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  • #853,441
  • Feb 7, 2025 1:26pm Feb 7, 2025 1:26pm
Quoting JeremiaDa
{quote} email: [email protected]

you shud delete that and just private message the address...unless you like getting spam from all over the world
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #853,442
  • Edited 1:46pm Feb 7, 2025 1:32pm | Edited 1:46pm
Major Trump U-turn on China tariffs after furious shoppers were hit with hefty fees
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmone...hein-temu.html

guess we didn't have to wait for the weekend for dear leader to speak
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #853,443
  • Feb 7, 2025 1:49pm Feb 7, 2025 1:49pm
The best way to shut someone up when they keep harping on is to ask them a question that they are unable to answer, try it, it works everytime...
  • #853,444
  • Feb 7, 2025 1:50pm Feb 7, 2025 1:50pm
Quoting Waveskierrob
The best way to shut someone up when they keep harping on is to ask them a question that they are unable to answer, try it, it works everytime...

u forgot a picture to go along with the comment ...its not like u waverobski LOL
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #853,445
  • Feb 7, 2025 2:04pm Feb 7, 2025 2:04pm
Quoting Zebi
{quote} u forgot a picture to go along with the comment ...its not like u waverobski LOL
Sorry my bad......I should work for Tescos..." every little helps"...
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...nighty night
  • #853,446
  • Feb 7, 2025 2:07pm Feb 7, 2025 2:07pm
Quoting 7154Superman
{quote} TP got hit. Account balance is back to $200.20. It's bedtime now. Then I gotta drive my truck through NFP. See you tomorrow after. I may still be able to get another trade in.
Well, I never managed to be available to trade during the volatile price action today, so I'll wait until Sunday evening/Monday to try again.
So, today gets chalked up as a breakeven/no trade day.
According to my chart, EUR/USD price action stayed inside the flag, so scalping is still the best option. Sell high, buy low.
Note: I set those lines 2 days ago and they do not move. If we see price action going outside of those lines and holding outside, then that should begin a new trend in that direction.
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You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #853,447
  • Feb 7, 2025 2:18pm Feb 7, 2025 2:18pm
Attachment g
Attachment g
yes yes yes
  • #853,448
  • Feb 7, 2025 2:19pm Feb 7, 2025 2:19pm
Quoting 7154Superman
{quote} Well, I never managed to be available to trade during the volatile price action today, so I'll wait until Sunday evening/Monday to try again. So, today gets chalked up as a breakeven/no trade day. According to my chart, EUR/USD price action stayed inside the flag, so scalping is still the best option. Sell high, buy low. Note: I set those lines 2 days ago and they do not move. If we see price action going outside of those lines and holding outside, then that should begin a new trend in that direction. {image}
Just as an update, that short yielded me 55 pips today. I hope you find that cutting edge system that makes you consistently profitable.
  • #853,449
  • Feb 7, 2025 2:19pm Feb 7, 2025 2:19pm
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yes yes yes
  • #853,450
  • Feb 7, 2025 2:25pm Feb 7, 2025 2:25pm
Quoting W0lfram
{quote} Hi, Superman Since gains and losses have reciprocal relationship 1.05*(1 - 0.04761) = 1 Your system can be simplified to 1:1 with 0.5(?) probability of win. I.e. unless the probability of win is >0.5, then you will remain with your initial capital, after name_the_number of trades (on average) You can expect to end a year with ~$70-130, $300 with tremendous amount of luck (0.1%) Are you sure the price will constantly hit your TP level sooner than SL?
Yes, my TP will be hit way more often than stop loss if I exercise proper intelligence, trading experience, patience, and discipline, therefore giving me a predictive advantage, knowing when is the best time to enter a trade, when hitting TP first is more likely than SL.
Now, if I would just flip a coin, then no, the stop loss is more likely to get hit since the SL will initially be 2 pips closer to my open position than TP if you calculate the spread which is usually around 1.5 pips.
This system requires me to learn from my mistakes in order to be more efficient with placing a trade and avoiding getting the SL hit, and therefore, more profitable per day on average, which would mean faster compounding.
You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #853,451
  • Feb 7, 2025 2:43pm Feb 7, 2025 2:43pm
Quoting W0lfram
{quote} Basically, what is your win rate? If 50% - it's no way. I took 55% and 1000 trades x 1000 simulations Whether you can maintain this exponential system for a long time and how your broker will react is another questions {image} {image}
Now you get the picture. That's exactly what I was talking about. As far as win rate is concerned, that depends on exercising proper intelligence, experience, patience, and discipline. Practice makes perfect. So yes, 55% win rate should be bottom line as an amateur.
And since you're projecting 1 trade per day, and at 55% win rate, that's 0.6% ROI per day (or per trade) or basically finishing a +5% win cycle every 8 days or so, now what if I can average 2-5 trades per day at 55% win rate? That would increase the compounding growth dramatically for a year's time. Your simulation was for 1,000 trades in 1,000 trading days, correct? So, if I would average 3.88 trades per day, that would be 1,000 trades per year. So that end result can be done within a year, and a +5% win cycle could be completed in an average of slightly more than 2 days.
Or if my skill improves and my win rate gets to 60%? Try those simulations for 1 trade per day, as well as for 2, or even 3 trades per day. What's the compounded growth for a year?
You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #853,452
  • Feb 7, 2025 2:53pm Feb 7, 2025 2:53pm
Quoting TooSlow
{quote} One of the main problems in trading, and in life, is the focus on others.
Yes, so Nubcake focuses on demeaning me and riling me up in whatever way possible when I'm simply minding my own business.
So, if he would leave me alone, that would mean a lot to me.
You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #853,453
  • Feb 7, 2025 3:08pm Feb 7, 2025 3:08pm
Quoting JeremiaDa
{quote} don't forget the bank trader pdf too
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Bank trader strategy (1).pdf   2.2 MB | 278 downloads
  • #853,454
  • Edited 3:27pm Feb 7, 2025 3:13pm | Edited 3:27pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Just as an update, that short yielded me 55 pips today. I hope you find that cutting edge system that makes you consistently profitable.
What % ROI did those 55 pips gain you after including all prior stop losses, if any, since your last profitable trade?
Please calculate your ROI based on your whole trading account balance, especially if you didn't have open trades on other currency pairs at the same time.
Or maybe you could post your total pips won and total pips lost for the last day or two or for the last week and then calculate your ROI based on what your account balance was before you started like at the beginning of this week.
I'll try to keep y'all updated on my progress.
You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #853,455
  • Feb 7, 2025 3:30pm Feb 7, 2025 3:30pm
the president may have a coronary from this TIME magazine cover

elon sitting in trumps chair behind the resolute desk LOL

I may cut back some of my longs sunday cause next week gona be chaotic with trumps ego hurt this way..who knows what he'll do or tweet...he's already threatening japan with tariffs LOL


oh hell..ill do it now

just closed half at 2409...ill buy em back on a breakout over the neckline...yes I'm chicken and going into the bushes cause trumpy gona be grumpy all weekend LOL
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short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #853,456
  • Feb 7, 2025 3:38pm Feb 7, 2025 3:38pm
GBP is always bullish until it isn’t. Clearly, the weakening of the US Dollar will continue until it reaches the top of its trading range for many months ahead, along the last observable trading range within a single timeframe, one chart, unless an unexpected event occurs. Trump and Elon are good for business, but not good for strengthening the US Dollar. The middle zone is always noisy, with ups and downs.

Lel.
fooled by randomness in art
Meditation All Time Return: 8.9%
  • #853,457
  • Feb 7, 2025 6:48pm Feb 7, 2025 6:48pm
United Kingdom Economic Analysis – February 2025
The UK economy is showing clear signs of weakness, with growth stagnating, inflation remaining stubborn, and business and consumer confidence deteriorating. GDP growth was flat at 0.0% in Q3 2024, down from 0.4% previously, confirming a lack of recovery momentum. Although annual GDP growth improved slightly to 0.9%, it remains dangerously close to recession territory. The labor market is also struggling, as unemployment rose to 4.4%, signaling that Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts have failed to stimulate job creation. Inflation, meanwhile, remains a problem at 2.5% YoY, with a worrying monthly uptick of 0.3%, suggesting price pressures are still present. Projections indicate inflation could reach 3.7% by Q3 2025, raising fears of stagflation—where inflation rises while growth remains weak.
The UK’s external position remains a major concern, with a trade deficit of £4.76B and a current account deficit of -£18.1B (-3.3% of GDP), making the economy highly dependent on foreign capital. Government debt has climbed to 97.6% of GDP, leaving little room for fiscal stimulus, while persistent budget deficits (-4.4% of GDP) suggest potential austerity ahead. Business sentiment has collapsed to -47, the worst since the COVID-era, while both manufacturing (PMI: 48.3) and services (PMI: 50.8) show little to no growth. Consumer confidence has also fallen sharply to -22, leading to weaker retail sales, which declined by 0.3% in December. High corporate (25%) and personal (45%) tax rates continue to discourage investment and limit disposable income, further weighing on domestic demand.
Conclusion
The UK economy is facing a tough road ahead, with no clear signs of recovery. Growth is stagnant, inflation remains a problem, and both businesses and consumers are losing confidence. With government debt near 100% of GDP and no fiscal space for stimulus, the burden falls on the BoE, which has already started cutting rates. However, these cuts have not yet helped the economy, and with inflation expected to rise, the central bank may find itself trapped. Given the weak fundamentals, the outlook for the British pound remains bearish in the near term.
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https://x.com/moneyprinte
  • #853,458
  • Feb 7, 2025 7:40pm Feb 7, 2025 7:40pm
Quoting 7154Superman
{quote} Now you get the picture. That's exactly what I was talking about. As far as win rate is concerned, that depends on exercising proper intelligence, experience, patience, and discipline. Practice makes perfect. So yes, 55% win rate should be bottom line as an amateur. And since you're projecting 1 trade per day, and at 55% win rate, that's 0.6% ROI per day (or per trade) or basically finishing a +5% win cycle every 8 days or so, now what if I can average 2-5 trades per day at 55% win rate? That would increase the compounding growth dramatically...
I've used old template, forgot to fix days to trades.
This was done for 1000 trades due to simplicity and, I would say, this is the correct way to state the problem in this case - bc of -4.761%.
You have constant, desired outcome for a day - there is nothing to model -- initial_$*1.05^n
So think of it as, equity of size S will be achieved after n trades with given probability values.
How these trades distributed in time Literally, it could be any. I don't feel I'm ready to write a nested Monte Carlo simulations for a post on FF

Let's make an example:
5%^200 days = 1 729 260
How many trades you need to take to reach this value having 0.55 : 0.45 probabilities
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0.6 : 0.4
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But it's just a model, not even a back-test nor a strategy. I have strong doubts that this will work in reality. Exponential equity curve of that scale is kinda utopia in trading.
Anyway, O. was my first broker, wish you to bankrupt them
Air force
  • #853,459
  • Feb 7, 2025 8:00pm Feb 7, 2025 8:00pm
Quoting W0lfram
{quote} I've used old template, forgot to fix days to trades. This was done for 1000 trades due to simplicity and, I would say, this is the correct way to state the problem in this case - bc of -4.761%. You have constant, desired outcome for a day - there is nothing to model -- initial_$*1.05^n So think of it as, equity of size S will be achieved after n trades with given probability values. How these trades distributed in time Literally, it could be any. I don't feel I'm ready to write a nested Monte Carlo simulations for a post...
Very impressive. -91.86% drawdown and -71.86% drawdown in 1000 simulations. What if it's only, for example, 67 simulations (67 trades), max 3% a day, or 3 trades? Lel
fooled by randomness in art
Meditation All Time Return: 8.9%
  • #853,460
  • Feb 7, 2025 8:05pm Feb 7, 2025 8:05pm
Quoting 7154Superman
{quote} Yes, so Nubcake focuses on demeaning me and riling me up in whatever way possible when I'm simply minding my own business. So, if he would leave me alone, that would mean a lot to me.
"It's not what happens to you, but how you react to it that matters.". This emphasizes the idea that we cannot control external events, but we can control our reactions to them, which is the core principle of Stoic philosophy.
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