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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #59,601
  • Mar 16, 2016 5:13pm Mar 16, 2016 5:13pm
EUR, USD and JPY want to be weakened to boost export revenue and Yellen just did them in....its a price war.
  • #59,602
  • Mar 16, 2016 8:01pm Mar 16, 2016 8:01pm
Quoting SunTrader
Most likely it will go higher (112.90-113.00 area) before downtrend resumes.
Looks like it held (112.950) right in the middle. And lower it goes.
  • #59,603
  • Mar 17, 2016 6:14am Mar 17, 2016 6:14am
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  • #59,604
  • Mar 17, 2016 7:16am Mar 17, 2016 7:16am
BOJ intervention
Losers Hope, Winners Believe
  • #59,605
  • Mar 17, 2016 12:11pm Mar 17, 2016 12:11pm
Quoting Shiv999
BOJ intervention
Well that was more like a fart in the wind. 1.10 here we come. No Central bank is stronger than Soros and Co. See price action today. BoJ intervenes, few hours later I knew we will go back lower. and lower and even lower tomorrow. The only Central bank with balls was the Swissy when they capped the shit. Until they removed the cap.
Intervening is useless. See today and tomorrow. That is why I always bet against central banks after they intervene. Just 2 hours later go against them.

If a central bank want higher prices they need to push it up 2000 pips, not 100. That's the only way the big boys will ever learn to bet against them. See, like the swissy did. That was effective for a few years. This is carry unwinding. Moving back into Euro's. Euro will be the funding currency.
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  • #59,606
  • Mar 17, 2016 12:52pm Mar 17, 2016 12:52pm
Quoting attilafx
{quote} Well that was more like a fart in the wind. 1.10 here we come. No Central bank is stronger than Soros and Co. See price action today. BoJ intervenes, few hours later I knew we will go back lower. and lower and even lower tomorrow. The only Central bank with balls was the Swissy when they capped the shit. Until they removed the cap. Intervening is useless. See today and tomorrow. That is why I always bet against central banks after they intervene. Just 2 hours later go against them. If a central bank want higher prices they need to push it...
Appreciate your essay but everyone who follows C.Bs around the world knows how this pair react after intervention...
Losers Hope, Winners Believe
  • #59,607
  • Mar 17, 2016 12:59pm Mar 17, 2016 12:59pm
hmm, I smell a retracing coming.... 112.13 perhaps 50% fib of the move down post-fomc to today's bottom. You can't discount the effect of CB intervention. If BoJ does make a real effort, we may see a 200pip upswing. Fade it as much as you like, but I'd say the BoJ is not really a CB to play with.
  • #59,608
  • Mar 17, 2016 4:45pm Mar 17, 2016 4:45pm
Quoting Shiv999
{quote} Appreciate your essay but everyone who follows C.Bs around the world knows how this pair react after intervention...
Think attilafax was making the point, of course there is a reaction - and then a counter-reaction.

CB's can only hold back price at a level/certain range for so long
  • #59,609
  • Mar 17, 2016 7:36pm Mar 17, 2016 7:36pm
i think short UsdJpy now
  • #59,610
  • Mar 18, 2016 4:29am Mar 18, 2016 4:29am
On M5 time frame, looking at completion of minor correction iv near 112.10, before resuming downtrend.
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Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
  • #59,611
  • Edited 4:38pm Mar 18, 2016 4:27pm | Edited 4:38pm
as i said 1 month earlier fair value is 110 . then let's see how trader value deflation premiums...

i am still short beaches
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  • #59,612
  • Mar 18, 2016 7:13pm Mar 18, 2016 7:13pm
Price is price. There is no such thing as fair value, overbought, oversold and all the rest.
Because if there was price .... wouldn't move up or down.
  • #59,613
  • Mar 19, 2016 5:09am Mar 19, 2016 5:09am
Quoting pbx06
as i said 1 month earlier fair value is 110 . then let's see how trader value deflation premiums... i am still short beaches {image}
I closed my shorts. It will probably retrace now, and I won't open them again before a breakout below the previous low.
  • #59,614
  • Mar 20, 2016 1:42am Mar 20, 2016 1:42am
I think USD/JPY is going to go down next week. It closed at new low on Friday, after consolidating for over a month.
The Trend Is Your Friend
  • #59,615
  • Mar 20, 2016 9:17am Mar 20, 2016 9:17am
UJ has been stuck in a range for a month and a half now and actually Friday's close was slightly higher than Thursday's.

Maybe it breaks Monday and maybe it continues stuck.
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  • #59,616
  • Mar 20, 2016 9:27am Mar 20, 2016 9:27am
Quoting SunTrader
UJ has been stuck in a range for a month and a half now and actually Friday's close was slightly higher than Thursday's. Maybe it breaks Monday and maybe it continues stuck. {image}
Right but thursday's close was at a new closing low, maybe a slight retracement monday but not much, it should be a down week.
The Trend Is Your Friend
  • #59,617
  • Edited Mar 21, 2016 3:47am Mar 20, 2016 10:44am | Edited Mar 21, 2016 3:47am
We create mapping in UJ at this video. Enjoy..

Happy Trading!!
AM Signal Provider
  • #59,618
  • Mar 20, 2016 5:57pm Mar 20, 2016 5:57pm
Quoting Playboy
We create mapping in UJ at this video. Enjoy.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PLVPZUxAyTc
​Thanks for the video.
  • #59,619
  • Mar 20, 2016 6:50pm Mar 20, 2016 6:50pm
Quoting Playboy
We create mapping in UJ at this video. Enjoy.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PLVPZUxAyTc
Part of the forum rules:

VII. No commercial agendas

Members who wish to promote a commercial product or service must be designated a 'Commercial Member' and are expected to abide by the Commercial Code of Conduct.
  • #59,620
  • Mar 21, 2016 3:46am Mar 21, 2016 3:46am
Quoting SunTrader
{quote} Part of the forum rules: VII. No commercial agendas Members who wish to promote a commercial product or service must be designated a 'Commercial Member' and are expected to abide by the Commercial Code of Conduct.
Upss, Sorry for my bad.. I will edit the post.. thank you..
AM Signal Provider
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