Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles | Page 360 | Forex Factory

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Attachments: Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles
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Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

  • #7,181
  • Feb 17, 2022 4:15am Feb 17, 2022 4:15am
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  • #7,182
  • Feb 17, 2022 5:03am Feb 17, 2022 5:03am
Quoting parisboy
{quote} Look at the Charts Keep operative statistics on 5 CMA Focal Points. Make some hypothesis about the position of the next one {image} {i
mage}
Hi Parisboy,

Are these CMAs on this chart set forward or backward & by what amount? I notice lately you have posted more charts showing single line CMAs. Are these Displaced MA's, or CMAs, or are they one in the same? I guess I should know this already. This is what happens when I try to keep up trading two entirely different methods. I wish I had discovered & paid attention to your thread long ago. There is much to learn with what you are sharing in your great thread, but it all makes sense once you wrap your mind around the CMAs & how they work. Thank you for your response.

Best of trades to you, my friend.
  • #7,183
  • Edited 7:43am Feb 17, 2022 6:25am | Edited 7:43am
Quoting acetrader
{quote} Hi Parisboy, Are these CMAs on this chart set forward or backward & by what amount? I notice lately you have posted more charts showing single line CMAs. Are these Displaced MA's, or CMAs, or are they one in the same? I guess I should know this already. This is what happens when I try to keep up trading two entirely different methods. I wish I had discovered & paid attention to your thread long ago. There is much to learn with what you are sharing in your great thread, but it all makes sense once you wrap your mind around the CMAs & how...
Ace as you know i only use CMA's

CMA's are Centered Moving Averages. Structurally, by construction, a Centered Moving Average is offsetted back of 1/2 span (half of its length)

Hence

CMA 16 (red) is offsetted 8 Time units back
CMA 32 (blue) is offsetted 16 Time units back
CMA 64 (lila) is offsetted 32 Time units back
CMA 128 (ocre) is offsetted 64 Time units back
CMA 256 (brown) is offsetted 128 Time units back

Best of trades to you too, Ace
  • #7,184
  • Feb 17, 2022 6:30am Feb 17, 2022 6:30am
EURUSD 1 mn
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  • #7,185
  • Feb 17, 2022 6:35am Feb 17, 2022 6:35am
Quoting parisboy
{quote} Ace as you know i only use CMA's CMA's are Centered Moving Averages. Structurally, by construction, a Centerd Moving Average is offsetted back of 1/2 span (half of its length) Hence CMA 16 (red) is offsetted 8 Time units back CMA 32 (red) is offsetted 16 Time units back CMA 64 (red) is offsetted 32 Time units back CMA 128 (red) is offsetted 64 Time units back CMA 256 (red) is offsetted 128 Time units back Best of trades to you too, Ace
Parisboy,

I got it now. You are TOPS when it comes to CMAs. Thank you for always being willing to help.
  • #7,186
  • Feb 17, 2022 7:07am Feb 17, 2022 7:07am
Dow Jones 1 min

Estimating the new focal point by extending 256 CMA and 128 CMA

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When there's a will, there's a way.
  • #7,187
  • Feb 17, 2022 7:13am Feb 17, 2022 7:13am
Possible to think of the wave like this?

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When there's a will, there's a way.
  • #7,188
  • Edited 8:21am Feb 17, 2022 8:03am | Edited 8:21am
Absolute picture perfect example of everything Parisboy is showing us.....this made a bunch of cash for me with only three trades....it works like majic
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  • #7,189
  • Feb 17, 2022 8:26am Feb 17, 2022 8:26am
Hello parisboy

Please share a template with the group for your system..

Thank you
~J
  • #7,190
  • Feb 17, 2022 8:29am Feb 17, 2022 8:29am
Quoting Swede
Absolute picture perfect example of everything Parisboy is showing us.....this made a bunch of cash for me with only three trades....it works like majic {image}
Nicely done. Milking the Cable has surely become your specialty : ))
When there's a will, there's a way.
  • #7,191
  • Feb 17, 2022 8:34am Feb 17, 2022 8:34am
Shorting Dow as I saw resistance at the mid level of envelope 128 on 1 min:

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However we can see an inverted head and shoulder in the making. Maybe a bounce? Let's see.
When there's a will, there's a way.
  • #7,192
  • Feb 17, 2022 8:48am Feb 17, 2022 8:48am
Quoting Swede
Absolute picture perfect example of everything Parisboy is showing us.....this made a bunch of cash for me with only three trades....it works like majic {image}
What was the entry criteria for those 3 trades? thanks
  • #7,193
  • Feb 17, 2022 8:50am Feb 17, 2022 8:50am
Quoting parisboy
{quote}Used in a systematic way it is also an analysis tool with predictive potential
exactely
  • #7,194
  • Feb 17, 2022 8:56am Feb 17, 2022 8:56am
Quoting jdforex75
Hello parisboy Please share a template with the group for your system.. Thank you ~J
JD,,,parisboy uses Tradingview .....are you using mt4, if so go to the paperclip at the top of this forum and I shared the templates there...or go to post 6716
  • #7,195
  • Feb 17, 2022 9:19am Feb 17, 2022 9:19am
Stopped out from the short trade. In retrospect, cycles were changing direction. Better to have stood aside or gone long.

Went long here since cycles pointing up and especially 128 CMA reaching its trough.

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When there's a will, there's a way.
  • #7,196
  • Edited 10:18am Feb 17, 2022 9:45am | Edited 10:18am
Quoting Bigballer12
{quote} What was the entry criteria for those 3 trades? thanks
Hey Balls.....

1. First was the fact Cable was at a strong resistance zone onn my 1 hour charts, knowing how it trades at those levels the occillation begins.

2. Now we turn to tghe 1 minute, 5CMA chart and place the tillman fork extending out the 256 cma.....now you have levels to watch, and sure enough big moves up and down started to occure...time to watch for short entries. The chart below shows what the platform looked like at that time..

3. The last trade was failure at the center off the Tillman fork and the pattern for the left shoulder and head had been established...so it was pretty safe..

Overall, I believe Cable will pull back from these levels , but it is still in an upward motion for now....

Result...38 pips net banked in about an hour....and no drawdown
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  • #7,197
  • Feb 17, 2022 10:42am Feb 17, 2022 10:42am
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  • #7,198
  • Feb 17, 2022 11:09am Feb 17, 2022 11:09am
another reason Im looking for a pullback to occur. A few more tensions in Europe and we could see a big reaction...watch for it...
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  • #7,199
  • Feb 17, 2022 11:37am Feb 17, 2022 11:37am
Russia is creating tension in the market
  • #7,200
  • Feb 17, 2022 12:16pm Feb 17, 2022 12:16pm
Late day trade for +10...looks like I left some on the table but at this late in the day think best not to get too greedy
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