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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #433,221
  • Jun 23, 2016 4:50pm Jun 23, 2016 4:50pm
Quoting gammase1
Farage has all but conceded defeat - he is reported to have based his statement on a private poll based on a sample of 10,000. YouGuv poll showing 52/48 in favour of remain. Leading Remain campaigners are exuding confidence. Odds quoted of remaining are over 90% at some bookies. Cable pushing 1.50 and FTSE futures jumping on firm expectations of the UK remaining. http://news.sky.com/story/1716585/ni...n-will-edge-it

Cheers gammase1

Think only place is down now - probably best to wait for the official announcement

Wonder if Fed hike in July will be back on the table now this is all over
  • #433,222
  • Jun 23, 2016 4:58pm Jun 23, 2016 4:58pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #433,223
  • Jun 23, 2016 4:59pm Jun 23, 2016 4:59pm
Quoting openyoureyes
targeting 1-) 1.55 2-) 1.58 for shorts
I would never short before monday, but who knows
  • #433,224
  • Jun 23, 2016 5:06pm Jun 23, 2016 5:06pm
Quoting Fader123
{quote} Cheers gammase1 Think only place is down now - probably best to wait for the official announcement Wonder if Fed hike in July will be back on the table now this is all over
Fed Funds futures are pricing only a 15% chance of a hike in July (up from 10% in yesterday's session), which will likely rise further in tomorrow's session, assuming we see an official confirmation of a Remain outcome and bonds soften.

Plenty of data from the US to come between now and the July 27 meeting, but July's NFP number will be key, to see if it confirms June's data as being a statistical outlier.

However, I think the data needs to be surprisingly strong, given James Bullard's (normally an interest rate hawk) dovish stance earlier in the week, which he based on weakness in the US economy rather than Brexit risk.
  • #433,225
  • Edited 5:17pm Jun 23, 2016 5:07pm | Edited 5:17pm
last "possible"(?) very far target above: volume peak at 15122 and then the main volume peak at 15177

I'm off. Demo results for today. Have a nice trading.
Ubi maior minor cessat
  • #433,226
  • Jun 23, 2016 5:39pm Jun 23, 2016 5:39pm
Quoting gammase1
{quote} Fed Funds futures are pricing only a 15% chance of a hike in July (up from 10% in yesterday's session), which will likely rise further in tomorrow's session, assuming we see an official confirmation of a Remain outcome and bonds soften. Plenty of data from the US to come between now and the July 27 meeting, but July's NFP number will be key, to see if it confirms June's data as being a statistical outlier. However, I think the data needs to be surprisingly strong, given James Bullard's (normally an interest rate hawk) dovish stance earlier...
Thanks gammase1

Great to see someone into fundamentals


I thought I was the only one here
  • #433,227
  • Jun 23, 2016 5:41pm Jun 23, 2016 5:41pm
Got almost 200 pips in the since 9:50 pm GMT

bye Brexit
  • #433,228
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:05pm Jun 23, 2016 6:05pm
Newcastle votes to remain, but with a lower than expected winning margin, hence sterling and equity futures dropping.
  • #433,229
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:18pm Jun 23, 2016 6:18pm
Quoting gammase1
Newcastle votes to remain, but with a lower than expected winning margin, hence sterling and equity futures dropping.
Here I thought all this week we'd close that gap ... little did I know that with the results coming in and looking like wed remain that wed close it.
  • #433,230
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:19pm Jun 23, 2016 6:19pm
Sunderland voted leave. Look at that drop. Delicious.
  • #433,231
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:20pm Jun 23, 2016 6:20pm
Thats a beautiful 555 pips 5min candle...
  • #433,232
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:21pm Jun 23, 2016 6:21pm
Quoting lakhan
Sunderland voted leave. Look at that drop. Delicious.
Sunderland was expected to vote leave, it's the margin of win that has spooked the markets...
  • #433,233
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:22pm Jun 23, 2016 6:22pm
Quoting lakhan
Sunderland voted leave. Look at that drop. Delicious.
Wow is this what the market will be like all nite with different votes coming in? ... crazy. 500 point drop in the gbp/usd like that
  • #433,234
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:25pm Jun 23, 2016 6:25pm
Quoting gammase1
{quote} Sunderland was expected to vote leave, it's the margin of win that has spooked the markets...
Yep. Shame Newcastle was 50/50. Was expecting a bigger margin there but who knows.
  • #433,235
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:25pm Jun 23, 2016 6:25pm
Quoting mades
Thats a beautiful 555 pips 5min candle...
ya crazy who would of thought to have a 555 pip candle
  • #433,236
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:26pm Jun 23, 2016 6:26pm
Unbelievable- its like a Draghi speech x 10
  • #433,237
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:27pm Jun 23, 2016 6:27pm
Quoting djxput
{quote} Here I thought all this week we'd close that gap ... little did I know that with the results coming in and looking like wed remain that wed close it.
On Monday I had mentioned it would close in 3 to 5 days..today is day 4 if you include Monday otherwise it is day 3.
I may not be right...BUT, I am never wrong
  • #433,238
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:28pm Jun 23, 2016 6:28pm
Maybe the outer boundaries are set now? The range is 750 pips.
  • #433,239
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:28pm Jun 23, 2016 6:28pm
gbp-jpy moved down 1000 pips in 15 mins!
  • #433,240
  • Jun 23, 2016 6:28pm Jun 23, 2016 6:28pm
600+ pips drop within 1 hour!!! and GBPJPY over 1200+ pips drop! ayyy yaaa yaaay.. hopefully no one was long that drop!

Scalpers heaven right now!! LoL
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