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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #3,441
  • Sep 13, 2016 9:26am Sep 13, 2016 9:26am
Hello, maybe I missed the approach but there is such a vast number of pages and this thread continues from a previous one, so if someone can enlighten me on how the actual trades are set I would appreciate it. Is it a straddle before the news or is its trades made after news released or what?
  • #3,442
  • Sep 13, 2016 10:03am Sep 13, 2016 10:03am
Quoting Nickachino
Hello, maybe I missed the approach but there is such a vast number of pages and this thread continues from a previous one, so if someone can enlighten me on how the actual trades are set I would appreciate it. Is it a straddle before the news or is its trades made after news released or what?
Enter market order in the direction of the price movement seconds before a news event, then trail when in profit, close if in loss. That's it. Enjoy!
  • #3,443
  • Sep 13, 2016 6:21pm Sep 13, 2016 6:21pm
Quoting nonlinear
{quote} seconds
If you are new, or trading larger lots, or have a slow broker or are in a country with slow internet, I would advise entering atleast 10 seconds before, so that your system has enough time to enter stoplosses etc if it needs to
HMSR
  • #3,444
  • Sep 13, 2016 6:51pm Sep 13, 2016 6:51pm
Think this is where I need to post

Looking for excuses regarding UK's CPI
It was the Olympics and the holiday season- petrol was low, commodities were off

Looking at reports recently - PMI services rebounded strongly in August as did manufacturing and construction, obviously due in part to the cheap pound
Here is the services report
https://www.markiteconomics.com/Surv...b986ebe0b9931d

Tomorrow is employment and jobs
Looking at jobs- these have had a cracking month in August
https://www.markiteconomics.com/Surv...f623d273dca69d

Wages have gone up for new hires- higher wages will mean higher prices
So I will expect estimates to get beaten.
Also Crude Oil inventories in the US might have shrunk - so that might reign in the dollar
We are at a support level on daily pivots (S2)
So hopefully traders will see that August's CPI was an outlier
A 50% retracement from Tuesdays fall is near an S1 pivot

Lets see how it goes
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  • #3,445
  • Sep 13, 2016 7:31pm Sep 13, 2016 7:31pm
Quoting Hmsr
{quote} If you are new, or trading larger lots, or have a slow broker or are in a country with slow internet, I would advise entering atleast 10 seconds before, so that your system has enough time to enter stoplosses etc if it needs to
I would not recommend such action.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,446
  • Sep 14, 2016 3:51am Sep 14, 2016 3:51am
At 10:30 am EST the EIA will release Crude Oil Inventories.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,447
  • Sep 14, 2016 8:56am Sep 14, 2016 8:56am
If you want knowledge about news trading let us discuss brokers...this is 95% of the work if you trade the news
  • #3,448
  • Sep 14, 2016 9:04am Sep 14, 2016 9:04am
Quoting mounir90
If you want knowledge about news trading let us discuss brokers...this is 95% of the work if you trade the news
http://www.forexfactory.com/forumdisplay.php?f=74
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=427196
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,449
  • Edited Sep 15, 2016 3:14am Sep 14, 2016 10:16am | Edited Sep 15, 2016 3:14am
Thursday
1:45
15/9/16
NZ GDP growth HOT!
(NZ GDP), New Zealand, NZDUSD
Average reaction when trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.

Am I: 30 pm EDT release ville Austral Andes Chang Employment Unemployment Rate. Be it the focus villas Tkhe Chang.

Thursday
11:30
15/9/16
GB Retail Sales
(GB Retail Sales), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 35.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.

Thursday
14:00
15/9/16
GB Official BA rate
(GB Official Bank Rate), England, GBPUSD
Average reaction when trigger 80.00 points in the first minute after the release.
5% probability trades.

Thursday
15:30
15/9/16
US Core Retail Sales
(US Core Retail Sales), USA, USDJPY
Average reaction when trigger 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
30% probability trades.

Thursday
17:30
15/9/16
US Natural Gas Reserves
(US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG
Average reaction when trigger 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
35% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,450
  • Sep 14, 2016 8:45pm Sep 14, 2016 8:45pm
Was trying AU, but no real direction. Curiously, I had same direction signal in AJ and EA. Best to stay with majors...
  • #3,451
  • Sep 14, 2016 8:57pm Sep 14, 2016 8:57pm
I did not trade this but I was watching the spread (ECN broker) At one point AUD/USD which normally sits at about 15 rose to 90. So I think AUD for me is literally untradable
HMSR
  • #3,452
  • Sep 14, 2016 9:00pm Sep 14, 2016 9:00pm
Hey everyone, What brokers do you use?? Just curious. I was with TD ameritrade here in america but there commissions and slippage are just ridiculous during news trading so I switch to FXCM. My friend said good things about them. I am thinking of taking my trading to an offshore brokerage that accepts US residents. Any recommendations??
Gentlemen always play by the rules, if they can't, they change them.
  • #3,453
  • Sep 14, 2016 9:09pm Sep 14, 2016 9:09pm
spreads I tried to track tracked after news : AU 8.6. AJ: 9.7 EA: 23.1 AU and AJ, tradable with a safety SL, but not EA, no way
  • #3,454
  • Edited 6:39am Sep 15, 2016 3:34am | Edited 6:39am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,455
  • Sep 15, 2016 3:40am Sep 15, 2016 3:40am
ahh...slow entry..
I entered bit before but accidentally clicked the close button...better than loosing.
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  • #3,456
  • Sep 15, 2016 4:19am Sep 15, 2016 4:19am
Quoting Hmsr
I did not trade this but I was watching the spread (ECN broker) At one point AUD/USD which normally sits at about 15 rose to 90. So I think AUD for me is literally untradable
Yeah 9 pip spread is slightly high for an ECN during Asian news but not unheard of. It really comes down to how much you get slipped as well. You might have the tightest spreads around and you do all your research, pair accordingly, have your risk reward all accurately calculated. Then ........... you get slipped 20 pips and you stop loss doesn't move accordingly and then your whole prep for your trade goes out the window as now you are risking twice what you were prepared to risk .
'Stability breeds Instability' Hyman Minsky
  • #3,457
  • Sep 15, 2016 6:37am Sep 15, 2016 6:37am
US Core Retail Sales

Very tight calendar turns to this release: Initial Jobless Claims, Producer Price Index, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, NY Empire State Manufacturing Index and our retail sales - Retail Sales. If there is a synergy - the movement will not be - will be sluggish mess. It should be noted that the negative trend of the statistics would be greatly better than positive, since the probability of the Fed raising interest rates (next week) has fallen from 25% to 12% for the week.
In general, be careful. The higher the trigger, the more it may be an independent indicator
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #3,458
  • Sep 15, 2016 7:02am Sep 15, 2016 7:02am
GU, spread jumped to 7.1
Attached Image
  • #3,459
  • Sep 15, 2016 7:16am Sep 15, 2016 7:16am
I'm with pepperstone, the spread went up to 6.
HMSR
  • #3,460
  • Sep 15, 2016 7:32am Sep 15, 2016 7:32am
Nice, my TP got activated. Was set to 20
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HMSR
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