Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles | Page 360 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Planetary cycles, astrological theory of cycles of the markets 510 replies

Forecast Forex using Numeric Cycles and Astrology Cycles 38 replies

Planetary Cycles... Plotting Cycles into the Future 0 replies

Market Waves are NOT Cycles 8 replies

Waves/Trends/Cycles 0 replies

Attachments: Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles
Exit Attachments

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

  • #7,181
  • Feb 17, 2022 6:15am Feb 17, 2022 6:15am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 100 KB
  • #7,182
  • Feb 17, 2022 7:03am Feb 17, 2022 7:03am
Quoting parisboy
{quote} Look at the Charts Keep operative statistics on 5 CMA Focal Points. Make some hypothesis about the position of the next one {image} {i
mage}
Hi Parisboy,

Are these CMAs on this chart set forward or backward & by what amount? I notice lately you have posted more charts showing single line CMAs. Are these Displaced MA's, or CMAs, or are they one in the same? I guess I should know this already. This is what happens when I try to keep up trading two entirely different methods. I wish I had discovered & paid attention to your thread long ago. There is much to learn with what you are sharing in your great thread, but it all makes sense once you wrap your mind around the CMAs & how they work. Thank you for your response.

Best of trades to you, my friend.
  • #7,183
  • Edited 9:43am Feb 17, 2022 8:25am | Edited 9:43am
Quoting acetrader
{quote} Hi Parisboy, Are these CMAs on this chart set forward or backward & by what amount? I notice lately you have posted more charts showing single line CMAs. Are these Displaced MA's, or CMAs, or are they one in the same? I guess I should know this already. This is what happens when I try to keep up trading two entirely different methods. I wish I had discovered & paid attention to your thread long ago. There is much to learn with what you are sharing in your great thread, but it all makes sense once you wrap your mind around the CMAs & how...
Ace as you know i only use CMA's

CMA's are Centered Moving Averages. Structurally, by construction, a Centered Moving Average is offsetted back of 1/2 span (half of its length)

Hence

CMA 16 (red) is offsetted 8 Time units back
CMA 32 (blue) is offsetted 16 Time units back
CMA 64 (lila) is offsetted 32 Time units back
CMA 128 (ocre) is offsetted 64 Time units back
CMA 256 (brown) is offsetted 128 Time units back

Best of trades to you too, Ace
  • #7,184
  • Feb 17, 2022 8:30am Feb 17, 2022 8:30am
EURUSD 1 mn
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 153 KB
  • #7,185
  • Feb 17, 2022 8:35am Feb 17, 2022 8:35am
Quoting parisboy
{quote} Ace as you know i only use CMA's CMA's are Centered Moving Averages. Structurally, by construction, a Centerd Moving Average is offsetted back of 1/2 span (half of its length) Hence CMA 16 (red) is offsetted 8 Time units back CMA 32 (red) is offsetted 16 Time units back CMA 64 (red) is offsetted 32 Time units back CMA 128 (red) is offsetted 64 Time units back CMA 256 (red) is offsetted 128 Time units back Best of trades to you too, Ace
Parisboy,

I got it now. You are TOPS when it comes to CMAs. Thank you for always being willing to help.
  • #7,186
  • Feb 17, 2022 9:07am Feb 17, 2022 9:07am
Dow Jones 1 min

Estimating the new focal point by extending 256 CMA and 128 CMA

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 56 KB
When there's a will, there's a way.
  • #7,187
  • Feb 17, 2022 9:13am Feb 17, 2022 9:13am
Possible to think of the wave like this?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 134 KB
When there's a will, there's a way.
  • #7,188
  • Edited 10:21am Feb 17, 2022 10:03am | Edited 10:21am
Absolute picture perfect example of everything Parisboy is showing us.....this made a bunch of cash for me with only three trades....it works like majic
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDM1.png Size: 44 KB
  • #7,189
  • Feb 17, 2022 10:26am Feb 17, 2022 10:26am
Hello parisboy

Please share a template with the group for your system..

Thank you
~J
  • #7,190
  • Feb 17, 2022 10:29am Feb 17, 2022 10:29am
Quoting Swede
Absolute picture perfect example of everything Parisboy is showing us.....this made a bunch of cash for me with only three trades....it works like majic {image}
Nicely done. Milking the Cable has surely become your specialty : ))
When there's a will, there's a way.
  • #7,191
  • Feb 17, 2022 10:34am Feb 17, 2022 10:34am
Shorting Dow as I saw resistance at the mid level of envelope 128 on 1 min:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 137 KB

However we can see an inverted head and shoulder in the making. Maybe a bounce? Let's see.
When there's a will, there's a way.
  • #7,192
  • Feb 17, 2022 10:48am Feb 17, 2022 10:48am
Quoting Swede
Absolute picture perfect example of everything Parisboy is showing us.....this made a bunch of cash for me with only three trades....it works like majic {image}
What was the entry criteria for those 3 trades? thanks
  • #7,193
  • Feb 17, 2022 10:50am Feb 17, 2022 10:50am
Quoting parisboy
{quote}Used in a systematic way it is also an analysis tool with predictive potential
exactely
  • #7,194
  • Feb 17, 2022 10:56am Feb 17, 2022 10:56am
Quoting jdforex75
Hello parisboy Please share a template with the group for your system.. Thank you ~J
JD,,,parisboy uses Tradingview .....are you using mt4, if so go to the paperclip at the top of this forum and I shared the templates there...or go to post 6716
  • #7,195
  • Feb 17, 2022 11:19am Feb 17, 2022 11:19am
Stopped out from the short trade. In retrospect, cycles were changing direction. Better to have stood aside or gone long.

Went long here since cycles pointing up and especially 128 CMA reaching its trough.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 69 KB
When there's a will, there's a way.
  • #7,196
  • Edited 12:18pm Feb 17, 2022 11:45am | Edited 12:18pm
Quoting Bigballer12
{quote} What was the entry criteria for those 3 trades? thanks
Hey Balls.....

1. First was the fact Cable was at a strong resistance zone onn my 1 hour charts, knowing how it trades at those levels the occillation begins.

2. Now we turn to tghe 1 minute, 5CMA chart and place the tillman fork extending out the 256 cma.....now you have levels to watch, and sure enough big moves up and down started to occure...time to watch for short entries. The chart below shows what the platform looked like at that time..

3. The last trade was failure at the center off the Tillman fork and the pattern for the left shoulder and head had been established...so it was pretty safe..

Overall, I believe Cable will pull back from these levels , but it is still in an upward motion for now....

Result...38 pips net banked in about an hour....and no drawdown
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDM1explanation.png Size: 54 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 09895B32-2E10-4542-8D9F-33702779CAA6.jpeg Size: 742 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH1resistance.png Size: 54 KB
  • #7,197
  • Feb 17, 2022 12:42pm Feb 17, 2022 12:42pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 80 KB
  • #7,198
  • Feb 17, 2022 1:09pm Feb 17, 2022 1:09pm
another reason Im looking for a pullback to occur. A few more tensions in Europe and we could see a big reaction...watch for it...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4 pattern.png Size: 44 KB
  • #7,199
  • Feb 17, 2022 1:37pm Feb 17, 2022 1:37pm
Russia is creating tension in the market
  • #7,200
  • Feb 17, 2022 2:16pm Feb 17, 2022 2:16pm
Late day trade for +10...looks like I left some on the table but at this late in the day think best not to get too greedy
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDM1another.png Size: 55 KB
4 traders viewing now