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Auction Market Value Theory & Analytics

  • #681
  • Jun 20, 2016 4:01am Jun 20, 2016 4:01am
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #682
  • Jun 20, 2016 11:13am Jun 20, 2016 11:13am
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #683
  • Jun 21, 2016 8:57am Jun 21, 2016 8:57am
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #684
  • Jun 22, 2016 2:40am Jun 22, 2016 2:40am
update.............
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #685
  • Jun 22, 2016 2:59am Jun 22, 2016 2:59am
update.................
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #686
  • Jun 22, 2016 9:07am Jun 22, 2016 9:07am
update.............
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #687
  • Jun 22, 2016 9:45am Jun 22, 2016 9:45am
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #688
  • Jun 22, 2016 2:55pm Jun 22, 2016 2:55pm
mzvega

Mzvega,
What a treasure! You have articulated and put the pieces together, you know what you are talking about. Thank you. I was a bit confused with TPO (volume based) when it comes to forex. Then I came here to learn about AMVT and the Tick TPO gave sense as it can be applicable to all market. I am on the process of digesting what you are saying. I am currently using sierra chart and wondering if the TPO is same as your tick TPO excel or mt4 indicators. Thank you once again for all your contribution in educating people like me.
JP
  • #689
  • Jun 22, 2016 8:28pm Jun 22, 2016 8:28pm
Mzvega what is your winrate?
  • #690
  • Jun 23, 2016 10:06am Jun 23, 2016 10:06am
Quoting JPworks
mzvega Mzvega, What a treasure! You have articulated and put the pieces together, you know what you are talking about. Thank you. I was a bit confused with TPO (volume based) when it comes to forex. Then I came here to learn about AMVT and the Tick TPO gave sense as it can be applicable to all market. I am on the process of digesting what you are saying. I am currently using sierra chart and wondering if the TPO is same as your tick TPO excel or mt4 indicators. Thank you once again for all your contribution...
Welcome to the thread, I cant say how much I appreciate the fact you actually took time to read the thread. The content of the thread is based on the book VBPT (1st post), and many years of free empirical research done by the author made available to the public. It has taken me several years to wrap my mind around the research, and digest it all. For me it is still a learning process..

I have never personally used sierra charts, but I am familiar with the site. Sierra charts have both vol and tpo data. For what I do, it is important to get the data off the chart and into spread sheets. Sierra charts has an export option in their advanced tpo package for such a thing. It also has the ability to create multiple day profiles which we use here. The brilliant thing about tpo's is that they are universal. 1 tpo per price in each 30m tf.

Some of the links In thread dont work anymore, if you find one that doesn't work let me know and I will provide a working link. Please let me know if I can answer any questions you might have...
Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #691
  • Edited 10:37am Jun 23, 2016 10:07am | Edited 10:37am
Quoting Bulletproof9
Mzvega what is your winrate?
I really dont feel that a win rate tells you anything. A couple of years ago I started an TE as an experiment. I wanted to see how well I did trading exclusively using AMVT rather than MP concepts. I traded that account for about a year. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...97#post7177497

My broker IBFX sold my account to FXCM. I was forced to liquidate my open positions. FXCM then changed my mini account into a standard account with a new account #. I didn't feel the need to start a new TE. I did my experiment, which I openly shared with everyone. It served it's purpose.

I'd like to think my trading has greatly improved since then , but since the only thing that matters to you is my win rate, you are more than welcome to look at the trade report section to see my win rate and other stats there. You can look at the win rate there, and probably estimate what my win rate is now You can find the explorer at the bottom of my profile page.
http://www.forexfactory.com/mzvega#acct.97-tab.report

Edit: I really don't believe a win rate tells you anything, what I feel is important is how well you learn to manage risk. No one can manage returns, that's determine by the market. But one can control and manage their risk
Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #692
  • Jun 23, 2016 12:08pm Jun 23, 2016 12:08pm
update......
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #693
  • Jun 23, 2016 12:08pm Jun 23, 2016 12:08pm
update.................
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #694
  • Jun 23, 2016 1:19pm Jun 23, 2016 1:19pm
update...........
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #695
  • Jun 23, 2016 1:20pm Jun 23, 2016 1:20pm
update..........
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #696
  • Edited Jun 24, 2016 5:16am Jun 23, 2016 1:41pm | Edited Jun 24, 2016 5:16am
Quoting mzvega
{quote} Welcome to the thread, I cant say how much I appreciate the fact you actually took time to read the thread. The content of the thread is based on the book VBPT (1st post), and many years of free empirical research done by the author made available to the public. It has taken me several years to wrap my mind around the research, and digest it all. For me it is still a learning process.. I have never personally used sierra charts, but I am familiar with the site. Sierra charts have both vol and tpo data. For what I do, it is important to get...
Mzvega,
I really appreciate. I like your idea you mentioned somewhere that a sensible trader has to separate his/her trading system from trading platform, that gives freedom from suspicion of conflict of interest with brokers and other associated issues. This I believe is a must. That is why I like your spread sheet idea except its dependency on mt4 which can easily be avoided importing from any source of choice. I am trying to use mt4 indicator I got which I am not sure if it goes with AMVT philosophy. Not only does it give you historical activity but also in real time value activity at the beginning of a session. I wish if I get a spread sheet you use if it is available for public because I can then separate trading platform from trading system as I wished. Thank you. JP
  • #697
  • Edited 3:10pm Jun 23, 2016 2:40pm | Edited 3:10pm
Quoting JPworks
{quote} Mzvega, I really appreciate. I like your idea you mentioned somewhere that a sensible trader has to separate his/her trading system from trading platform, that gives freedom from suspicion of conflict of interest with brokers and other associated issues. This I believe is a must. That is why I like your spread sheet idea except its dependency on mt4 which can easily be avoided importing from any source of choice. I am trying this mt4 indicator I got {file}which I am not sure if it goes with AMVT philosophy. I wish if I get a spread sheet...
I believe I provided you a link to the indicator, I've posted links in this thread and the MP thread.
The spreadsheets from the indicator is raw data. I place it in worksheets that do most the work. I also use python to organize and place my data in a database, however I'm still a novice but I create my own program to do the work for me. The indicator does not make the data you see in my posts, that data comes from the database.
This will show how my program handles the spreadsheets

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...14#post8495114

Edit: That was one of the first indicators Bandung created. It was flawed (didnt work correctly) and he created & updated several since then. That was the first attempt. People only use it now is because all the updated & corrected ones no longer work on the new mt4 build. If you go back through the MP you can read the issues we had with it. It has no valuable use here unfortunately......
Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #698
  • Jun 23, 2016 2:50pm Jun 23, 2016 2:50pm
update......
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Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
  • #699
  • Jun 23, 2016 3:41pm Jun 23, 2016 3:41pm
Nice trade Claudia...

I miss out on some of the cross pairs moves pass few days but my focus are two of the stronger Majors this week...

Kiwi; Trade initiated since early Monday added trades daily since with good positive net flow.
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Aussie; Caught a whipsaw which took out my trade on Tuesday, miss the trade on the next day but manage to get in today. Net flow was relatively positive since Tuesday, Yesterdays TFF was better so a good time to enter today.
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  • #700
  • Jun 23, 2016 4:04pm Jun 23, 2016 4:04pm
Quoting Evak
Nice trade Claudia... I miss out on some of the cross pairs moves pass few days but my focus are two of the stronger Majors this week... Kiwi; Trade initiated since early Monday added trades daily since with good positive net flow. {image} Aussie; Caught a whipsaw which took out my trade on Tuesday, miss the trade on the next day but manage to get in today. Net flow was relatively positive since Tuesday, Yesterdays TFF was better so a good time to enter today. {image}
Hello stranger! There really must be a thing called mental telepathy......
Believe it or not I was just thinking about you......
Great trade positioning.......FIFO makes it difficult for me. I rarely take more than 2 positions, usually at the same place, so I can book some profits on one, in case of a BE. Your charts are always impressive!

I missed the opportunity for the AU. During this news I don't want to bite off more than I can chew. I'm only holding trades because I think I'm structurally positioned far enough away from any adverse affects.
It's always great when you share your charts.....I wish you wouldn't be such a stranger
Markets are not efficient, rather they are effective - Jones
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