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Weekly Top-Down Technical Analyses

  • #1,961
  • Edited 3:33pm Jun 30, 2024 3:00pm | Edited 3:33pm
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

GBPUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is sideways. It is at the 1.26670 area, which is about 125 pips below the 61.8 Fib retracement of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. Market operation has been tackling the 1.26670 area in the past two weeks.

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GBPUSD price action on the daily time frame has broken down a rising channel (magenta) within which it has been operating since May 2024. On Monday it made a bullish retest of the lower boundary of the channel before a bearish pushback. Presently, price action is sideways below the channel. Technically we may expect a bearish turnround should bulls fail to gain a bullish momentum in the early part of this week.

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GBPUSD price action went sideways as it retests the 1.26430 intra-day horizontal resistance. The technical impulse favours bears more than bulls. The dominant technical structure is bearish.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 16 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,962
  • Jul 7, 2024 2:53pm Jul 7, 2024 2:53pm
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

XAUUSD market operation on the monthly time frame went sideways in June. There was a bullish drive into the 2355.75/2417.81 horizontal resistance zone (purple) in June before bears pushed back the bullish charge to below the zone.

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Last week, XAUUSD market operation on the weekly time frame broke above a mini area of consolidation that has been in place for two weeks. The bullish candlestick printed last week retested the 2355.75/2417.81 horizontal resistance zone (purple).

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XAUUSD price action on the daily time frame is retesting the 2355.75/2417.81 horizontal resistance zone (purple). Apparently, there is still appetite for further bullish drive

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDDaily.png Size: 13 KB



I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,963
  • Jul 7, 2024 3:05pm Jul 7, 2024 3:05pm
USDJPY Weekly Technical Outlook

USDJPY market operation on the monthly time frame is bullish. In June, market operation broke above the doji-like candlestick printed in May

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USDJPY market operation on the weekly time frame went sideways last week. This is apparently a pause in the bullish drive that began three weeks ago.

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USDJPY price action on the daily time frame met a bearish challenge after breaking above the 160.720 former horizontal resistance on Monday. Presently, bears are retesting the 160.720 area, which may be flipped as support should bulls pushed back the bearish pressure.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYDaily.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,964
  • Jul 7, 2024 3:27pm Jul 7, 2024 3:27pm
EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

EURUSD market operation on the monthly time frame is sideways. In June, market operation printed a relatively small bearish candlestick with shadows on both ends, which is in opposition to the bullish candlestick printed in May. The dominant technical structure is bearish.

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EURUSD market operation on the weekly time frame is bullish. Last week, market operation printed a bullish candlestick that broke out of a mini area of consolidation that was in place for two weeks. Presently, market operation is at the 1.08350 horizontal resistance area.

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EURUSD price action on the daily time frame is bullish. Presently, it is at the 1.08350 intra-day horizontal resistance. Although the dominant technical structure is bearish, the technical impulse favours further northward move.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 13 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,965
  • Jul 7, 2024 3:37pm Jul 7, 2024 3:37pm
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

GBPUSD market operation on the monthly time frame was sideway in June after a doji-like print. Market operation is still within the 1.26000/1.28870 horizontal resistance zone (blue). The zone included the 61.8 fib retracement area of the dominant bearish swing that began in May 2021.

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GBPUSD market operation on the weekly time frame turned bullish last week after breaking out from a mini area of consolidation around the 1.26000 area. Presently, price action is at the 1.28050 area, which is in congruence with the 61.8 fib retracement area of the dominant bearish swing that began in May 2021.

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GBPUSD price action on the daily time frame is bullish. Although, presently, price action is at the 1.28050 area, which is in congruence with the 61.8 fib retracement area of the dominant bearish swing that began in May 2021, the technical impulse favours bulls. Besides, there is a supply area just above the 1.28870 horizontal resistance, and this may incentivize a bullish liquidity charge before a bearish turnaround.

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I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,966
  • Jul 14, 2024 2:39pm Jul 14, 2024 2:39pm
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

XAUUSD market operation on the weekly time frame continued its bullish disposition last week. The bullish print retested the 2417.41 horizontal resistance before being checkmated by bears.

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XAUUSD price action on the daily time frame is retesting the 2417.41 horizontal resistance. However, bears are resisting further northward move, leading to the printing of a doji-like candlestick on Friday. Nevertheless, we may still see further bullish move before a bearish correction.

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XAUUSD price action went sideways towards the end of Friday session. Nevertheless, as the technical impulse is bullish, we can expect further northward move in the short term.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDH4.png Size: 13 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,967
  • Jul 14, 2024 3:02pm Jul 14, 2024 3:02pm
USDJPY Weekly Technical Outlook

Last week, USDJPY market operation on the weekly time frame made a bearish dip into the 155.40/158.20 demand zone (blue). The bearish print was restrained to the upper part of the demand zone.

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USDJPY price action on the daily time frame is in a bearish mode. On Thursday it made a bearish drive to retest the 155.40/158.20/155.40 horizontal support zone (blue) but met a bullish challenge. However, a follow-up price action on Friday printed a bearish candlestick that closed at the upper part of the zone. Technically, we can expect further bearish move within the zone, at least in the short term.

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USDJPY price action on the H4 time frame is in a bearish mode. It is retesting the 158.20/155.40 horizontal support zone (blue). Recent technical pattern favours southward liquidity sweep to an intra-day area of value before a northward rotation.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,968
  • Jul 14, 2024 3:17pm Jul 14, 2024 3:17pm
EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

The 1.09050 area has held as horizontal resistance on the EURUSD weekly time frame for several weeks. The area aligns with the 50 Fib retracement of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. Last week, the market operation printed a bullish candlestick that retested the area without breaching it as resistance.

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EURUSD price action on the daily time frame is in a bullish mode. Last Friday, a bullish drive that began on Thursday retested the 1.09050 horizontal resistance area. The area aligns with the 50 Fib retracement of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. However, recent technical patterns that left an area of market imbalance and liquidity ‘top wicks’ on the left side of the technical field favour further bullish drive, at least to retest an intra-day value area before a southward rotation.

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EURUSD price action on the H4 time frame is in a bullish mode but witnessed a decline in momentum towards the end of the session on Friday. Nevertheless, the technical impulse favours further northward move, at least in the short term.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 13 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,969
  • Jul 14, 2024 3:32pm Jul 14, 2024 3:32pm
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

Last week, GBPUSD market operation on the weekly time frame swept above the 61.8 fib retracement zone of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. The area has held as resistance since the last week of July 2023. Further bullish drive may initially target the 1.31100 horizontal resistance before threatening the 1.32000 area.

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GBPUSD price action on the daily time frame is in a bullish mode. The technical impulse favours further northward move. This may see a retest of the 1.31000 supply area. The dominant technical structure is bearish.

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GBPUSD price action on the H4 time frame is in a bullish mode but witnessed a decline in momentum towards the end of the session on Friday. However, the technical impulse favours further northward move, at least in the early part of this week. The dominant technical structure is bearish.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 15 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,970
  • Jul 21, 2024 2:07pm Jul 21, 2024 2:07pm
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

Last week, XAUUSD market operation on the weekly time frame issued a relatively long bearish pinbar. Technically, this portends a bearish week. But we may still see a brief bullish pullback to retest an intra-day area of value and shake out weak hands before a southward rotation.

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XAUUSD price action on the daily time frame is bearish. However, price action is presently located at the 2400.32 horizontal support, and we may still see a bullish pullback in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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XAUUSD price action on the H4 time frame went sideways towards the end of Friday after a bearish drive to the 2400.32 horizontal support. We may still see a bullish pullback to retest an intra-day area of value before a southward turnaround.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,971
  • Jul 21, 2024 2:25pm Jul 21, 2024 2:25pm
USDJPY Weekly Technical Outlook

USDJPY bearish market operation on the weekly time frame met a bullish challenge last week. This resulted in the printing of a bullish pinbar last week. Whether this results in a northward turnaround this week will require a bullish follow-up in the early part of the week.

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Last Friday, USDJPY price action on the daily time went sideway after a bullish pullback on Thursday of the bearish drive to the 155.400 horizontal support. We may still see further northward move in the early part of this week, particularly if price action significantly breaks out of the immediate horizontal resistance at the 158.200 area.

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USDJPY price action on the H4 time frame is making a bullish correction of the bearish drive to the 155.400 horizontal support. We may see further northward drive for liquidity grab at an intra-day area of value in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,972
  • Jul 21, 2024 3:31pm Jul 21, 2024 3:31pm
EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

EURUSD market operation on the weekly time frame continues to find resistance at the 1.08800/1.09300 area. The area aligns with the 50 Fib retracement of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. Last week, an indecision candlestick was printed in the area, which reflected a bearish challenge to the bullish drive to the area two weeks ago.

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EURUSD price action on the daily time frame was disposed bearish on Friday after a bearish break below the open of the bullish candlestick printed on Wednesday. Should bears succeed in pushing further southwards, we may see a southward liquidity sweep that targets the 1.06000 handle.

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EURUSD price action on the H4 time frame went sideways on Friday after a bearish drop from the 1.09300 horizontal resistance area. Presently, price action is tackling the 1.08800 area. We may still see further bearish move in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,973
  • Jul 21, 2024 3:40pm Jul 21, 2024 3:40pm
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

GBPUSD market operation printed a small bearish candlestick at the 1.30000 area last week. This reflects a bearish challenge to the bullish drive of the previous week. Nevertheless, the bearish candlestick printed last week is relatively smaller than the bullish print of the previous week; thus, technically, market operation on the weekly time frame is sideways.

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GBPUSD price action was disposed bearish on Thursday after a bearish break below the open of the bullish candlestick printed on Wednesday. The Friday bearish follow-up found support at the 1.29100 area. Should bears succeed in pushing further southwards, we may see a technical charge at the 1.27800 horizontal support area, which aligns with the 61.8 Fib retracement of the bearish swing that began in May 2021.

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GBPUSD price action on the H4 time frame went sideways on Friday after a bearish drive to the 1.29100 area. We cannot rule out further southward move in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,974
  • Jul 28, 2024 3:01pm Jul 28, 2024 3:01pm
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

XAUUSD market operation on the weekly time frame turned sideways last week after a bearish rejection of the 2417.81 horizontal resistance area. The candlestick printed last week retested the 2355.75 horizontal support area before a bullish pushback. Presently, market operation is at the 2386.55 area. Technically, market operation is still within the larger 2355.75/2417.81 horizontal resistance zone (purple) seen on the monthly time frame. A significant bearish breakdown of the zone would incentivize a southward drive.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Last Friday, XAUUSD price action on the daily time frame printed a bullish candlestick to challenge the bearish retest of the 2355.75 horizontal support area. We may still see further northward move in the early part of this week before a southward drive. Technically, price action is still within the larger 2355.75/2417.81 horizontal resistance zone (purple) seen on the monthly time frame. A significant bearish breakdown of the zone on a daily closing basis would incentivize a southward rotation.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDDaily.png Size: 13 KB


XAUUSD price action on the H4 time frame is in a bullish corrective mode. Nevertheless, we may still see a northward liquidity grab in the early part of this week before a southward turnaround. The technical impulse favours bears more than bulls.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,975
  • Jul 28, 2024 3:08pm Jul 28, 2024 3:08pm
USDJPY Weekly Technical Outlook

After three weeks of bearish drive, USDJPY market operation on the weekly time frame retested the 151.660 horizontal support area. The area was last visited in May. Last week’s bearish candlestick has a relatively moderate tail, which indicates that bulls are resisting the bearish drive.

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On Thursday, USDJPY price action left a relatively long bullish pinbar at the 151.660 horizontal support area after a bearish retest. However, there was no bullish follow-up on Friday as price action printed an ambivalent candlestick. Presently, price action is at the 153.713 intra-day horizontal resistance area. We may still see a southward liquidity grab before a northward rotation.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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USDJPY price action on the H4 time frame is presently ambivalent. Bulls pushed back the bearish retest of the 151.660 horizontal support area before price action turned sideways. The short-term technical impulse favours bears more than bulls.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,976
  • Jul 28, 2024 3:26pm Jul 28, 2024 3:26pm
EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

EURUSD market operation on the weekly time frame remained constrained by the 1.09000 horizontal resistance area. The area aligns with the 50 Fib retracement of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. After a bullish drive to the area three weeks ago, an indecision candlestick was printed in the area two weeks ago. However, there was no bearish follow-up last week as market operation printed a relatively small bearish candlestick in the area.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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EURUSD price action on the daily time frame broke below the 1.09000 horizontal resistance area some days ago but on Thursday bulls challenged further southward drive. However, there is limited bullish momentum.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 13 KB


EURUSD price action on the H4 time frame is in a bullish corrective mode. However, recent price action has been ambivalent. Nevertheless, we cannot rule out further northward move in the early part of the week before a southward drive.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,977
  • Jul 28, 2024 3:44pm Jul 28, 2024 3:44pm
GBPUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

GBPUSD market operation on the weekly time frame remained constrained by the 1.29600 horizontal resistance area. The area is just above the 61.8 50 Fib retracement of the bearish swing that began in May 2021. Two weeks ago, a small bearish candlestick was printed in the area after a bullish drive to the area three weeks ago. However, there was no bearish follow-up last week as market operation printed an ambivalent candlestick in the area.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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GBPUSD price action on the daily time frame disposed bearish after a breakdown of the 1.28870 intra-day horizontal support on Thursday. However, there was a feeble bullish pushback on Friday.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDDaily.png Size: 14 KB


GBPUSD price action on the H4 time frame turned sideways in the latter part of Friday after a northward move on Thursday. Nevertheless, the market is presently ambivalent.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4.png Size: 12 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,978
  • Aug 4, 2024 2:32pm Aug 4, 2024 2:32pm
XAUUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

XAUUSD market operation is in a bullish mode. The bullish candlestick printed last week surged towards the high of the bearish candlestick printed two weeks ago. The market operation is within a rising channel (red). And market operation is towards the upper part of the channel.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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XAUUSD price action on the daily time frame turned sideways towards the end of last week as it retested the upper trendline of a rising channel (red) within which it has been operating since April. Technically, the market is ambivalent.

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XAUUSD price action on the H4 time frame is presently operating within a rising wedge (blue). Generally, the market is ambivalent but recent technical patterns favour bulls more than bears.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOLDH4.png Size: 16 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,979
  • Aug 4, 2024 2:44pm Aug 4, 2024 2:44pm
USDJPY Weekly Technical Outlook

Last week, USDJPY on the weekly time frame broke below the 151.400 horizontal support area turning it into resistance once again. Presently, market operation is at the 146.50 horizontal support area. But an ascending trendline (purple) traceable to March 2023 is not significantly breached.

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USDJPY on the daily time frame is in a bearish mode. It broke below the 151.400 horizontal support area on Wednesday and, presently, it is tackling the 146.50 horizontal support area and a rising trendline (purple) traceable to March 2023. Therefore, we may still see bullish challenge of any bearish intent in the area.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Although USDJPY price action on the H4 time frame is in a bearish mode, there is a decline in bearish momentum. We may still see a bullish retest of a intra-day value area before further bearish.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 14 KB


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,980
  • Aug 4, 2024 3:03pm Aug 4, 2024 3:03pm
EURUSD Weekly Technical Outlook

EURUSD market operation on the weekly time frame issued a relatively small bullish candlestick last week. The tail on the candlestick technically portends a bullish follow-up this week. But the dominant technical structure is bearish.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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EURUSD price action on the daily time frame is in a bullish mode. We may see a bullish follow-up in the early part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 14 KB



EURUSD price action on the H4 time frame went sideways towards the end of Friday session. Nevertheless, the technical impulse favours bulls. And we may still see further northward move in the erly part of this week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 12 KB



I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
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