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USD/JPY Discussion

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  • Post #1
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  • First Post: May 24, 2006 12:37pm May 24, 2006 12:37pm
  •  pfernandez
  • | Joined May 2006 | Status: Member | 26 Posts
What do you think about this? USDJPY is trying to break the 38.6 level. Is it going for the 50% level?
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  • Post #2
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  • May 26, 2006 8:41pm May 26, 2006 8:41pm
  •  narafa
  • Joined Jan 2005 | Status: Keep Learning | 1,180 Posts
I am already short USD/JPY a day ago at 112.92...Don't think that it will push further in the retracement..


Thanks,

Nader
  • Post #3
  • Quote
  • May 26, 2006 10:42pm May 26, 2006 10:42pm
  •  nitman
  • | Joined Nov 2005 | Status: Member | 386 Posts
you're still in the short? i hate loosing money in carry-over for the weekend.
  • Post #4
  • Quote
  • May 27, 2006 6:55am May 27, 2006 6:55am
  •  FxFox
  • | Joined Apr 2006 | Status: Member | 37 Posts
I expect the fall will resume at around 114.15.
But, i think being short from 112.85/90 with SL 113.15 is still worth of risking 25/30 pips.
  • Post #5
  • Quote
  • Jun 15, 2007 5:15am Jun 15, 2007 5:15am
  •  flanders
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Member | 6 Posts
in long usd/jpy @ 123.25
  • Post #6
  • Quote
  • Jun 15, 2007 5:24am Jun 15, 2007 5:24am
  •  roslan1984
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Member | 74 Posts
in since 119.8
  • Post #7
  • Quote
  • Jun 15, 2007 6:41am Jun 15, 2007 6:41am
  •  Wallboroff
  • | Joined Sep 2006 | Status: Member | 268 Posts
Quoting roslan1984
Disliked
in since 119.8
Ignored
any idea where it might go?

to 125.72?
  • Post #8
  • Quote
  • Jun 15, 2007 6:59am Jun 15, 2007 6:59am
  •  roslan1984
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Member | 74 Posts
i think
mabe 124 +
but I don’t have a big experience it just how I see it in my eyes
1
  • Post #9
  • Quote
  • Jun 15, 2007 8:41am Jun 15, 2007 8:41am
  •  got pips?
  • | Joined Feb 2006 | Status: EURO KILLER | 423 Posts
do you still think the dollar will head towards 125 still. or could we be looking at a turnaround at about 124extreme. by next week.....the feds are done raising rates/
DISCIPLINE IS THE KEY TO SUCCESS!!!:nerd:
  • Post #10
  • Quote
  • Jun 15, 2007 9:18am Jun 15, 2007 9:18am
  •  fierceman
  • | Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Señor Member | 801 Posts
There is no guarantee that the Fed is done raising. In fact I *think* they will raise at least 25bp more, if not 50bp before this tightening cycle is over. The BoJ, on the other hand, doesn't seem to have any reason to raise and even if they do, the long term effect on the currency market will be but a blip on your charts. The only realistic positive for JPY at this point seems to be news relating to China, such as further tightening, investment controls/taxes, or a serious widening of the CNY trading band against USD. Any combination of these occurrences would most likely see JPY gain some value as a result of risk aversion (investors scrambling to exit their JPY funded positions, similar to March 2007) as well as an increase in Japanese exports which would become more competitive if the yuan is allowed to appreciate.
  • Post #11
  • Quote
  • Jun 15, 2007 9:44am Jun 15, 2007 9:44am
  •  roslan1984
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Member | 74 Posts
I think will be turaround at about 124 , but I think It worth to look on it for a possible new high even if it wont happen and will be some small ( - )
My st : 122.80
  • Post #12
  • Quote
  • Jun 15, 2007 9:46am Jun 15, 2007 9:46am
  •  Traex
  • | Joined Sep 2006 | Status: Forex Newbie | 1,517 Posts
So nobody is looking at 150.00 yet in 2-3 yrs.
Tra-X
  • Post #13
  • Quote
  • Jun 15, 2007 9:49am Jun 15, 2007 9:49am
  •  Wallboroff
  • | Joined Sep 2006 | Status: Member | 268 Posts
yet i see no real turning point in price action, maybe there is some light at the end of the day
  • Post #14
  • Quote
  • Jun 17, 2007 8:48pm Jun 17, 2007 8:48pm
  •  goodthings
  • Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 1,852 Posts
Do not have the statistical probabilities on this but the UsdJpy normally retraces to atleast the 23.6 level of the weekly highs and lows. Obviously there is a very strong uptrend.
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  • Post #15
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  • Jun 17, 2007 9:17pm Jun 17, 2007 9:17pm
  •  goodthings
  • Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 1,852 Posts
Second week of the year it moved 263 pips and retraced to the 23.6 fib that week and the following week and continu.ed up with no more retracement.
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  • Post #16
  • Quote
  • Jun 17, 2007 10:15pm Jun 17, 2007 10:15pm
  •  Diamond Cutter
  • | Joined Jun 2007 | Status: Member | 2 Posts
I've heard or read? 128 being mentioned....http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/yen.gif
  • Post #17
  • Quote
  • Jun 17, 2007 10:32pm Jun 17, 2007 10:32pm
  •  goodthings
  • Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 1,852 Posts
Of the previous 23 trading weeks not counting this past week it has retraced to the following fib levels. This past week is not counted yet because the weeks fib levels pretain to the following week.
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  • Post #18
  • Quote
  • Jun 19, 2007 2:34pm Jun 19, 2007 2:34pm
  •  bravado
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: BORED trader | 2,388 Posts
short uj @ 123.40.
BAM BAM BOOM! -bravado
  • Post #19
  • Quote
  • Jun 19, 2007 3:04pm Jun 19, 2007 3:04pm
  •  Joel
  • | Joined May 2007 | Status: Member | 357 Posts
Hello .. I'm new to FX. Would you mind telling me what indicators prompted you to say.. short uj @ 123.40
  • Post #20
  • Quote
  • Jun 19, 2007 3:31pm Jun 19, 2007 3:31pm
  •  bravado
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: BORED trader | 2,388 Posts
Quoting Joel
Disliked
Hello .. I'm new to FX. Would you mind telling me what indicators prompted you to say.. short uj @ 123.40
Ignored
it just looks like it will drop. besides i have sl set at .50 so i can't lose much.
BAM BAM BOOM! -bravado
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