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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #77,481
  • Jul 29, 2018 7:27am Jul 29, 2018 7:27am
USD/JPY closed little changed around 110.00. Fist support the pair will meet at 110.70 ahead of the 110.00 handle. The upside provides initial resistance at 111.55 and higher at 112.20.
  • #77,482
  • Jul 29, 2018 2:34pm Jul 29, 2018 2:34pm
I´m long with the usdjpy. My first resistance at 111.80 area.
  • #77,483
  • Jul 29, 2018 2:37pm Jul 29, 2018 2:37pm
Increase, the yen shorts continue. Yeesssssss.


https://www.countingpips.com/2018/07...mxn-positions/
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Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #77,484
  • Jul 29, 2018 3:12pm Jul 29, 2018 3:12pm
Quoting COGSx86
Increase, the yen shorts continue. Yeesssssss. https://www.countingpips.com/2018/07...mxn-positions/ {image} {image}

Great news. Thank you very much.
I'm very happy because my post number 77478 is in line with the report you just posted. This indicates that my studies point in a more credible direction.
  • #77,485
  • Jul 29, 2018 3:50pm Jul 29, 2018 3:50pm
Quoting Coimbra
{quote} Great news. Thank you very much. I'm very happy because my post number 77478 is in line with the report you just posted. This indicates that my studies point in a more credible direction.


I have another study in which the USDJPY drop probably will not start now. Maybe it will still rise to close to 113,650 before it actually falls.
It's still studies but I'll pay attention to it too.
See bottom and top in the chart below:
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  • #77,486
  • Jul 29, 2018 5:52pm Jul 29, 2018 5:52pm
Quoting Coimbra
{quote} I have another study in which the USDJPY drop probably will not start now. Maybe it will still rise to close to 113,650 before it actually falls. It's still studies but I'll pay attention to it too. See bottom and top in the chart below: {image}

Be long, what then would you be, if shorting the yen? Hmmm
Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #77,487
  • Jul 29, 2018 5:57pm Jul 29, 2018 5:57pm
Quoting COGSx86
{quote} Be long, what then would you be, if shorting the yen? Hmmm

I am short, but I can not fail to observe this study.
I think observing is not a bad thing.
  • #77,488
  • Jul 29, 2018 6:39pm Jul 29, 2018 6:39pm
What study?
  • #77,489
  • Jul 29, 2018 6:41pm Jul 29, 2018 6:41pm
Nomura's Bank experts note that in recent years, Japanese investors have been buying foreign bonds rather sluggishly,and in the last two weeks they have been their net sellers.

"Recently, the dollar exchange rate against the yen reached an annual maximum, which seems to have forced Japanese investors to abandon the purchase of us bonds without hedging currency risks. As soon as they hedged them, these debt instruments ceased to be attractive," the Bank's analysts write. - "Since July 19, the dollar against the yen has significantly decreased, which made the unsecured purchase of us bonds more interesting. However, uncertainty about the Bank of Japan's further actions creates risks of a short-term break below the Y110, where, according to our forecasts, there will be a large interest in its purchases. In recent weeks, Japanese investors have been extremely cautious, while speculators have been actively selling the yen. If after the meeting of the Bank of Japan, it will rise sharply, the Japanese are likely to be willing to buy the dollar/yen in the downturns."
  • #77,490
  • Jul 29, 2018 6:43pm Jul 29, 2018 6:43pm
hello traders. Here my view for usdjpy. Planning to buy 100 pips first, before drop down.
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  • #77,491
  • Jul 29, 2018 6:46pm Jul 29, 2018 6:46pm
Quoting SunTrader
What study?

This chart is USD / JPY.
I will post a follow up with the MAJOR pairs with the USD.
And in all others, apparently the tops and bottoms converge with the MACD line plotted on the chart.
I'm not sure yet, but it's a pretty coincidence for now.
Only in time will I know if it is believable or not.
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  • #77,492
  • Jul 29, 2018 6:46pm Jul 29, 2018 6:46pm
Quoting SunTrader
That guy loves doing drive-by nonsense comments.
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  • #77,493
  • Jul 29, 2018 7:03pm Jul 29, 2018 7:03pm
Quoting Coimbra
{quote} This chart is USD / JPY. I will post a follow up with the MAJOR pairs with the USD. And in all others, apparently the tops and bottoms converge with the MACD line plotted on the chart. I'm not sure yet, but it's a pretty coincidence for now. Only in time will I know if it is believable or not. {image}

It may just be a big coincidence anyway.
But note that in the cases below the turn of the trend occurred only when the price touched the red dotted line, which refers to the maximum or minimum of the MACD plotted on the chart.
This has not yet occurred in USDJPY.
As I said, it is only to be observed.
Only for a short time can this be an observation to which I can give an important attention.
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  • #77,494
  • Jul 29, 2018 7:19pm Jul 29, 2018 7:19pm
Quoting Coimbra
{quote} It may just be a big coincidence anyway. But note that in the cases below the turn of the trend occurred only when the price touched the red dotted line, which refers to the maximum or minimum of the MACD plotted on the chart. This has not yet occurred in USDJPY. As I said, it is only to be observed. Only for a short time can this be an observation to which I can give an important attention. {image} {image} {image} {image} {image}
Hi, Coimbra,
it did. if you look at top left, that's the reason of dot line being there.
are you aware of what is macd?
have you study it?
regards,
If you don't know how to earn money, don't loose it.
  • #77,495
  • Jul 29, 2018 7:26pm Jul 29, 2018 7:26pm
Quoting coolmakina
{quote} Hi, Coimbra, it did. if you look at top left, that's the reason of dot line being there. are you aware of what is macd? have you study it? regards,

Hello,

Yes, I know the MACD well.
I am not wrestling against the USD / JPY - I am alias sold on it.
These are just comments I found interesting to share.
He had also noticed the touch on the dotted line in the past.
Below the chart with USD INDEX in the same situation.
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  • #77,496
  • Jul 29, 2018 7:31pm Jul 29, 2018 7:31pm
Detail,
All the red dotted lines, I put them to make sure the tops and bottoms match.
  • #77,497
  • Jul 29, 2018 7:36pm Jul 29, 2018 7:36pm
Quoting Coimbra
{quote} Hello, Yes, I know the MACD well. I am not wrestling against the USD / JPY - I am alias sold on it. These are just comments I found interesting to share. He had also noticed the touch on the dotted line in the past. Below the chart with USD INDEX in the same situation. {image}
OK, glad you know it.
what i see at this chart is divergencym bearish. but i usually don't trade with macd.

O resto o tempo dirá. Boa sorte!
If you don't know how to earn money, don't loose it.
  • #77,498
  • Jul 29, 2018 7:40pm Jul 29, 2018 7:40pm
Quoting Coimbra
{quote} This chart is USD / JPY. I will post a follow up with the MAJOR pairs with the USD. And in all others, apparently the tops and bottoms converge with the MACD line plotted on the chart. I'm not sure yet, but it's a pretty coincidence for now. Only in time will I know if it is believable or not. {image}
MACD tops only once price has topped (and vice versa). But since you don't know beforehand that price will top how do you know MACD will as well?

And if you did why would you then need MACD?

My suggestion stick with price.

Also you do know scaling of MACD is affected by price scale, right?
  • #77,499
  • Jul 29, 2018 7:58pm Jul 29, 2018 7:58pm
Thanks for the feedback.

I'll keep following just out of curiosity.
I am on the sale of the USD / JPY by the fact the CFTC data have given a possible sale on another follow up I make in the EXCELL.
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  • #77,500
  • Edited 11:33pm Jul 29, 2018 9:00pm | Edited 11:33pm
Fundamentals are not my thing. Neither is MACD. I try to fight tooth and nail to get into a winner and then try max the ride. Currently I am a bullrider. Hopefully longer than 8seconds. Will be watching closely to TP some trades, as I have 6. I did go short earlier when it rejected 111.010 to start then had lower high on 2nd attempt. That didn't fair well. I'm hoping it can crack above the 100SMA on hourly. It's trying.
NB TP 2 of 6 trades at 111.135. It's at significant TL resistance there
NB have set next TP at 111.220
NB 07:30hrs TP 3 of 6 at 111.125. Limiting my ex[osure in case it rejects this resistance. last 3 trades BE
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