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  • Post #2,021
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  • Dec 27, 2021 3:12am Dec 27, 2021 3:12am
  •  Tereticornis
  • | Joined Jun 2017 | Status: Member | 134 Posts
Quoting richadi36
Disliked
Ideal swings are being formed in aud/nzd weekly chart. See how weekly key levels are respected... {image}
Ignored
Good call on AN Weekly richadi36. Daily Short looks like a good candidate at the moment.
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  • Post #2,022
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  • Jan 22, 2022 12:33am Jan 22, 2022 12:33am
  •  richadi36
  • Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Member | 761 Posts
Quoting Tereticornis
Disliked
{quote} Good call on AN Weekly richadi36. Daily Short looks like a good candidate at the moment. {image}
Ignored
Hi Tereticornis,
I usually trade from key levels when a good swing is formed at least on daily chart along the long term trend direction. Because I prefer analyse the chart from higher timeframe, and go down to look for a perfect entry points. In AUDNZD chart, for me, one of the symptoms that the long term down trend is ended was, it did not break the previous @1.0300 level in mid November, 2021, and start reversing up. We can see it in weekly chart of the instrument.
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So after breaking the weekly level @1.0600, it seems the price is headed to next weekly level which is around @1.0800...
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profitable trading does not mean trading everyday
 
 
  • Post #2,023
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  • Jan 22, 2022 12:46am Jan 22, 2022 12:46am
  •  richadi36
  • Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Member | 761 Posts
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Name: EURAUDmDaily.png
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profitable trading does not mean trading everyday
 
 
  • Post #2,024
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  • Jan 22, 2022 1:03am Jan 22, 2022 1:03am
  •  olvus
  • | Joined Sep 2014 | Status: Member | 137 Posts
Wow, richadi36, welcome back! The best thread on FF is now alive
 
 
  • Post #2,025
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  • Jan 22, 2022 1:16am Jan 22, 2022 1:16am
  •  richadi36
  • Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Member | 761 Posts
Ok, let's try to analyse one more instrument - GBPUSD.
Guys, this is only my point of view on this pair.
Let's start from weekly chart. So we see that the long term trend is bearish so far...
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In this case we should look for sell signals from lower TFs. I almost always trade only Swings in any market, so I will look for Daily swing formation in the market. If there is a swing I go down to H4, and again H4 swing formation along the long term trend as well...
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profitable trading does not mean trading everyday
 
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  • Post #2,026
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  • Jan 23, 2022 5:27am Jan 23, 2022 5:27am
  •  JackShot
  • | Joined Jan 2022 | Status: Junior Member | 2 Posts
Quoting richadi36
Disliked
Ok, let's try to analyse one more instrument - GBPUSD. Guys, this is only my point of view on this pair. Let's start from weekly chart. So we see that the long term trend is bearish so far...
Ignored
Agree!!
Ah, that's my first post at FF, just register! Happy to find this thread!
I usually start from the major picture too, Monthly chart...i'd rather trade according to the price position related to the 200EMA , so i should be looking to buy this pair rather than sell...but agree with you about it is bearish now.
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To me it looks like it was trying a breakout to the monthly 200EMA , but the past weekly news made it turn around...
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At H4 , i imagine it'll gonna test the 200EMA at the same "Target zone 1" you spotted at your H4 study.
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And it failed the daily chart 200EMA breakout , and the faster EMAs are already pointing dow... i see this expanding channel, and believ it will reach that lats bottom too,your's "Target zone 2"
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  • Post #2,027
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  • Edited at 10:54pm Jan 23, 2022 10:39pm | Edited at 10:54pm
  •  JackShot
  • | Joined Jan 2022 | Status: Junior Member | 2 Posts
Today i took the trade at GBPUSD . ADX hasn't kicked at the weekly chart yet, but Stoch Index looks bearish enough
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Made the entry at 30min chart, small kick from ADX, little late looking at Stoch Index. Took the trade as price fails 20EMA breakout, and fast 9EMA pointed down. Entry SL;TP giving a 8.6 R/R ratio
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  • Post #2,028
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  • Jan 24, 2022 5:54am Jan 24, 2022 5:54am
  •  richadi36
  • Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Member | 761 Posts
Hi All,
...my open positions on some pairs for today...
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profitable trading does not mean trading everyday
 
1
  • Post #2,029
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  • Jan 30, 2022 8:08pm Jan 30, 2022 8:08pm
  •  CaseyJones
  • | Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Junior Member | 1 Post
Hi everyone, I'm excited to join this thread. Swing trading is the most stress free in my opinion. So far I'm looking to short usd/cad if price gets to these areas I have marked. Target is the red line, based on weekly action.
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1
  • Post #2,030
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  • Feb 1, 2022 10:30am Feb 1, 2022 10:30am
  •  richadi36
  • Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Member | 761 Posts
Quoting CaseyJones
Disliked
Hi everyone, I'm excited to join this thread. Swing trading is the most stress free in my opinion. So far I'm looking to short usd/cad if price gets to these areas I have marked. Target is the red line, based on weekly action. {image}
Ignored
Hi CaseyJones,
Yes, agree. I see weekly resistance zone @1.2800 and 1.2950. So far Daily upswing is going on, if it reverses from that resistance area and starts downswing in Daily it worth trying to short...
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profitable trading does not mean trading everyday
 
 
  • Post #2,031
  • Quote
  • Feb 4, 2022 11:04am Feb 4, 2022 11:04am
  •  richadi36
  • Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Member | 761 Posts
Quoting richadi36
Disliked
{image}
Ignored
Our nice prediction has been realised...
eur/aud went up after False Break signal at the level...

previous prediction post image https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...4&d=1642830402

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profitable trading does not mean trading everyday
 
 
  • Post #2,032
  • Quote
  • Feb 6, 2022 9:17am Feb 6, 2022 9:17am
  •  hytten
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Member | 351 Posts
EURNZD 4H. Looking to long at blue box area.

This is a textbook setup of a confluence area. we have fibo at 61.8%, trendline, previous resistance now working as support, and dynamic area of s/r

very high probability setup
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1
  • Post #2,033
  • Quote
  • Feb 20, 2022 12:32pm Feb 20, 2022 12:32pm
  •  kmb91
  • | Joined Jul 2019 | Status: Junior Member | 3 Posts
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  • Post #2,034
  • Quote
  • Feb 22, 2022 11:36am Feb 22, 2022 11:36am
  •  richadi36
  • Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Member | 761 Posts
Quoting richadi36
Disliked
{quote} Hi Tereticornis, I usually trade from key levels when a good swing is formed at least on daily chart along the long term trend direction. Because I prefer analyse the chart from higher timeframe, and go down to look for a perfect entry points. In AUDNZD chart, for me, one of the symptoms that the long term down trend is ended was, it did not break the previous @1.0300 level in mid November, 2021, and start reversing up. We can see it in weekly chart of the instrument. {image} So after breaking the weekly level @1.0600, it seems the price...
Ignored
Hi,
... see how the price almost hit our target level as we predicted...

the previous prediction post image https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...6&d=1642829566
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Name: AUDNZDmDaily.png
Size: 39 KB
profitable trading does not mean trading everyday
 
 
  • Post #2,035
  • Quote
  • Feb 22, 2022 11:53am Feb 22, 2022 11:53am
  •  richadi36
  • Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Member | 761 Posts
... pullback to weekly level in downtrend... can the level hold the price?... let's wait and see...
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profitable trading does not mean trading everyday
 
 
  • Post #2,036
  • Quote
  • Feb 26, 2022 1:18pm Feb 26, 2022 1:18pm
  •  kmb91
  • | Joined Jul 2019 | Status: Junior Member | 3 Posts
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  • Post #2,037
  • Quote
  • Mar 1, 2022 2:03am Mar 1, 2022 2:03am
  •  kmb91
  • | Joined Jul 2019 | Status: Junior Member | 3 Posts
Quoting kmb91
Disliked
{image}
Ignored
Prediction worked
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  • Post #2,038
  • Quote
  • Mar 15, 2022 7:16pm Mar 15, 2022 7:16pm
  •  hytten
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Member | 351 Posts
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1
  • Post #2,039
  • Quote
  • Mar 24, 2022 2:10pm Mar 24, 2022 2:10pm
  •  fxsyuk
  • Joined Aug 2011 | Status: EASyuk | 125 Posts
sell GJ ... I'm learning to swing...
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1
  • Post #2,040
  • Quote
  • Mar 24, 2022 9:16pm Mar 24, 2022 9:16pm
  •  fxsyuk
  • Joined Aug 2011 | Status: EASyuk | 125 Posts
Quoting fxsyuk
Disliked
sell GJ ... I'm learning to swing... {image}
Ignored
lets see how far this trade will drop then...
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Name: GBPJPYDaily swing 1-1.png
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