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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

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  • Post #565,121
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 1:28pm Dec 11, 2020 1:28pm
  •  mysterio
  • Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Member | 2,253 Posts | Online Now
Will look out for buying in the purple area if we get there
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Read the tape
  • Post #565,122
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 2:12pm Dec 11, 2020 2:12pm
  •  Rgkc
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Never stop learning about forex! | 401 Posts
Easy money week
All closed for the weekend.
Waiting the news in the sunday
Studing..............
1
  • Post #565,123
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 2:57pm Dec 11, 2020 2:57pm
  •  Kaysole
  • Joined Jul 2006 | Status: Member | 468 Posts
Quoting abconqq7
Disliked
Brexit - PM Johnson: Where I stand now, it's looking very very likely we will have a no deal Follow and we can see 1.30 very soon
Ignored
Quoting abconqq7
Disliked
Sell scalping is perfect now!
Ignored
Quoting abconqq7
Disliked
It is time to sell after the retrace!!!
Ignored
Quoting abconqq7
Disliked
Last moment to add sell!!!!
Ignored
What a waste of money.
I told you that you'll be humbled. And what's worse is that you were actually encouraging others to do the same. Hopefully, some people in this thread didn't take your drivel seriously (based on the content of your posts, I highly doubt that), otherwise they would've lost a lot of money.

A word of advice, next time don't tell people how to trade and when/where to buy/sell, just state what you're doing if you insist on posting in the first place. Anyways, I hope you learned a lesson.
Intuition All Time Return: -47.5%
  • Post #565,124
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 3:10pm Dec 11, 2020 3:10pm
  •  gorjejem
  • | Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Always learning | 28 Posts
Quoting Moty
Disliked
YES YES YES !!! this one is for the books . i am taking a beating this week from all direction. on Tuesday i deposited 304 $ , lost them on Thursday , i deposited another 304 $ , lost them too. yesterday i deposited another 304 $ , was in profit of 100$ , but close the in profit of something like 60-70 $ . today i earn back all the the loses of the last days {image}
Ignored
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  • Post #565,125
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  • Dec 11, 2020 3:17pm Dec 11, 2020 3:17pm
  •  Bartosz77
  • Joined Aug 2016 | Status: Member | 313 Posts
Quoting mysterio
Disliked
Will look out for buying in the purple area if we get there {image}
Ignored
I hope you are aware of a possible drop in GBPUSD which will be approximately 17000 pips down on Monday?
I guess you can calculate your loss on your buy position...
Account open on 2021-03-01
  • Post #565,126
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  • Dec 11, 2020 3:19pm Dec 11, 2020 3:19pm
  •  Moty
  • Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Member | 14,028 Posts
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don't try to tell the market where to go , let him tell you
  • Post #565,127
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  • Dec 11, 2020 3:27pm Dec 11, 2020 3:27pm
  •  Mcbeaners
  • | Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 597 Posts
Quoting Mcbeaners
Disliked
from 3178 to 2857 is the most traded range for 2020. so expect some chop here. 2857 is the bottom of the range so good place to close out. no? {image}
Ignored
appears that above range has been rejected and now building longs (probably for a move next week).

good weekend all.
In tea leaves we trust!
1
  • Post #565,128
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 3:49pm Dec 11, 2020 3:49pm
  •  Moty
  • Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Member | 14,028 Posts
The withdraw was here ..
I Withdrawed all of my daily profit , 500 $ and left 397 $
i Need to keep my diseplane next week to keep up the god work.
Good weekend everyone
don't try to tell the market where to go , let him tell you
8
  • Post #565,129
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  • Dec 11, 2020 3:51pm Dec 11, 2020 3:51pm
  •  Catempire
  • Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Only thing to change was the view. | 1,704 Posts
Quoting Mcbeaners
Disliked
{quote} appears that above range has been rejected and now building longs (probably for a move next week). good weekend all.
Ignored
So.

if you were a market maker & If you didn’t want to hold the pound...

how would you make things look ??
Que Sera
1
  • Post #565,130
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  • Dec 11, 2020 3:53pm Dec 11, 2020 3:53pm
  •  trumps
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 1,565 Posts | Online Now
Quoting Bones
Disliked
here's what I can say about super bear calls , when it went in that yearly low wick it produced 1000 pip wick on monthly , PA -is leading over fundamental by a long way If it goes back it will bounce out like you never seen very high probability. Fundamentals will meet that outlook. I don't think anyone can point to such a cable monthly wick, other than the one highlighted{at an extreme low} I know for a fact big buyers lurk that space. {image} {image}
Ignored
Your view on the wick of that "no name" monthly candle has changed?
Pulchra All Time Return: 8.9%
  • Post #565,131
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 3:54pm Dec 11, 2020 3:54pm
  •  Catempire
  • Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Only thing to change was the view. | 1,704 Posts
Quoting Bartosz77
Disliked
{quote} I hope you are aware of a possible drop in GBPUSD which will be approximately 17000 pips down on Monday? I guess you can calculate your loss on your buy position...
Ignored
Dude although it will drop hard if talks end on Monday I wouldn’t be surprised to see it bounce hard.

The market won’t fully factor in a no deal till the 1st as there is still every chance either side chickens out.

when chaos hits in Jan it’s a different story.

That’s how I see it.
Que Sera
1
  • Post #565,132
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  • Dec 11, 2020 4:00pm Dec 11, 2020 4:00pm
  •  MozzChops
  • | Joined Feb 2018 | Status: Member | 180 Posts
Quoting Moty
Disliked
The withdraw was here .. I Withdrawed all of my daily profit , 500 $ and left 397 $ i Need to keep my diseplane next week to keep up the god work. Good weekend everyone
Ignored
You've done good work to get back your loses this week. Yes, discipline is needed Moty. I normally align with what you say, but I think you jump in too early
A fool and his money are easily parted
2
  • Post #565,133
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  • Dec 11, 2020 4:02pm Dec 11, 2020 4:02pm
  •  Mcbeaners
  • | Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 597 Posts
Quoting Catempire
Disliked
{quote} So. if you were a market maker & If you didn’t want to hold the pound... how would you make things look ??
Ignored
"how would you make things look ??"

i would make the price action appear short term bullish and short the poop out of it. and this is what they do, usually with some short-term TA like macd, etc. that is not what is happened during combined uk/us nor us sessions.

the buying i'm seeing was during the US session. this could be short-covering to fair. at the moment gu is a money pit for me. so i'll probably just watch for the moment.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • Post #565,134
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 4:07pm Dec 11, 2020 4:07pm
  •  OnlineAddict
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Veteran | 7,587 Posts | Invisible
If there is a no deal announcement on sunday, I expect 2900 next week...and start looking for longs between 2500-2750(based off monthly chart) early january(if there won't be a flash crash).
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually "read" it.
2
  • Post #565,135
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 4:07pm Dec 11, 2020 4:07pm
  •  Catempire
  • Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Only thing to change was the view. | 1,704 Posts
Quoting Mcbeaners
Disliked
{quote} "how would you make things look ??" i would make the price action appear short term bullish and short the poop out of it. and this is what they do, usually with some short-term TA like macd, etc. that is not what is happened during combined uk/us nor us sessions. the buying i'm seeing was during the US session. this could be short-covering to fair. at the moment gu is a money pit for me. so i'll probably just watch for the moment.
Ignored
I’m just highlighting that things arent always as they seem & thinking in your oppositions shoes when the situation is driven by fundamentals could be wise.

as is clear many people don’t trade fundamentals hence why it might look bullish intraday and beyond, even when it’s far from.

someone has to hold the asset when it drops & if no one wants it, it drops until they do.
Que Sera
  • Post #565,136
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 4:16pm Dec 11, 2020 4:16pm
  •  Catempire
  • Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Only thing to change was the view. | 1,704 Posts
My view from an almost completely psychological point.

fwiw a spike down Monday and a sell off on open (if no deal) buyers will undoubtedly step in and bring it back up... it’s like... more people think the lower it goes...

“Hang on we’ve not left yet, quick this could be cheap, buy buy buy”

it might even bounce close to all the way back up as imo really, from a psychological point of view sunday is not that much different to today - the situation is almost the same, talks are still dire and both sides still don’t really want it.

Yes both sides say we are leaving with no deal BUT we ain’t left yet and there is still the possibility of more talks, politics & swings, on “last ditch attempt” bla bla bla

the closer we get to the 1st after some bumpy rides I expect the pound to start to sell off again, selling into buy volume & on the 1st another spike down and to be sold most of the winter.

**uk government will be doing a lot of stimulus on a no deal**

worth baring in mind.
Que Sera
1
  • Post #565,137
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 4:16pm Dec 11, 2020 4:16pm
  •  kuroro001
  • Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Member | 17,077 Posts
Quoting Bartosz77
Disliked
{quote} I hope you are aware of a possible drop in GBPUSD which will be approximately 17000 pips down on Monday? I guess you can calculate your loss on your buy position...
Ignored
17k pips drop on monday ? right....

The market knows both no deal and deal are possible. Lately GBPUSD is pricing both outcome, there won't be any big suprises

17k pips drop in a single day would almost mean end of the world, or UK removed from the worldmap
17k pips = GBPUSD negative...

Do no scare people with such comments
COT : the precious data ignored & FX investing: mid/long term ideas
1
  • Post #565,138
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 4:20pm Dec 11, 2020 4:20pm
  •  VM.
  • | Joined Feb 2020 | Status: Member | 557 Posts
Quoting kuroro001
Disliked
{quote} 17k pips drop on monday ? right.... The market knows both no deal and deal are possible. Lately GBPUSD is pricing both outcome, there won't be any big suprises 17k pips drop in a single day would almost mean end of the world, or UK removed from the worldmap 17k pips = GBPUSD negative... Do no scare people with such comments
Ignored
He probably meant 170, or it was a joke.
1
  • Post #565,139
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 4:20pm Dec 11, 2020 4:20pm
  •  Mcbeaners
  • | Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 597 Posts
Quoting Catempire
Disliked
{quote} I’m just highlighting that things arent always as they seem & thinking in your oppositions shoes when the situation is driven by fundamentals could be wise. as is clear many people don’t trade fundamentals hence why it might look bullish intraday and beyond, even when it’s far from. someone has to hold the asset when it drops & if no one wants it, it drops until they do.
Ignored
if you saw how i trade you'd know i'm always looking for the hidden hand that moves the markets. i use terms like "da boyz" etc. not always right on what they are doing but that is what i'm looking for most days. at the moment i appear to be 1 step behind the gu movers and shakers, i'll work on that. or da boyz are not unified and that is coming out in the trade. weak dollar overhang mixed with the bearish brexit flash news makes a chop market. chop markets are not my friend normally.

i'm open to your fundie inputs. do share at important price points. however, at the moment you views appear fixed and that's not helpful to a trader imo.

do appreciate you thoughts though.

cheers.
In tea leaves we trust!
1
  • Post #565,140
  • Quote
  • Dec 11, 2020 4:23pm Dec 11, 2020 4:23pm
  •  kuroro001
  • Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Member | 17,077 Posts
Quoting VM.
Disliked
{quote} He probably meant 170, or it was a joke.
Ignored
I guess so
Because even 1700 pips is not doable really

Market is factoring both outcome, there won't be any real suprises
Maybe 200/300 pips move but more i doubt it really
COT : the precious data ignored & FX investing: mid/long term ideas
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