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Weekly Top-Down Technical Analyses

  • #1,981
  • Aug 4, 2024 3:26pm Aug 4, 2024 3:26pm
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

GBPUSD market operation on the weekly time frame printed an ambivalent candlestick last week. Market operation made a bearish retest of the 61.8 Fib retracement area of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. We may see a bullish pushback in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDWeekly.png Size: 14 KB


Last Thursday GBPUSD price action on the daily time frame broke below the 61.8 Fib retracement area of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. But there was no bearish follow-up on Friday as bulls pushed back the bearish drive. We may still see further bullish pushback in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDDaily.png Size: 14 KB


GBPUSD price action went sideways towards the end of Friday after a bearish break below the 61.8 Fib retracement area of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. As there was a relatively strong bullish pushback before price action went sideways, we may see further northward move in the early part of the week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,982
  • Aug 11, 2024 2:22pm Aug 11, 2024 2:22pm
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

XAUUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is consolidating in a rising wedge (red). Last week, the market operation printed a bullish pinbar at the upper region of the wedge. Thus, technically, we may still see further northward move within the wedge.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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XAUUSD price action on the daily time frame is consolidating within a rising wedge (red) but presently it is respecting an intra-day trendline (blue) and disposed northwards. Although the bullish momentum decreased on Friday, we can still expect further northward move, perhaps to retest an intra-day area of value.

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XAUUSD price action on the H4 time frame is making a bullish challenge to the recent bearish liquidity charge that broke below an intra-day rising trendline (blue). We may see a northward market engineering to an intra-day area of value before a southward turnaround.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDH4.png Size: 18 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,983
  • Aug 11, 2024 2:38pm Aug 11, 2024 2:38pm
USDJPY Weekly Technical Outlook

USDJPY market operation on the weekly time frame broke down a rising trendline(purple) traceable to March 2023 last week but snapped back into it. The move printed a long bullish pinbar at the 146.600 area, which had served as horizontal support, and at an intersection with the rising trendline. Technically, this condition favours bulls more than bears.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Last week Monday, USDJPY price action on the daily time frame broke down a rising trendline (purple) traceable to Mach 2023. However, there was a bullish pushback on Tuesday and by Friday price action turned sideways just above the trendline. Presently, price action is at the intersection of the trendline and the 146.600 area, an area which had served as horizontal support since March. Technically, we may still see further bullish move in the early part of the week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYDaily.png Size: 16 KB


USDJPY price action on the H4 time frame is in a bullish retracement of a bearish drive from the 155.400 area. Presently, price action is consolidating at the 38.2 Fib area, and we may still see a further northward move in the early part of the week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 16 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,984
  • Aug 11, 2024 3:12pm Aug 11, 2024 3:12pm
EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

Last week the EURUSD market operation on the weekly time frame turned sideways after the previous week’s bullish retest of the 50-fib retracement of a bearish swing traceable to May 2021. The area is aligned with the 1.09150 area which has held as horizontal resistance since March 2024.

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On Monday last week, the EURUD price action on the daily time frame made a bullish break out from the 1.09150 horizontal resistance area. However, there was a bearish challenge to the move on Tuesday which led to a bearish break below the area on Thursday before price action turned sideways on Friday. Technically, we may see a southward market engineering in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The EURUSD price action on the H4 time frame consolidated for the most part of last week after a northward market engineering on Monday. Technically, we may see a southward market engineering in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,985
  • Aug 11, 2024 3:54pm Aug 11, 2024 3:54pm
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

The GBPUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is in a bearish mode. However, there is a lack of bearish momentum. Last week, market operation printed a doji-like candlestick at the 61.8 fib-retracement area of the bearish swing traceable to May 2021.

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GBPUSD price action on the daily time frame is in consolidation within a falling channel (magenta). Presently, price action is at the upper channel line and adjoined to the 61.8 fib-retracement area of the bearish swing traceable to May 2021. We can expect a bearish reaction at the area.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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GBPUSD price action on the H4 time frame is consolidating within a falling channel (magenta). Presently, price action is located at the upper channel line and adjoined to the 61.8 fib-retracement area of the bearish swing traceable to May 2021. We can expect a southward disposition from the area.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 16 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,986
  • Aug 18, 2024 2:26pm Aug 18, 2024 2:26pm
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

XAUUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is in a rising wedge (blue). Last week, market operation printed a relatively big bullish candlestick that closed at the upper wedge line. This followed the indecision candlestick printed the previous week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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XAUUSD price action on the daily time frame is in a bullish mode within a rising wedge (blue). The bullish print of broke above the 2469.78 horizontal resistance which had been in place since July 17. Technically, bulls are more favoured than bears, but we cannot rule a bearish correction before further bullish drive.

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The bullish drive of XAUUSD price action on the H4 time frame petered on Friday to close at the upper trendline of a rising wedge (blue) within which it has been operating. Therefore, we may see a bearish corrective move in the early part of the week before further bullish momentum.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDH4.png Size: 15 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,987
  • Aug 18, 2024 2:49pm Aug 18, 2024 2:49pm
USDJPY Weekly Technical Outlook

USDJPY market operation on the weekly time frame is operating in a rising channel (purple). Last week, bears attempted a breakdown of the channel, but bulls resisted the move. This led to the printing of a miniature bullish print at the lower channel line.

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USDJPY price action on the daily time frame is operating in a rising channel (purple). A bearish attempt to break down the channel has been resisted by bulls. But there is minimal northward move. Presently, price action is sideways a few pips above the lower channel line. We should await what price action does at Monday close.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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USDJPY price action on the H4 time frame is in consolidation above the lower channel of a rising channel within which it has been operating for several weeks. However, the technical impulse favours bears more than bulls.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,988
  • Aug 18, 2024 3:13pm Aug 18, 2024 3:13pm
EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

EURUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is in a bullish mode. Last week, market operation printed a bullish candlestick which broke above the indecision print of the previous week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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EURUSD price action on the daily time frame printed a bullish candlestick on Friday after the consolidation of the previous two days. Technically, bulls ae favoured to push further northward at least in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Towards the end of last week, EURUSD price action on the H4 time frame regained the bullish mode after bears pushed back the bullish drive that began at the beginning of the week. The technical impulse favours bulls.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,989
  • Aug 18, 2024 3:39pm Aug 18, 2024 3:39pm
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

GBPUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is in a bullish mode. There was a four-week bearish correction of the bullish drive that began towards the end of June. Presently, market operation is at the 1.29500 horizontal resistance area. But we may still see further northward move in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDWeekly.png Size: 14 KB


GBPUSD price action on the daily time frame is in a bullish mode within a rising channel (blue). On Friday, there was a bullish breakout from the two-day consolidation that began on Wednesday. We may still see further northward move in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDDaily.png Size: 16 KB


GBPUSD price action on the H4 time frame assumed a bullish mode after a bearish retest of the rising channel (blue) within which it is operating. We may still see further northward move within the channel

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 17 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,990
  • Aug 25, 2024 2:23pm Aug 25, 2024 2:23pm
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

XAUUSD market operationon the weekly time frame is in a bullish mode within a rising wedge (blue). Last week, week market operation printed a bullish pinbar at the upper wedge trendline.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDWeekly.png Size: 15 KB


XAUUSD price action on the daily time frame is in a consolidating mode at the upper trendline of a rising wedge (blue). The technical impulse is bullish, and we may see a bullish break of the wedge in the early part of the week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDDaily.png Size: 15 KB


XAUUSD price action on the H4 time frame is retesting the upper trendline of a rising wedge (blue). Bears had pushed back an intra-day bullish break of the wedge, but bulls are regaining control price action. We may see further bullish drive in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDH4.png Size: 15 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,991
  • Aug 25, 2024 2:33pm Aug 25, 2024 2:33pm
USDJPY Weekly Technical Outlook

USDJPY market operation on the weekly time frame is bearish. Last week, market operation printed a bearish candlestick that broke down the rising channel (purple) which has constrained market operation for several weeks.

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USDJPY price action on the daily time frame is bearish. Several days ago, price action broke down a rising channel (purple) within which it was operating. There was a bullish drive that restored price action within the channel but bears pushed back to break down the channel. We may still see further southward move in the early part of this week; this may lead to a retest of an intra-day area of value.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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USDJPY price action on the H4 time frame is presently consolidating. However, the technical impulse favours bears more than bulls.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,992
  • Edited 3:21pm Aug 25, 2024 3:04pm | Edited 3:21pm
EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

EURUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is bullish. Last week, the market operation printed a relatively big bullish continuation after a bullish break out of the previous week from the 1.09100 former horizontal resistance area. Presently, market operation is close to the 1.12220 horizontal resistance area that has been in place since July 2023. The area aligns with the 61.8 fib retracement of the bearish swing that began in May 2021.

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EURUSD price action on the daily time frame is bullish. Presently, price action is about 30 pips below the 1.12220 horizontal resistance area that has been in place since July 2023. The area aligns with the 61.8 fib retracement of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. Technically, although we may still have a northward move in the early part of the week, we can expect bears to challenge a significant bullish break of the 1.12220 horizontal resistance area.

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EURUSD price action on the H4 time frame is in a bullish mode. We may still see further northward move in the early part of the week. But as price action is just 30 pips below the 1.12220 horizontal resistance area that has been in place since July 2023, we may see some bearish challenge to further bullish drive.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 11 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,993
  • Aug 25, 2024 3:26pm Aug 25, 2024 3:26pm
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

GBPUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is bullish. The bullish print of last week closed at the upper trend line of the rising channel (blue) within which market is operating. The area aligns with the 1.32190 horizontal resistance which has been in place since March 2022.

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GBPUSD price action on the daily time frame is bullish. Presently, it is at the upper trend line of the rising channel (blue) within which it has been operating for quite a while. The area aligns with the 1.32190 horizontal resistance which has been in place since March 2022. Technically, we may see a bearish challenge to further bullish drive in the area.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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GBPUSD price action on the H4 time frame is bullish but price action is the 1.32190 horizontal resistance area which has been in place since March 2022. Technically, price action may experience bearish pressure in the area.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 13 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,994
  • Sep 1, 2024 2:05pm Sep 1, 2024 2:05pm
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

In August, XAUUSD market operation on the monthly time frame, printed a long-tailed bullish candlestick that technically confirmed a rising channel (blue).

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XAUUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is within a rising channel (blue). Presently, market operation is sideways at the upper part of the channel and near the upper channel trendline. A doji-lke candlestick was printed last week which repeated the indecision print of the previous week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDWeekly.png Size: 15 KB


XAUUSD price action on the daily time frame is sideways at the upper part of a rising channel (blue). Recent price action has also produced a rising trendline (red), which may be a target of any bearish rotation.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDDaily.png Size: 16 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,995
  • Sep 1, 2024 2:19pm Sep 1, 2024 2:19pm
USDJPY Weekly Technical Outlook

In August, USDJPY market operation on the monthly time frame broke down the rising channel (purple) within it has been for several months. The bearish candlestick printed in August surged below the channel attempting to retest the 140.675 horizontal support area before bulls pushed it back further northward to close at the previously broken-down 146.155 horizontal support

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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USDJPY market operation on the weekly time frame went sideways after a bearish breakdown of the rising channel (purple) which constrained it for several weeks. Recent technical print favours further northward move, at least in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYWeekly.png Size: 14 KB


USDJPY price action on the daily time frame is making a bullish correction of the bearish drive that broke down the rising channel (purple) which had been intact for several weeks. Presently, price action is located at the 146.155 intra-day horizontal resistance below the channel. Nevertheless, we may still see further northward price action to retest an intra-day area of value in the early part of the week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYDaily.png Size: 14 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,996
  • Sep 1, 2024 2:37pm Sep 1, 2024 2:37pm
EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

EURUSD market operation on the monthly time frame disposed bullish in August after being sideways since February. In August, market operation printed a bullish candlestick which broke above the 1.10470 horizontal resistance before retesting the 1.1200 longer-term horizontal resistance which is proximal to the 61.8 Fib retracement of the bearish swing traceable to May 2021. However, the relatively prominent ‘wick’ on the top of the candlestick is indicative of bearish challenge to bulls.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDMonthly.png Size: 14 KB


EURUSD price action on the weekly time frame went sideways after a bullish drive towards the 1.1200 horizontal resistance which is proximal to the 61.8 Fib retracement of the bearish swing traceable to May 2021. There was a bullish drive to the area two weeks ago, but bears pushed back last week and the bearish candlestick closed at the 1.10470 horizontal support area.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDWeekly.png Size: 14 KB


EURUSD price action on the daily time frame is bearish. Presently, price action is retesting an intra-day horizontal support at the 1.10470 area and we may not see strong directional momentum in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 13 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,997
  • Sep 1, 2024 2:54pm Sep 1, 2024 2:54pm
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

GBPUSD market operation on the monthly time frame is bullish. The bullish print of August broke above the 1.28870 horizontal resistance area which has held as resistance since July 2023.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDMonthly.png Size: 15 KB


Last week, GBPUSD market operation on the weekly time frame printed a relatively small bearish candlestick as opposed to the relatively big bullish candlestick printed two weeks ago. Technically, the impulse favours bulls more than bears.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDWeekly.png Size: 14 KB


GBPUSD price action on the daily time frame is making a bearish correction of the bullish drive to the 1.32600 horizontal resistance area. Although we may still see an intra-day bearish retest of an area of value in the early part of the week, the technical impulse favours bulls more than bears.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDDaily.png Size: 13 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,998
  • Sep 8, 2024 2:41pm Sep 8, 2024 2:41pm
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

XAUUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is in a rising channel (blue). Recent market operation has yielded a rising wedge within the channel. The last three prints have produced an ambivalent market operation at the upper channel trendline, which indicates a decline in bullish momentum.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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XAUUSD price action on the daily time frame went sideways after a bullish breach of the rising channel (blue) within which it has been operating. But recent price action has formed a horizontal channel (magenta) spanning 2469.19/2526.08, and we may not see sustainable directional momentum until the channel is significantly breached on a daily closing basis.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDDaily.png Size: 16 KB


XAUUSD price action on the H4 time frame is consolidating with the 2469.19/2526.08 horizontal channel (magenta). We may not see sustainable directional momentum until the channel is significantly breached on a daily closing basis; perhaps with a liquidity sweep to retest an intra-day area of value.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDH4.png Size: 15 KB




I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,999
  • Sep 8, 2024 3:09pm Sep 8, 2024 3:09pm
USDJPY Weekly Technical Outlook

USDJPY on the weekly time frame is bearish. Last week, market operation broke down an area of consolidation that has been in place for two weeks below a rising channel (purple) which market had constrained market operation for several weeks. Presently, market operation is at the 142.200 horizontal support area.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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USDJPY price action on the daily time frame broke below a rising channel (purple) on August 5 but was challenged by bulls for a northward retracement within the channel. A bearish pushback that broke below the channel was resisted by bulls which resulted in a consolidation below the channel. Presently, price action is in a bearish mode, and we may see further southward drive in the early part of this week. The dominant technical structure is bearish.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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USDJPY price action on the H4 time frame is presently sideways at the 142.261 horizontal support area, but the dominant technical structure is bearish.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #2,000
  • Sep 8, 2024 3:15pm Sep 8, 2024 3:15pm
EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

After the bearish rejection of the 61.8 fib retracement of the bearish swing traceable to May 2021 two weeks ago, EURUSD market operation went sideways last week after a mediocre bullish challenge that failed to break above the bearish print of the previous week.

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EURUSD price action on the daily time frame went sideways towards the end of last week. On Wednesday, bull effected a pushback of the bearish drive to the 1.10250 horizontal support area. But there was no significant bullish follow-through on Thursday. On Friday, bears resisted further bullish move but could not close below the low of the bullish print of Thursday. The bearish print of Friday has a long top-wick and a relatively short tail.

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EURUSD price action on the H4 time frame turned sideways after a bullish correction of the prevailing bearish technical impulse. Presently, price action is at the 1.10840 intra-day horizontal support. We may see further bearish move in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
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