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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #432,721
  • Jun 17, 2016 11:57am Jun 17, 2016 11:57am
Quoting Lock
{quote} Thanks everyone! I really appreciate your compliments. And thanks also for your subscriptions. Last thing I can say today before to break is that if some exogenous huge event occurs we could spike up to 14492-14496 or we could retracedown to the terrible low at 4261 or to the bottom of overnight range or more.. I don't know if could helps, but this market could make crazy things and we shoud be aware at least of what kind of crazy things we are speaking about. Have a nice evening and trading!
Cheers Lock....thanks for your input and enjoy your weekend..
Don't Leave Money on the Table
  • #432,722
  • Jun 17, 2016 12:15pm Jun 17, 2016 12:15pm
Quoting Bones
Hi g the shift is the thing ,its sad news but I don't see the connection https://www.ig.com/uk/brexit/news-and-analysis {quote} {image}
Hi Bones,

That poll was from 15th June. It will be interesting to see the poll released this weekend, assuming people were asked after Jo Cox's death was announced, and whether there is a noticeable (any) shift to Remain.
  • #432,723
  • Jun 17, 2016 12:23pm Jun 17, 2016 12:23pm
Sterling, o’ what you mean to me.

The pound brooks, never, none, no……….. delay.

Get out of my hummmmmmm ;P. I go up I come down. No reason. Well,

If a reason there need be. Listen up, there’s this never miss poll, come along, you will see.

We’ll convince you to baaaa baaaaa along and invest and…. Invest….,

Really.

For reals’!

……Remember? You remember; the one from NotExistShire. It’s the BEST!

Don’t worry; come along. Have a great time.

YOU won’t lose a dime. Only the shirt you have on, your house, and your car add to that list your time and your mind.

When the pounds’ run amuck, don’t quack with the rest of the ducks.

If you do you are

F*****


Love GBP. Love imagining the inane reasoning behind what I think may happen next. So, here it is. Finish today somewhere up? Jump this weekend b/c of yada, yada, “Change of heart, MP tragedy the catalyst.” It’s the pound tho, right? So, swing back down, of course, not as much as ppl. think tho. So, they’ll keep their shorts hoping/thinking/reasoning more 2 cm. WHAM!!! No Brexit. Up up up and away……

Thoughts?




Me? Yes, long; infinitesimal amt. GBP/USD and GBY/JPY
Remember, WHY you are doing this...
  • #432,724
  • Jun 17, 2016 12:28pm Jun 17, 2016 12:28pm
Brexit.. Has the market been pricing in a 50% chance of the EXIT? What is the estimate PRICE TAG for such an EVENT? Will ENGLAND's policy will be changing because of political finance campaign? Sorry for such a Noobie Question.. I just have no clue of what is going on and have no clue how to trade this GBP . Really appreciated any answer(s) i can get.
  • #432,725
  • Jun 17, 2016 12:37pm Jun 17, 2016 12:37pm
Quoting Lock
14328 is weak because is tagging 2016 06 13 pit session high. But it's friday and I'm now very tired, I'm in the market from London open...
taken out..

...sorry I couldn't resist

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Image1.png Size: 2 KB


..and now I'm really really off...

cheers to everyone
Ubi maior minor cessat
  • #432,726
  • Jun 17, 2016 12:45pm Jun 17, 2016 12:45pm
Quoting SitNsy2BClv
Sterling, o what you mean to me. The pound brooks, never, none, no.. delay. Get out of my hummmmmmm ;P. I go up I come down. No reason. Well, If a reason there need be. Listen up, theres this never miss poll, come along, you will see. Well convince you to baaaa baaaaa along and invest and. Invest., Really. For reals! Remember? You remember; the one from NotExistShire. Its the BEST! Dont worry; come along. Have a great time. YOU wont lose a dime. Only the shirt you have on, your house, and your car add to that list your time and your mind. When the...
Buy GBP/USDsell GBP/AUDBuy GBP/CHFsell GBP/CADBuy GBP/JPYsell GBP/NZDITS GOT TO BE A WINNER HASN'T IT?
FREEDOM IS SECURITY.
  • #432,727
  • Jun 17, 2016 12:46pm Jun 17, 2016 12:46pm
Its creepin'. Movin' right along, late fri. No big deal. Ingnore this ppl. I'm the GBP. I move big, rmbr? Lol, Maybe I'm wrong and it'll slam back down b-4 close but...
Remember, WHY you are doing this...
  • #432,728
  • Jun 17, 2016 12:50pm Jun 17, 2016 12:50pm
To Hippiedog: For the next week, shooting gallery. Dealers choice. Actually I'm not really sure when "the vote" is. This wknd? next? let me ck....BRB
Remember, WHY you are doing this...
  • #432,729
  • Jun 17, 2016 12:59pm Jun 17, 2016 12:59pm
Quoting SitNsy2BClv
To Hippiedog: For the next week, shooting gallery. Dealers choice. Actually I'm not really sure when "the vote" is. This wknd? next? let me ck....BRB

I'm looking at Daily/weekly line from July 2014, bets are we get a touch maybe a break.
Sorry can't post chart currently.
FREEDOM IS SECURITY.
  • #432,730
  • Jun 17, 2016 1:03pm Jun 17, 2016 1:03pm
To continue. Looks like 06/23. Yeah, yeah, I know. "God how can you not know SitNsy..." I'm not British and other than a general idea of timing (I knew late June
) I do not need to know for investing.

Back to Hippiedog: Shooting gallery till 06/23. Personally, I believe no Brexit; then GBP turns into Popeye after a can of Spinach. For those not steeped in American cartoon history think Bruce Banner/Hulk (the Avengers are global). Something to hope for and fear for will be ever present in media and online. I say step back and use what you know works for you and ignore well...everybody. That includes me so erase this msg. from your mind after reading.

I will say that I read some (financial) news and ask opinions of those here and there. I have not fully analyzed the reason but I think its mostly to get a gauge on current emotional sentiment. Also, I always love any point of view not my own cause it expands my range of possibility.
Remember, WHY you are doing this...
  • #432,731
  • Jun 17, 2016 1:23pm Jun 17, 2016 1:23pm
Oh, right you wanted buy/sell advice...

First: It is my personal point of view. For anyone else it is only another data set to factor. In the end. It is your money and YOUR decision.

Long GBP -JPY/USD/NZD.

Don't waste time on CAD or AUD. Less potential.

CHF? I avoid Swiss franc. Any currency where, however rarely, a central bank takes action like the SNB does; removes value as an investment 4 me. The effort I would put in....urgh...well, best spent elsewhere.
Remember, WHY you are doing this...
  • #432,732
  • Jun 17, 2016 1:26pm Jun 17, 2016 1:26pm
$1 billion pulled from U.K. equity funds in single week as ‘Brexit’-wary investors vote with feet!

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bre...eek-2016-06-17

With such bad news for the GBP...Pound is still going higher today,euro as well.This will lead to a crazy crash I think. In my opinion, Banks and Financial Institutions will keep playing to sell high.Best occasion ever to sell next week.Any idea why EUR and GBP went up today?
The difference between gambling and speculating is risk management
  • #432,733
  • Jun 17, 2016 1:44pm Jun 17, 2016 1:44pm
Market has rallied almost 400 pips since yesterday- all driven by traders believing that Remain will win- for various reasons

Not based on polls - pure sentiment
  • #432,734
  • Jun 17, 2016 1:55pm Jun 17, 2016 1:55pm
Not to be a D*** but a S-ton of tech. and fundamentals as well for the rise. Positioning has been long done by those who matter in the currency markets. "If" has been priced in. Big picture.
Remember, WHY you are doing this...
  • #432,735
  • Jun 17, 2016 2:03pm Jun 17, 2016 2:03pm
Hi G ,I don't see any connection why someone would change their mind or be swayed by that ?

rally seen is as much driven by $ ,if I had to think fundamental I don't believe the market believes a rate hike at all

Quoting gammase1
{quote} Hi Bones, That poll was from 15th June. It will be interesting to see the poll released this weekend, assuming people were asked after Jo Cox's death was announced, and whether there is a noticeable (any) shift to Remain.
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #432,736
  • Jun 17, 2016 2:23pm Jun 17, 2016 2:23pm
For me price needs to reach 1.45 area before Thursday I cannot see crash just rally.
Also price is not positioned for a crash.
If it does it will be down and up same day, pending buy orders at the ready.
FREEDOM IS SECURITY.
  • #432,737
  • Jun 17, 2016 3:39pm Jun 17, 2016 3:39pm
I think we shall see it move up to 1.44 maximum then drop to 1.3920.
Keep positions open over the weekend at your peril.
It's a big game.
  • #432,738
  • Jun 17, 2016 3:46pm Jun 17, 2016 3:46pm
i have a question, i need to check the "Autotrade-Button" if its enable or disable . Does anyone have an idea ?

Ich habe eine Frage, ich moechte gerne den "Autotrade-Button" abfragen, ob aktiv oder inaktiv. Hat jemand eine Idee ?
  • #432,739
  • Jun 17, 2016 4:29pm Jun 17, 2016 4:29pm
Quoting nairate
My one little account, just trade cable for a month Errr...brexit -_- It just make me mad I think i should book it now, or... Keep it until the year end {image}
You seem to be rich on Monday...


D.P.
Hunting High and Low
  • #432,740
  • Edited 5:08pm Jun 17, 2016 4:49pm | Edited 5:08pm
thats how I see it ,if theres a poll weekend guess that would lead the way ,id be amazed public opinion swayed even if there a direct obscure link to leave team
blokes just a loonie
either way id b surprised to see a break range before vote
(2 week chart close next week)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 11 gbp USD d1 (DFB).png Size: 36 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 11 gbp USD d1 tl (DFB).png Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 11 gbp USD 2 week (DFB).png Size: 18 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
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