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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #754,201
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:21am Jun 26, 2023 4:21am
Somebody, something spook GU....
She's so afraid to move.......
I come from the future.
Karen X Mas Bonus 2025 All Time Profit: $15,104
  • #754,202
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:29am Jun 26, 2023 4:29am
Quoting Pat Chiko
Somebody, something spook GU.... She's so afraid to move.......
I would have said lack of data however last week we had a lot of data and still got nothing… maybe it’s on strike
Insane in the Brain..
  • #754,203
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:35am Jun 26, 2023 4:35am
The USD is in a very tight range so far today. GU, EU and UJ are all showing 'more' activity with UJ most volatile. There is also a possible GAP for the USD to fill!
  • #754,204
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:36am Jun 26, 2023 4:36am
Quoting Headland
{quote} Hi Pat, In my day as a bank/hedge fund trader there weren't as many 'retail traders' and we certainly gave no thought to them re liquidity, stop hunting, or anything like that. Yes, today there are more of them and they contribute more volume but at best guestimates it's still only circa 5% so although some more clued-up boutique funds may know where retail stops are and how they are positioned, most trade longer-term global macro/fundie/quant models so entry is less important than the exit - which will happen some way down the line, when...

Inducement and Liquidity

Yes, market makers (MMs) use liquidity and inducement to their advantage.
They are two of the most important concepts that retail traders need to understand in order to avoid getting caught in their traps.
I come from the future.
Karen X Mas Bonus 2025 All Time Profit: $15,104
  • #754,205
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:44am Jun 26, 2023 4:44am
...so, 1st 30min+ upside break of Asian hi proves false and price returns to Asian pip range, will it attempt a 2nd 'truer' b/o?

1hr below.
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Trader with an Edge.
  • #754,206
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:48am Jun 26, 2023 4:48am
Thank God no major player is here on forum. We are all fish, because of this it doesn't matter what any of us trade and by how much haha. So, all those who are afraid to share their system or won't post live trades because smart money will know are ridiculous.
  • #754,207
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:51am Jun 26, 2023 4:51am
Quoting Pat Chiko
{quote} Inducement and Liquidity Yes, market makers (MMs) use liquidity and inducement to their advantage. They are two of the most important concepts that retail traders need to understand in order to avoid getting caught in their traps.
Inducement and Liquidity

Manifest into chart.
This is how I see ( not necessary correct)
"Can listen but not to follow"
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Any comment welcome
I come from the future.
Karen X Mas Bonus 2025 All Time Profit: $15,104
  • #754,208
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:51am Jun 26, 2023 4:51am
Have any one try silver bullet ICT?
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Cheers
my loss is your gain
  • #754,209
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:53am Jun 26, 2023 4:53am
Quoting TheWraith
Thank God no major player is here on forum. We are all fish, because of this it doesn't matter what any of us trade and by how much haha. So, all those who are afraid to share their system or won't post live trades because smart money will know are ridiculous.
How many retail traders need to fill up a 700lots Daily Institutional Trades at one price Level?
Now at each price level, orders like this or much bigger is waiting to get filled.
Shark eat Shark, in this ocean
More time in the market, does not mean you trade better!
  • #754,210
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:56am Jun 26, 2023 4:56am
Quoting DrDave
{quote} I didn't see Dave posting any trades, so I'll post it myself. If Dave did post trades, then I apologize. That subject has come up previously. I addressed it as well. As a reminder, I had a Trade Explorer open for about a year with every trade available for anyone see and scrutinize. About 330 trades in all. A TE is much more telling than posting "live trade entries", which is why hardly anyone in this thread has a TE open for public scrutiny of the trades. And although no "live entries" are posted, these...
Yo Dr. Actually, if Daily is trending up I'll wait for Hourly to confirm Long and go Long then. Will bypass H4 actually. Today's a shitty day so probably will wait for more active price action before taking any trade.
  • #754,211
  • Jun 26, 2023 4:58am Jun 26, 2023 4:58am
Quoting Fardeen1209
{quote} How many retail traders need to fill up a 700lots Daily Institutional Trades at one price Level? Now at each price level, orders like this or much bigger is waiting to get filled. Shark eat Shark, in this ocean
We would need 100 traders like Pat for this forum to actually be important to smart money.. yeah.
  • #754,212
  • Jun 26, 2023 5:10am Jun 26, 2023 5:10am
Quoting Pat Chiko
{quote} Inducement and Liquidity Manifest into chart. This is how I see ( not necessary correct) "Can listen but not to follow"{image} Any comment welcome
Hi. If I get a set-up (s) to short (confirmed by PA) @ pre-identified potential res or indeed buy @ pre-i.d potential supp then I do, re the t/f's I operate on. Obviously against a strong trend that may exist on a t/f (s) above that the highest t/f set-up or potential set-up appears on then the anti-trend set-up needs to be potentially stronger. (All trends pullback [at least] but care needs to be exercised going against them and for howsoever many pips.) Re inducement to short at that potential 1hr double top you highlight, yeh it could be seen as that - ie to trap traders short before the big push-up again, which is why care must be exercised re targets and expectations, particularly against a strong trend. Let price be our guide on successively higher t/f's, and trade what we see - not what we think. I agree it is important to know about the tactics MM's employ and act accordingly.
Trader with an Edge.
  • #754,213
  • Jun 26, 2023 5:12am Jun 26, 2023 5:12am
Hello Gang

Cheers
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  • #754,214
  • Jun 26, 2023 5:13am Jun 26, 2023 5:13am
Quoting TheWraith
{quote} We would need 100 traders like Pat for this forum to actually be important to smart money.. yeah.
We are at their mercy.
Only an Institutional traders filled another Institutional Traders but the guy who wins is the one with the latest news.
There is a book i read, I dont remember if it is Market Wizard, or another book,
But the thing i still remember from the story it was the time of Pit Trading.
The narrator said that during his time of Pit traders, they were trading Commodity Futures. At one time, Price went up significantly, but he was FOMO and Buy.
They need to shout to place their orders by their brokers. While he shouted at his brokers to buy $X amount of contract, another trader shouted at his broker to sell $X amount of contract.
Everyone in the pit looked at each other.

From this i came to conclusion that people said Retails Vs Instituional Traders is BS. Our Combine power is no match to one Institutional trader.
More time in the market, does not mean you trade better!
  • #754,215
  • Jun 26, 2023 5:18am Jun 26, 2023 5:18am
Quoting BigNumbers
Don’t over trade on Mondays… at most 2 trades and if your stop gets hit… Don’t take any more trade, Go out amd do something else or just trade demo if you don’t have any other thing to do.
i like mondays. new week, new opportunities.
  • #754,216
  • Jun 26, 2023 5:18am Jun 26, 2023 5:18am
Quoting Pat Chiko
{quote} Inducement and Liquidity Manifest into chart. This is how I see ( not necessary correct) "Can listen but not to follow"{image} Any comment welcome
Hi Pat i migth have this wrong, you say the MM induce retail to short at market minor supply (equal highs also). What i was understanding is that they induce retail to long based on false strength by big green bar into supply, to give them liquidity for a raid down before they target your liquidity pool.
hope you don´t mind to give my opinion as i am still learning and want to get this rigth...
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  • #754,217
  • Jun 26, 2023 5:25am Jun 26, 2023 5:25am
Quoting Thenew
{quote} Hi Pat i migth have this wrong, you say the MM induce retail to short at market minor supply (equal highs also). What i was understanding is that they induce retail to long based on false strength by big green bar into supply, to give them liquidity for a raid down before they target your liquidity pool. hope you don´t mind to give my opinion as i am still learning and want to get this rigth... {image}
Hi, If I may contribute something to your point to Pat; That bullish candle body you highlight engulfed the previous 8 candle bodies but closed with an upper wick having encountered supply @ a prev 1hr/minor 4hr sw hi zone = prev res = pot (potential) res...so mostly better to not buy on it's close - at resistance, unless you have the stop below it and can live with the potential for drawdown, and wait to see what happens (or indeed short it!) Ie don't buy @ resistance. If price had followed thru straight away after it's close to the upside right thru the pot res...so what? Plenty more trading opportunities will come along.
Trader with an Edge.
  • #754,218
  • Jun 26, 2023 5:29am Jun 26, 2023 5:29am
As of the exhation formed on 4h and after a week full of choppy market, I think we need a little more retracement until we continue to the upside, and ofcourse the structure is moving slow so we need to be careful in this case .

Dont drink and trade
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  • #754,219
  • Jun 26, 2023 5:35am Jun 26, 2023 5:35am
Quoting Pat Chiko
{quote} Inducement and Liquidity Manifest into chart. This is how I see ( not necessary correct) "Can listen but not to follow"{image} Any comment welcome
You still holding those USDCHF shorts bro?
First time i'm able to make it through weekend holding my UC shorts.
I was just worry about GAP beyond my Stop Loss level on Monday Open

GU been flat for a while now, no decent trade setup seems to appear atm.
Last Day to trade GU was BOE rate release
More time in the market, does not mean you trade better!
  • #754,220
  • Jun 26, 2023 5:48am Jun 26, 2023 5:48am
PA terrible, hence i leave pa alone when it is corrective/corrective on the next HTF
Follow The Markets Structure - Patience and Discipline
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