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  • #157,241
  • Sep 21, 2022 1:46am Sep 21, 2022 1:46am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} News! Putin declared partial military mobilization and threating West: https://www.forexfactory.com/news/11...ilization-tass I expect that 0.9969/75 will hold any bounce. Target of this fall should be at 0.9900.
The drop was quick, reached 0.9985. Now the only resistance I see on 15 min chart is at 0.9945.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #157,242
  • Sep 21, 2022 1:49am Sep 21, 2022 1:49am
Quoting investing101
{quote} Russia's speech has nothing to do with this. I've been short since 1.002 because today the FED takes a stance, the close the day got the less likely we'd have the ranging market we've had for days now.

I respectfully disagree. This is breaking news that affects the rate hike expectations and the global economy. If we're talking about purely TA, then USD was due for a corrective move downward and should've allowed bulls some reprieve at around 0.998xx or even parity before FOMC from a short-term view (4HR and below). The long-term view, as I agreed with you before in the past, has always been short. Like I told you before, bulls and bears can be both correct on depending on their timeframe. Bears from a medium-term perspective like you are obviously correct from 1.02, but bulls have also been correct multiple times in the interim.

Now that this news has been broken, the chance for a full point rate hike is now a greater possibility. So yes, of course, the major trend continues.

EDIT: I remember several days ago you posting about EURUSD not dropping sooner and wondering why bulls were taking price to testing levels
Trying my best.
  • #157,243
  • Sep 21, 2022 1:56am Sep 21, 2022 1:56am
As expected on the DAILY.
Closed all shorts for now.
Today should be VERY interesting day!
GREEN PIPS TO ALL!!!!!
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  • #157,244
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:02am Sep 21, 2022 2:02am
Quoting moondoggie
{quote} I respectfully disagree. This is breaking news that affects the rate hike expectations and the global economy. If we're talking about purely TA, then USD was due for a corrective move downward and should've allowed bulls some reprieve at around 0.998xx or even parity before FOMC from a short-term view (4HR and below). The long-term view, as I agreed with you before in the past, has always been short. Like I told you before, bulls and bears can be both correct on depending on their timeframe. Bears from a medium-term perspective like you...
Imagine believing Putin's rhetoric. He's all bluff man ex KGB trying to seem like he's in control.
  • #157,245
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:04am Sep 21, 2022 2:04am
Quoting fxcontest
Placing Sell Grid : 1.0035 till 1.0040 Bull almost finish
Adjusted 1.0006 or 1.0018
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #157,246
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:05am Sep 21, 2022 2:05am
You got to wonder sometimes,
Huge options expriring today and tomorrow,
Big shorts wanted to cover bad
Putin cancels announcement last night and does it this morning

The entire market is now ripe for the bottom (and top feeders), welcome to the new cycle, going to be a rough one.....
  • #157,247
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:07am Sep 21, 2022 2:07am
Quoting investing101
{quote} Imagine believing Putin's rhetoric. He's all bluff man ex KGB trying to seem like he's in control.

If you can't acknowledge the market reactions of "rhetoric", then you haven't paid attention to any central bank announcement ever. Just the threat or "bluff", or any hint of hawkish/dovish sentiment in a speech is enough to shock investors and financial institutions because of the perceived risk. Just because I know that the market will react to Putin's words doesn't mean I literally believe a war will 100% happen. That should, like, be really obvious right?
Trying my best.
  • #157,248
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:09am Sep 21, 2022 2:09am
Quoting moondoggie
{quote} If you can't acknowledge the market reactions of "rhetoric", then you haven't paid attention to any central bank announcement ever. Just the threat or "bluff", or any hint of hawkish/dovish sentiment in a speech is enough to shock investors and financial institutions because of the perceived risk. Just because I know that the market will react to Putin's words doesn't mean I literally believe a war will 100% happen. That should, like, be really obvious right?
I made a post about 8 hours ago predicting this drop, buddy.
  • #157,249
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:13am Sep 21, 2022 2:13am
Good morning
If the 0.9900 – 0.9917 support area fails to stabilize, further dips to the 0.9879 and 0.9834 supports are likely. Below that, the next major sell-off would open to 0.9725. However, if the euro can appreciate, a re-break from 0.9971 will open up long chances again up to 1.0036.
I'm leaning towards the downside scenario.
I'm going to beautiful Turkey today... have a little vacation.
Have a good trading.
carpe noctem
  • #157,250
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:19am Sep 21, 2022 2:19am
Quoting investing101
{quote} I made a post about 8 hours ago predicting this drop, buddy.
We all predicted this drop, buddy. You've now dodged 2 of my points:

1.) This news provided volatility today to break the range before FOMC.

and 2.) That rhetoric has the power to affect market expectations.

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Here's you wondering why you're wrong in the short-term when most of us already agree with you on the long-term view.
Trying my best.
  • #157,251
  • Edited 2:36am Sep 21, 2022 2:20am | Edited 2:36am
now limit 9924 for next leg down , watching 9924 ! 9909 breakout , 1st conformation 9905 for next leg down , watching
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #157,252
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:20am Sep 21, 2022 2:20am
Quoting investing101
{quote} I made a post about 8 hours ago predicting this drop, buddy.
I’ve been an observer of this thread for a few years. I love it unlike that other eurousd thread. So please try to avoid the needless back and forth.
  • #157,253
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:21am Sep 21, 2022 2:21am
Quoting investing101
{quote} Imagine believing Putin's rhetoric. He's all bluff man ex KGB trying to seem like he's in control.
We better stay away from "facebook" style, locker room talk and focus on EURUSD technicals..

Thanks in advance for your cooperation..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #157,254
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:23am Sep 21, 2022 2:23am
None could predict this fall with full accuracy if, then he/she will be a billionaire+! Imagine nothing to stop it - the end!

I predict with probabilities, but I am not so accurate and have to say that to win at forex trading you have to feel, watch the market and risk.

Now from what I see EU just stoped for a break and will continue later or sooner the fall towards 0.9865 low!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #157,255
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:27am Sep 21, 2022 2:27am
For FOMC, I have a sell limit @ 1.00284 targeting 0.98380
I will also book my buys there too.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #157,256
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:29am Sep 21, 2022 2:29am
Tick tock.. tick tock... Are you ready my bulls? 0.9907 is highly highly crucial!
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #157,257
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:29am Sep 21, 2022 2:29am
Quoting moondoggie
{quote} We all predicted this drop, buddy. You've now dodged 2 of my points: 1.) This news provided volatility today to break the range before FOMC. and 2.) That rhetoric has the power to affect market expectations. {image} Here's you wondering why you're wrong in the short-term when most of us already agree with you on the long-term view.
I can post my trades and you tell me whether I've been wrong in the short term? Today there's a high probability that we see a massive interest rate hike, beyond 75 point if Powell is smart. Anything Putin says goes straight to the spam folder for me it.
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  • #157,258
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:35am Sep 21, 2022 2:35am
Quoting johncen
Am thinking we might go to 9930 if 9950-55 not hold {image}
Since 2days ago have closed my shorts and turned into short term long waiting for 0070 to reload short. Opps closed my longs from 9965 and 9930. Shouldn’t against the trend, Putin has provided the last push.

now what will be bear targeting for fomc?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #157,259
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:40am Sep 21, 2022 2:40am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Tick tock.. tick tock... Are you ready my bulls? 0.9907 is highly highly crucial! {image}
I believe the herd is at 0.98300,
"No pain no gain"
  • #157,260
  • Sep 21, 2022 2:42am Sep 21, 2022 2:42am
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} I believe the herd is at 0.98300,
So be it.. I wouldn't mind... All these lows only mean "cheap Euro" to me...
Focus only on what truly matters!
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