, below
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Trader with an Edge.
  • #868,656
  • Edited 9:05am Nov 15, 2025 4:34am | Edited 9:05am
Quoting MrFanciful
So I think I need some help....
Hi. You are suffering from what the late, great trading Author Mark Douglas calls the Profit Gap. Ie the difference between having a proven net profitable Trading Edge, and actually trading it profitably; and the difference is almost always psychological.

Assuming the 'strategy' you mention does indeed represent an edge in the market, and that this is proven over a representative sample(s) on the instrument(s) and t/f (s) you trade, in the market conditions it is best suited to, to your satisfaction, then you are suffering from a lack of patience and discipline, and the 1st step is for you to examine your emotions and decide Why? This is a crucial question, don't dismiss it. Try and understand why you are acting the way you do in a live account, - what is/are the core reason(s,) you are acting without the requisite patience and discipline? Only then will you have a chance of correcting the issue.

EDIT: typo.
Trader with an Edge.
  • #868,657
  • Nov 15, 2025 9:33am Nov 15, 2025 9:33am
Pivots as of week's close:

As mentioned price opened the now old week above it's Wkly Pivot, and had 3 trips below it, but closed above, and did not bother the old Wkly S1 or Wkly R1 all week. It has not made it above the Mthly Pivot so far this month, after opening the month below it. The upside b/o of Yrly R1 (@/around 3197,) and the midpoint of said Yrly R1and Yrly R2, (which is @/around 3540,) to the 3788 CYH were both false, but price is still above the Yrly Pivot, which is @/around 2749.
Trader with an Edge.
  • #868,658
  • Nov 15, 2025 9:50am Nov 15, 2025 9:50am
Quoting birdland
h4 rejection candles from important 1.3140 support. also from 50% fibo and from daily 38% fibo. these are very bullish signs for longterm {image}
thanks for that, thats all you need to see at your chart to make a trade!
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #868,659
  • Nov 15, 2025 1:21pm Nov 15, 2025 1:21pm
Looking for long Monday on GU then think it could reverse after later on in week.
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  • #868,660
  • Nov 15, 2025 2:16pm Nov 15, 2025 2:16pm
I find the price action from last Friday very strange, up and down many times from support to resistance and sometimes it jumped few pips in one time.
The Pound might keep range in these 200 pips or so in the coming weeks, but you never know it all depends nowadays on what side of the bed Trumps wake-up!
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