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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

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  • Post #726,741
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 4:50am Feb 7, 2023 4:50am
  •  2046
  • Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Member | 1,395 Posts
Quoting Fardeen1209
Disliked
{quote} ... 3. I dont believe in any model or 'indicator' apart from the price itself using a line chart instead of a candle chart. ...
Ignored
Hi Fardeen, why do you exclusively post candle charts then?
 
 
  • Post #726,742
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 4:50am Feb 7, 2023 4:50am
  •  sakimer
  • Joined Nov 2022 | Status: Member | 220 Posts
ニワトリの心が理解できなくなったとき、リベンジ
は終わります。

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  • Post #726,743
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 4:52am Feb 7, 2023 4:52am
  •  Uru
  • | Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 149 Posts
Today, you have to take the knives!!!, to be able to revoke some profit, OH!! they go to M1, OH !! don't eat di Dios!! (no one)
 
 
  • Post #726,744
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  • Feb 7, 2023 4:56am Feb 7, 2023 4:56am
  •  SnailFX
  • Joined Jan 2023 | Status: Member | 691 Posts
Quoting SnailFX
Disliked
GBP/USD 15M Went long at 1.20246 SL 10 pips. TP, I don't know yet. 30M candle closing around 1.20350 is bullish. *This trade contains more risk! While 15M candle closed nicely above gray line, 30M suggests Short, while I am banking on Hourly which still suggests Long. If we get engulfing 15M candle that would be the best case scenario for Bulls. {image}
Ignored
GBP/USD 30M

Went Short at 1.20175 (half lot size, to cover potential loss and because 30M confirmed Short.)
SL 20 pips.

Risky trade ended badly haha..

Forgot to screenshot..sorry. (I pressed screenshot, but it remained 15M photo..).

Anyway.. SL hit at 1.20146

Another short added at 1.20079 (No wick).

TP 1.20 for both, perhaps a little lower, we'll see..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • Post #726,745
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  • Feb 7, 2023 4:57am Feb 7, 2023 4:57am
  •  2046
  • Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Member | 1,395 Posts
Quoting sakimer
Disliked
ニワトリの心が理解できなくなったとき、リベンジ は終わります。 {image}
Ignored
cheers sakimer. (its to early for me to have a beer though)
 
 
  • Post #726,746
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  • Feb 7, 2023 4:57am Feb 7, 2023 4:57am
  •  daVirgilio
  • | Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Junior Member | 4 Posts
Quoting Moty
Disliked
{image}{image}
Ignored
This indicator (close all) working well?
 
 
  • Post #726,747
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  • Feb 7, 2023 5:00am Feb 7, 2023 5:00am
  •  Fardeen1209
  • Joined Jul 2021 | Status: Rookie | 1,332 Posts | Online Now
Quoting catch22
Disliked
{quote} 2. When i said "you want" i meant that "you should wait for the market to trade down(up) a lot in previous days". It looks like you misunderstood. 3. Sure. If you say so
Ignored
2. I do get your point, the market need to breath (go into a corrective phase) after an impulsive move (extended movement), and it should be like this. But many time we dont get it, because the fundamentals of the pairs worsen or improve soo much, that the corrective phase get consumed and either we get a range of equal highs/lows or a compression

3. Thanks mate, you at least show the concern and try to help. As every trader has their own trading styles and mine is naked chart with primitive tools like Support and Resistance, because if i got 1 line in my chart, it took away all my focus from what worked consistently for me

Apologized if i sound kinda rude and offensive in my previous post

Cheers Mate and wishing you green pips for your buys and red pips for your shorts
Trade at good levels or no trade at all!
 
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  • Post #726,748
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  • Feb 7, 2023 5:03am Feb 7, 2023 5:03am
  •  dantpm
  • Joined Aug 2022 | Status: Stubborn, slow but still learning! | 2,065 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Headland
Disliked
{quote} Hi mate, ambitious target... G/L with it. ------------------------------------- There is a repeating pattern (s) of bullish reg div in the 30min/1hr/4hr osc's @ current dly lo. Strongish bounce up so far? A reminder of downside fibs below Last 30min close = pinbar Fibs below {image}
Ignored
Trying to follow this chart. It is interesting. Confused by the probabilities of reaching the various targets if I understand correctly. Why don't they add to 1 for example? Even if the odds are incremental if you are closer to the starting point the math isn't clear to me at least at this point.
Stubborn, often slow but still learning!
 
 
  • Post #726,749
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 5:05am Feb 7, 2023 5:05am
  •  Fardeen1209
  • Joined Jul 2021 | Status: Rookie | 1,332 Posts | Online Now
Quoting 2046
Disliked
{quote} Hi Fardeen, why do you exclusively post candle charts then?
Ignored
Hello, idk if there is any rule in the market that said we should only used candle chart or only line chart. We are in the realm of freedom my friend, you can use whatever you seems best for you. Why use only one when you can use both for different analysis on different timeframe?
I use line chart for market structure and trade on candle chart.
Trade at good levels or no trade at all!
 
1
  • Post #726,750
  • Quote
  • Edited 5:19am Feb 7, 2023 5:08am | Edited 5:19am
  •  SnailFX
  • Joined Jan 2023 | Status: Member | 691 Posts
Quoting SnailFX
Disliked
{quote} GBP/USD 30M Went Short at 1.20175 (half lot size, to cover potential loss and because 30M confirmed Short.) SL 20 pips. Risky trade ended badly haha.. Forgot to screenshot..sorry. (I pressed screenshot, but it remained 15M photo..). Anyway.. SL hit at 1.20146 Another short added at 1.20079 (No wick). TP 1.20 for both, perhaps a little lower, we'll see.. {image}
Ignored
Short from 1.20175 TP-ed at 1.20014. The second one at 1.20079 I'll leave for now. Let it run..

GBP/USD 30M (second Short activated due to no wick) 1.20079 SL 1.20329 (25 pips), TP Let it run if it can..

See you later!

Hourly Chart, candle closed below yellow line.
*We could very well see lows of 1.19 today. We'll see..

Sorry for quick change from Long to Short. Whenever chances of this happening are higher then usual, I'll always warn you that trade is risky as I did.
GBP/USD H4 Chart, candle just bounced off of gray line.. until I have at least 15M showing Buy, Bears are in control for today.
GL!
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  • Post #726,751
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 5:10am Feb 7, 2023 5:10am
  •  firsttimer
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Member | 431 Posts
Quoting Fardeen1209
Disliked
How do we know whether it is a breakout or fakeout? By watching the chart, a fakeout is revealed only when the close is far from the Liquidity level. Is there any trader that can please give an insight on how do we trade fakeout, especially if we are flat
Ignored
I guess it depends on the timeframe u are trading. lower tf means more volatility and ranging, fakeouts.

Personally, a convincing break for me is as u mentioned a close far from "liquidity" or demand/supply level.
A bearish or bullish candlestick pattern helps too.
 
1
  • Post #726,752
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 5:12am Feb 7, 2023 5:12am
  •  Headland
  • Joined Apr 2020 | Status: not posting atm | 5,176 Posts
...conflicting - the last two 1hr closes...take your pick. Price challenging top of prev 30min sw lo zone = prev supp = pot supp, leading down to current dly lo now

1hr & 10/20/50 ema crosses - current state of, below
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Intraday (mainly) swing scalper (+,) via a Supp/Res & PA based edge.
 
4
  • Post #726,753
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 5:15am Feb 7, 2023 5:15am
  •  Erto
  • | Joined Feb 2020 | Status: Member | 467 Posts | Online Now
Quoting MrFanciful
Disliked
{quote} So the US can just keep piling on the debt? The money to pay the interest has to come from somewhere. The higher the interest rate, the more money needed to pay the interest on an ever increasing debt. They can either pay it from tax revenues, of which there aren't anywhere near enough tax payers, or they can borrow more and use there new lenders to pay the old lenders, which is a ponzi scheme.
Ignored
Interesting
I'm enjoying the wins because I was once terrified by loses
Erto All Time Return: 6.8%
 
 
  • Post #726,754
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 5:17am Feb 7, 2023 5:17am
  •  BeeTogether
  • Joined Oct 2020 | Status: Member | 6,570 Posts
Quoting Headland
Disliked
...conflicting - the last two 1hr closes...take your pick. Price challenging top of prev 30min sw lo zone = prev supp = pot supp, leading down to current dly lo now 1hr below {image}
Ignored
thinking we have seen todays high already. Nothing in the pair looking to give the bulls a break. New resistance area 12030 can’t see a break
 
4
  • Post #726,755
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 5:22am Feb 7, 2023 5:22am
  •  Headland
  • Joined Apr 2020 | Status: not posting atm | 5,176 Posts
Quoting BeeTogether
Disliked
{quote} thinking we have seen todays high already. Nothing in the pair looking to give the bulls a break. New resistance area 12030 can’t see a break
Ignored
It was certainly a 'fakeout' on the asian hi wasn't it (If I correctly understand what Fardeen1209 means by a 'fakeout' as opposed to beakout?) I don't imagine many sell position stops will have been hit though,? maybe some retail close above the asian hi?
Intraday (mainly) swing scalper (+,) via a Supp/Res & PA based edge.
 
4
  • Post #726,756
  • Quote
  • Edited 5:47am Feb 7, 2023 5:26am | Edited 5:47am
  •  tradexyz
  • Joined Nov 2022 | Status: Member | 795 Posts
how hard is it... download upload like light speed matters! might deGrail... need more weapons round up nuts in the UKRAINE clear all tracks CALL MAID .gov canada chop shop sui cide no tanks... no booster mind fuk with the masses... THINK graphic hic ups are a joke enough method actors NATO whatever actors GUILD
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Relax, focus and trade what you see. Copyright
 
 
  • Post #726,757
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 5:27am Feb 7, 2023 5:27am
  •  catch22
  • | Joined Jan 2023 | Status: Member | 92 Posts
Pretty facinating that GBP is being sold like mad against every pair here. When this happens, they risk of capitulation increases. It WILL trade up eventually but if you have stops...i guess you know what happens to them
 
 
  • Post #726,758
  • Quote
  • Edited 5:44am Feb 7, 2023 5:32am | Edited 5:44am
  •  SnailFX
  • Joined Jan 2023 | Status: Member | 691 Posts
Quoting SnailFX
Disliked
{quote} Short from 1.20175 TP-ed at 1.20014. The second one at 1.20079 I'll leave for now. Let it run.. GBP/USD 30M (second Short activated due to no wick) 1.20079 SL 1.20329 (25 pips), TP Let it run if it can.. See you later! Hourly Chart, candle closed below yellow line. *We could very well see lows of 1.19 today. We'll see.. Sorry for quick change from Long to Short. Whenever chances of this happening are higher then usual, I'll always warn you that trade is risky as I did. GBP/USD H4 Chart, candle just bounced off of gray line.. until I have...
Ignored
Meh.. closed at 1.20023. I'll wait for Wall Street.. again it's weird. Euro going up against USD, Pound.. not dropping? Loss recovered, earned some extra and that's it.
See you later.

Not interested..
(Forget my analysis for today)..

Every TF points Short, but Euro is going up, as said against USD, so waiting for the Pound to drop is just a waste of time in my opinion and I could be very wrong and see Pound at lows of 1.19 later in a day. I guess we'll see later and if Wall Street does anything.
 
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  • Post #726,759
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 5:35am Feb 7, 2023 5:35am
  •  maxi444
  • | Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Member | 542 Posts
GU was limited to selling at 10.05, so it should sell again at 11.38
 
 
  • Post #726,760
  • Quote
  • Feb 7, 2023 5:39am Feb 7, 2023 5:39am
  •  Headland
  • Joined Apr 2020 | Status: not posting atm | 5,176 Posts
...you don't even need an oscillator (s) to see how the momentum in the down move has slowed relative to the fall from Friday hi (on Friday, albeit data induced.) Just PA shows this for eg... But just because momentum has slowed - this doesn't necessarily mean the down-move is over.

Anything can happen

1hr below
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: screenshot.png
Size: 9 KB
Intraday (mainly) swing scalper (+,) via a Supp/Res & PA based edge.
 
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