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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #63,101
  • Dec 15, 2016 8:34am Dec 15, 2016 8:34am
Quoting SunTrader
{quote} Then maybe a better word than sure is likely. Just sayin'
You'r right. Poor choice of words.. Don't mind me guys
  • #63,102
  • Dec 15, 2016 10:07am Dec 15, 2016 10:07am
If you notice this last drop from 100 to 118 over this last month or so all took place during US trading hours and not during Asian trading hours which means that this move took place with American approval.

Now when China moves its YUAN people in America complain.

A few days ago we had 3-4% gains in oil (Monday I believe it was) which took place in Asia into Europe but then you will notice that when American markets opened up it was brought back down again. Somebody likes to be in control of these moves. America though has no control over what China does.
  • #63,103
  • Dec 15, 2016 10:14am Dec 15, 2016 10:14am
Large specs have gone nuts with this pair, this is up like what 17000 pips in 5 weeks?

This must be the largest amassed short ever in a G7 currency.
"Where you want to be is always in control, never wishing, always trading.
  • #63,104
  • Dec 15, 2016 10:32am Dec 15, 2016 10:32am
Quoting Spec_And
Large specs have gone nuts with this pair, this is up like what 17000 pips in 5 weeks? This must be the largest amassed short ever in a G7 currency.
It makes everybody happy

Like the euro below 1.04 and EU and Draghi does nothing...they have big interest in making the pair going lower

Same for devaluation of the yen...until it goes up for imaginary reasons
Make money by doing the opposite of Giveachance aka loser
  • #63,105
  • Dec 15, 2016 4:42pm Dec 15, 2016 4:42pm
Blind leading the blind.
  • #63,106
  • Dec 15, 2016 6:58pm Dec 15, 2016 6:58pm
Quoting SunTrader
Blind leading the blind.
Blinding the forex youth
HMSR
  • #63,107
  • Dec 16, 2016 8:38am Dec 16, 2016 8:38am
Opened some short at @ 118.20/40.
Target @ 117.75/50 (but hope for more correction in this pair)
SL @ 118.70
  • #63,108
  • Dec 16, 2016 10:25am Dec 16, 2016 10:25am
Quoting Dream_trader
Opened some short at @ 118.20/40. Target @ 117.75/50 (but hope for more correction in this pair) SL @ 118.70
2/3 of positions closed at 117.70, next target 117.20
  • #63,109
  • Dec 17, 2016 1:34am Dec 17, 2016 1:34am
What happens when everyone goes short? The opposite usually..

http://www.reuters.com/article/cftc-forex-idUSL1N1EB1M7
  • #63,110
  • Dec 17, 2016 7:52am Dec 17, 2016 7:52am
While I agree overall commercials by nature go opposite the trend.

So unless that group is filtered out, blindly going against COT figures just because X is rising and Y is dropping even dramatically is not a winning formula.
  • #63,111
  • Dec 17, 2016 8:02am Dec 17, 2016 8:02am
usdjpy its way towards 120.00 from 100.00
  • #63,112
  • Dec 17, 2016 9:00am Dec 17, 2016 9:00am
USDJPY 4H Chart:
Retracing in Wave iv?
Cheers, U2
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 161217 USDJPY 4H [1].png Size: 72 KB
Wait, or you will be slaughtered!
  • #63,113
  • Edited 12:33pm Dec 18, 2016 11:01am | Edited 12:33pm
Quoting Spec_And
Large specs have gone nuts with this pair, this is up like what 17000 pips in 5 weeks? This must be the largest amassed short ever in a G7 currency.
Â
Pure speculation and balloon... and FED.
Â
My forecast chart here.
Speak again in 6 months.

Â
Green pips.
PS: I don't trade yen. Too messy for me.
It's just my view, and my small positions.
Thanks to guys replying positively. Chart updated.ÂHad 70 downloads
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ forecast Dec16- June17.jpg Size: 190 KB
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #63,114
  • Dec 18, 2016 11:41am Dec 18, 2016 11:41am
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Pure speculation and balloon... and FED. My forecast chart here. Speak again in 6 months. Green pips {image}
NOT. . . . . Very nice chart.... Do just that , nothing else. Sell @ 119 and wait to exit @ 105 in very few months.

My compliments
  • #63,115
  • Dec 18, 2016 11:53am Dec 18, 2016 11:53am
NOT-KMPG I agree with you.. My trade plan for this pair.. Just my view and not forcing anyone to just trade it blindly without having their own analysis.. If the confluence by chance works, then we should expect any sort of support just around the bottom TL with price around 104-105..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy-w1-international-capital-markets.png Size: 86 KB
  • #63,116
  • Dec 18, 2016 1:12pm Dec 18, 2016 1:12pm
On the daily it looks like price hit the bottom supply zone. If there are still sell orders at this level may see a pull back. Always do your own analysis
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy.png Size: 73 KB
  • #63,117
  • Dec 18, 2016 1:21pm Dec 18, 2016 1:21pm
On a smaller TF which may count for nothing depending on how price opens - there are zones below and price will gravitate to were the last buy orders were seen. Always do your own analysis
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: download.png Size: 79 KB
  • #63,118
  • Dec 18, 2016 3:31pm Dec 18, 2016 3:31pm
Maybe it is from my upbringing in a beach town and continuing to do so over the years I learned to swim with not against the dominant tide/wave flow, but the more shorts - going against the obvious longer term uptrend in place - the happier I am.
  • #63,119
  • Dec 18, 2016 3:33pm Dec 18, 2016 3:33pm
Quoting F.g
{quote} NOT. . . . . Very nice chart.... Do just that , nothing else. Sell @ 119 and wait to exit @ 105 in very few months. My compliments
And if it goes higher instead what do we get?
  • #63,120
  • Dec 18, 2016 10:33pm Dec 18, 2016 10:33pm
at 118.65 the top is in place here on monthly, i will be cautious with longs view, bulls are still in control no doubt

but ......... caution comes first
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