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USD/JPY Discussion

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  • Post #59,141
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  • Feb 3, 2016 11:24am Feb 3, 2016 11:24am
  •  notsocasual
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Member | 39 Posts
Wow. What a bloodbath.
 
 
  • Post #59,142
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2016 12:13pm Feb 3, 2016 12:13pm
  •  john3344
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Member | 59 Posts
Nice bear pennant pattern forming on USDJPY 15m.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: USDJPYM15.png
Size: 151 KB
 
 
  • Post #59,143
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  • Feb 3, 2016 12:14pm Feb 3, 2016 12:14pm
  •  notsocasual
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Member | 39 Posts
I see the triangle as well. It should explode out of that short for a new low. Do you feel this pair is done running short? It is awfuly oversold at this point.
 
 
  • Post #59,144
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2016 12:27pm Feb 3, 2016 12:27pm
  •  john3344
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Member | 59 Posts
Yes, imo, it is pausing before a price decline.

Reference for bear pennant pattern: http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.p...t_continuation
 
 
  • Post #59,145
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  • Feb 3, 2016 12:37pm Feb 3, 2016 12:37pm
  •  john3344
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Member | 59 Posts
Quote
Disliked
Nice bear pennant pattern forming on USDJPY 15m.

Price is being to go down. USDJPY 15m, I expect the decline to intensify shortly.
 
 
  • Post #59,146
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  • Feb 3, 2016 12:42pm Feb 3, 2016 12:42pm
  •  skyhok
  • Joined Feb 2014 | Status: Member | 1,794 Posts
Quoting notsocasual
Disliked
Hi there skyhok. Given the above image and count, doesn't this force a recount of the pair, as least as labels go? That retracement was far deeper than I anticipated. Technically, the move can go far shorter before it enters into the primary wave 2's territory, but that's really far away. Did you post an updated count to this forum after the strong move down? Thanks! (I was long and was stopped out. My long trade was a smaller internal retracement long. Such is life...damnit.)
Ignored
Just notice your post. While most other JPY pairs are poised for a final pushup, USDJPY is labeled as such.
Present PA is very unstable, I rather wait for this correction 4 to complete at the top and sell with some certainty.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: USDJPYH1 3Feb16.png
Size: 39 KB
Elliott Wave for optimum entry, exit and risk management of trades
 
 
  • Post #59,147
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  • Feb 3, 2016 12:54pm Feb 3, 2016 12:54pm
  •  john3344
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Member | 59 Posts
Quote
Disliked
Nice bear pennant pattern forming on USDJPY 15m.

Not seeing much tick volume to support the USDJPY 15m bear pennant breakout. Closed short for average 18 pips . Watching now possible reentry short.
 
 
  • Post #59,148
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  • Feb 3, 2016 12:58pm Feb 3, 2016 12:58pm
  •  seonder
  • | Joined Nov 2010 | Status: Member | 31 Posts
The area 117,50 it's a strong support area. I?ll be very cautious to get in a short right now.
we are as low as january 2015.
 
 
  • Post #59,149
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  • Feb 3, 2016 1:07pm Feb 3, 2016 1:07pm
  •  notsocasual
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Member | 39 Posts
yes, the mid day volume is puke right now. and that floor you mentioned is a tough one. i took quite a bath today on this pair. live and learn. my take profit and stop loss did not trigger for some reason so a $400 gain last night turned into a $1600 loss. time to study up and recover that loss!
 
 
  • Post #59,150
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2016 1:17pm Feb 3, 2016 1:17pm
  •  seonder
  • | Joined Nov 2010 | Status: Member | 31 Posts
Quoting notsocasual
Disliked
yes, the mid day volume is puke right now. and that floor you mentioned is a tough one. i took quite a bath today on this pair. live and learn. my take profit and stop loss did not trigger for some reason so a $400 gain last night turned into a $1600 loss. time to study up and recover that loss!
Ignored
I took 120.30 short till 118.38 got out.
What's your enter/exit strategy?
 
 
  • Post #59,151
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2016 1:39pm Feb 3, 2016 1:39pm
  •  john3344
  • | Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Member | 59 Posts
Quote
Disliked
Watching now possible reentry short.

Waiting for pullback to 117.345 for possible reentry short.
 
 
  • Post #59,152
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2016 2:19pm Feb 3, 2016 2:19pm
  •  TraderD3
  • | Joined Oct 2014 | Status: Member | 8 Posts
Looking to buy at around 116.70/80 for a retracement up to at least 119.3 before going in short again
 
 
  • Post #59,153
  • Quote
  • Feb 4, 2016 3:29am Feb 4, 2016 3:29am
  •  Avir
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 4,945 Posts
Good Morning !

Today's S/R Levels on MT4 Templates

EURO
CABLE

USDJPY
DAX

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...84#post8731284

EURO PINK
DAX PINK
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
 
 
  • Post #59,154
  • Quote
  • Feb 4, 2016 4:13am Feb 4, 2016 4:13am
  •  andoseg2
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Swing trader using Market Cycles | 2,147 Posts
If the price fall below demand zone, then a correction can take place within major Monthly trend. Already in with locked profits :

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: UJ.png
Size: 54 KB
Money moves the market, not an indicator.
 
 
  • Post #59,155
  • Quote
  • Feb 4, 2016 4:36am Feb 4, 2016 4:36am
  •  Sitkhi
  • | Joined Jun 2015 | Status: Member | 34 Posts
Энэ хүрнэ гэвэл яаж байна?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: USDJPYH1.png
Size: 25 KB
 
 
  • Post #59,156
  • Quote
  • Edited 5:39am Feb 5, 2016 4:59am | Edited 5:39am
  •  FXSayWhat
  • Joined Oct 2013 | Status: Pushing beyond the 4th gear. | 1,886 Posts
116.00, will it hold??
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: usdjpy-h4-metaquotes-software-corp-2.png
Size: 55 KB

Original Idea
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/US...5-Oil-Oil-Oil/
_____________________
also on TradingView @FXSayWhat
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
Thousand Sunny Return This Year: 1,052.2%
 
 
  • Post #59,157
  • Quote
  • Feb 5, 2016 6:31am Feb 5, 2016 6:31am
  •  yentrader07
  • | Joined Feb 2016 | Status: Junior Member | 3 Posts
The nfp will be around 220-250 K today...Tandem with Adp which released 2 days ago...Forecasters who predict under 200K (consensus 190K) are underestimating the powerhouse Usa...Usd/Jpy pair will jump above 120 in a few sessions (maybe today !)...This year the pair will head to north around 140 by year end.
 
 
  • Post #59,158
  • Quote
  • Feb 5, 2016 8:52am Feb 5, 2016 8:52am
  •  Exodus
  • Joined May 2012 | Status: CoC'd again ! | 8,530 Posts
Quoting yentrader07
Disliked
The nfp will be around 220-250 K today...Tandem with Adp which released 2 days ago...Forecasters who predict under 200K (consensus 190K) are underestimating the powerhouse Usa...Usd/Jpy pair will jump above 120 in a few sessions (maybe today !)...This year the pair will head to north around 140 by year end.
Ignored
Whatever you're drinking, I want some....
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life!
 
 
  • Post #59,159
  • Quote
  • Feb 5, 2016 9:07am Feb 5, 2016 9:07am
  •  arigoldman
  • | Joined Oct 2014 | Status: Member | 915 Posts
Lately this pair is out of control it seems...
 
 
  • Post #59,160
  • Quote
  • Feb 5, 2016 9:09am Feb 5, 2016 9:09am
  •  seonder
  • | Joined Nov 2010 | Status: Member | 31 Posts
Could someone kindly explain to me whats happened?
NFP was worst than expeteced... and yet U/J is going north? Is it for a retest area 119?

Thank you all
 
 
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