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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #510,401
  • Jan 31, 2020 12:03pm Jan 31, 2020 12:03pm
Our target (TP1) 1.3200 was achieved. 27-31 January 2020

Risk Management is of utmost importance!
  • #510,402
  • Jan 31, 2020 12:16pm Jan 31, 2020 12:16pm
Possible correction
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yes yes yes
  • #510,403
  • Jan 31, 2020 12:30pm Jan 31, 2020 12:30pm
Quoting Moty
Possible correction {image}
Protect the profit you've made today.
Patience.....
  • #510,404
  • Jan 31, 2020 12:40pm Jan 31, 2020 12:40pm
nice article, stocks 15 months low... for sure corona, but still no brexit effect on the stocks... just thig gbp that dont want to give up going up!

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/br...of2&yptr=yahoo
  • #510,405
  • Jan 31, 2020 12:41pm Jan 31, 2020 12:41pm
So all turmoils goes to usdx, may better days ahead next! Lets see next week as top positions taken already .
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #510,406
  • Jan 31, 2020 1:38pm Jan 31, 2020 1:38pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} I would take care if i were you. Maybe everything is priced in, but so far traders are still shorts. To me the rise is just technical to get more shorts higher I'll review things this week end once commitment of traders gets released Enjoy your trading day
the data is out for the weak, I interpret like the market is not decided for a direction yet and that we are going maybe towards flat position again?

What is your point of view?
  • #510,407
  • Jan 31, 2020 1:56pm Jan 31, 2020 1:56pm
there is more in this

buy 3197
in wondering about yourself, you forgot what you came here to be part of
  • #510,408
  • Jan 31, 2020 2:00pm Jan 31, 2020 2:00pm
Quoting knkie
there is more in this buy 3197
.33??

yes yes, for sure went short to early m... should have guess that a much better bulltrapp can be made even higher...

Should just follow the flow. Dollar has dropped imense today, so is this move just a dollar move or not i guess we see first on sunday open
  • #510,409
  • Jan 31, 2020 2:11pm Jan 31, 2020 2:11pm
Quoting krst8
{quote} .33?? yes yes, for sure went short to early m... should have guess that a much better bulltrapp can be made even higher... Should just follow the flow. Dollar has dropped imense today, so is this move just a dollar move or not i guess we see first on sunday open
i have 3231 marked out but it might not make it there....

i dont use the usd index.
im not so sure it helps.
the action is in the chart im looking at. others just confuse dont you think?
just how i see it
in wondering about yourself, you forgot what you came here to be part of
  • #510,410
  • Jan 31, 2020 2:17pm Jan 31, 2020 2:17pm
Quoting knkie
{quote} i have 3231 marked out but it might not make it there.... i dont use the usd index. im not so sure it helps. the action is in the chart im looking at. others just confuse dont you think? just how i see it
i agree with uiu to most parts yes knkie!!

i don’t use usdx index neither with gbp pairs as i dont se any consistent correlation. But found it annoying that the dollar had to crash just tonight... honestly probably no gap etc due to brexit... but corona can give some fun phehaps in the weekend?
  • #510,411
  • Jan 31, 2020 2:24pm Jan 31, 2020 2:24pm
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yes yes yes
  • #510,412
  • Jan 31, 2020 2:45pm Jan 31, 2020 2:45pm
[quote = Ayax.TSS؛ 12731662] #GBPUSD / H4 / Two Counters {image} {image} [/ quote]

I think gbpusd on Accumulation Cycle.
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  • #510,413
  • Jan 31, 2020 2:55pm Jan 31, 2020 2:55pm
And....Finally.....
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  • #510,414
  • Jan 31, 2020 3:25pm Jan 31, 2020 3:25pm
Quoting krst8
{quote} the data is out for the weak, I interpret like the market is not decided for a direction yet and that we are going maybe towards flat position again? What is your point of view?
Overall GBP longs have been reduced from 59% to 52%

In order for all these longs to be reduced we'd need a fall in prices.

The best probability on the weekly would be to keep shorting rallies.

Higher prices are just a super opportunity to sell into it for the time being

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Thing is a rise in price should be equal to a rise from the longs. Its not the case right now. Especially when we are near the top of a move. So many weird things to watch out
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #510,415
  • Jan 31, 2020 4:02pm Jan 31, 2020 4:02pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
Short on GU now and staying short no matter what else happens today, we can spike higher, I don't mind...I don't want to fall into any bull traps before the weekend, monday open might be very nasty.
Beautiful fake bull setup, so instead of a 300 pips drop, I expect a 500 pips drop now.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #510,416
  • Jan 31, 2020 4:07pm Jan 31, 2020 4:07pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Overall GBP longs have been reduced from 59% to 52% In order for all these longs to be reduced we'd need a fall in prices. The best probability on the weekly would be to keep shorting rallies. Higher prices are just a super opportunity to sell into it for the time being {image} Thing is a rise in price should be equal to a rise from the longs. Its not the case right now. Especially when we are near the top of a move. So many weird things to watch out
why do you want the long to be reduced !!!

long reduce that's mean more upside for GU

u need more long ratio for small traders so the market maker will do apposite of them
  • #510,417
  • Jan 31, 2020 4:19pm Jan 31, 2020 4:19pm
Quoting msniper
{quote} why do you want the long to be reduced !!! long reduce that's mean more upside for GU u need more long ratio for small traders so the market maker will do apposite of them
he does not qutoe whom he has chosen... but cot data anyhow is not really retail traders, it is the big players and companies that needs to hedge positions to make trades. Not in full agrement with kuroro which one needs to follow but leave it out of her, but the most important are non commercials and commercials, which are/have to be fully opposite eachother on long/short.

but he has the point there, the big players tend not to want to loose money. So if the price is going up and the total longs are NOT increasing that means that the large player are not buying into it, but mostly retails (the retails is not really part of cot). Hence such movement would give contrarion sentiment and that they are on the up move stacking shorts accumulation for some period to trigger is to go long, until they decide to not buy our longs anymore, hence stall the uppmove which kills the demand, and then we panic and get screwed over :-)
  • #510,418
  • Jan 31, 2020 4:24pm Jan 31, 2020 4:24pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Beautiful fake bull setup, so instead of a 300 pips drop, I expect a 500 pips drop now.
you still waiting for the miracle?? Me to.. !! and this was a booring trading day... was expecting something else should have just longed it for a short scalp and went to bed...
  • #510,419
  • Jan 31, 2020 4:50pm Jan 31, 2020 4:50pm
Quoting krst8
{quote} you still waiting for the miracle?? Me to.. !! and this was a booring trading day... was expecting something else should have just longed it for a short scalp and went to bed...
What miracle? For me its an easy sell setup, I am trading without emotions or worries, with a target and a back-up plan when to get out.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #510,420
  • Jan 31, 2020 5:31pm Jan 31, 2020 5:31pm
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} navk, ask yourself the question: which pattern am I going to play on Monday? AB=CD to the upside because your analysis telling you GU will still go up or Gartley to the downside?... Reinforce PRZ with your Pivot Point method and look for harmonic patterns method only to confirm what you do very well (trading with PP) and for so long. The market always presents at least 2 choices. Good luck with your trading. Ask any Q about HP. {image}
when 4hr, 1 hr, 30 min, 15 min were all bullish, why did I short at 3160? And now floating ?
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Intraday only.
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