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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #60,821
  • Aug 5, 2016 8:09am Aug 5, 2016 8:09am
Quoting PatienceFx
not going to comment on that shape price made {image}
price bounced off 100.75 yet again
  • #60,822
  • Aug 5, 2016 8:45am Aug 5, 2016 8:45am
As of 9:30 am (NY time)...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2016-08-05 - NFP - USDJPY - Chart 5 - Friday morning, 0930 am - 1MIN chart - 69 pips.png Size: 40 KB
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  • #60,823
  • Aug 5, 2016 10:36am Aug 5, 2016 10:36am
Quoting SunTrader
{quote} Nuke power is very secondary to their massive debt to gdp ratio. They will still be stuck in their 2 decade old stagnation unless they do something this.
I have no quarrel with your statement concerning the hopelessness of the Japanese economy.

I was merely stating that while the balance of payments remains strongly positive (export more than they import) the Yen can go in only one direction over the longer term.
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  • #60,824
  • Aug 5, 2016 6:31pm Aug 5, 2016 6:31pm
USD supported on the stellar jobs numbers. Another rate hike back on the table in Sept with the BOJ being more flexible to stimulate further. So either the DOW to 20,000 or a divergence with USD/JPY heading to 112 and US equities heading lower. One more push for the Nikkei into 2017.
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  • #60,825
  • Aug 5, 2016 8:37pm Aug 5, 2016 8:37pm
Quoting Temujin
... One more push for the Nikkei into 2017.
But just like pushing a boulder up hill, it will most likely come right back down - except much lower.
  • #60,826
  • Aug 5, 2016 9:13pm Aug 5, 2016 9:13pm
Quoting SunTrader
{quote} But just like pushing a boulder up hill, it will most likely come right back down - except much lower.
USDJPY has closed the week above 101.80 and the opening levels are expected to be at around 102
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  • #60,827
  • Aug 5, 2016 9:20pm Aug 5, 2016 9:20pm
Quoting EuroScalper
{quote} USDJPY has closed the week above 101.80 and the opening levels are expected to be at around 102
I quoted Nikkei from the other trader post - for a reason.
  • #60,828
  • Aug 6, 2016 3:27am Aug 6, 2016 3:27am
Quoting attilafx
101 is being defended. Won't go below for now. might consider good longs here
Told you :-)
  • #60,829
  • Aug 6, 2016 3:34am Aug 6, 2016 3:34am
Quoting SunTrader
{quote} But just like pushing a boulder up hill, it will most likely come right back down - except much lower.
Agree with you on that for now.
This was pure reaction trade.

Might push higher and higher but still expecting lower levels from here.
  • #60,830
  • Aug 6, 2016 3:42am Aug 6, 2016 3:42am
If next week, you don't see 104. Then you will see .96. Good luck.
  • #60,831
  • Aug 6, 2016 7:46am Aug 6, 2016 7:46am
Good move last week, i'm still bearish tho.
  • #60,832
  • Aug 6, 2016 8:40am Aug 6, 2016 8:40am
Quoting attilafx
{quote} Agree with you on that for now. This was pure reaction trade. Might push higher and higher but still expecting lower levels from here.
You didn't see what I was replying to also huh?

Nikkei, not UJ.
  • #60,833
  • Aug 6, 2016 3:43pm Aug 6, 2016 3:43pm
i'm long yen from some time, maybe i will be able to buy more.
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Price itself it's an indicator
  • #60,834
  • Aug 6, 2016 4:30pm Aug 6, 2016 4:30pm
Quoting m3rlin
i'm long yen from some time, maybe i will be able to buy more. {image}
Yen is poised to go up.Recent good job report should make USD stronger again.Bounce to 106 is likely
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #60,835
  • Aug 6, 2016 4:41pm Aug 6, 2016 4:41pm
Quoting Davit
{quote} Yen is poised to go up.Recent good job report should make USD stronger again.Bounce to 106 is likely
Then that would be Yen down / Dollar Up. I happen to agree.
Although IMO 106 seems a bit too optimistic for a bounce.
  • #60,836
  • Aug 7, 2016 4:10pm Aug 7, 2016 4:10pm
Went long!!!
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  • #60,837
  • Aug 7, 2016 7:50pm Aug 7, 2016 7:50pm
Quoting MaxenshteinD
Went long!!! {image}
A head and shoulders in formation ?
  • #60,838
  • Aug 7, 2016 8:52pm Aug 7, 2016 8:52pm
i am already 6'4 so i have no intentions of going long below 102.25
  • #60,839
  • Aug 7, 2016 9:11pm Aug 7, 2016 9:11pm
Quoting PatienceFx
i am already 6'4 so i have no intentions of going long below 102.25
a drop to 101.75 might help convince me better
  • #60,840
  • Aug 8, 2016 12:32am Aug 8, 2016 12:32am
USD/JPY shows a bounce out of support, but again, capped perfectly by the first point of resistance.

Looking for an intra-day re-test to sell weakness?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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