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EURUSD

  • #1,034,901
  • Nov 10, 2015 2:16am Nov 10, 2015 2:16am
  • #1,034,902
  • Nov 10, 2015 2:20am Nov 10, 2015 2:20am
Quoting countdown
EurUsd ====> Buy Stop = 7645 / TP = 7835 / SL = 7393 if this order trigger ; open 2* lot Sell Stop = 7393 / TP = 7277 / SL = 7645 GL
I am going to try to get out of this trade at BE.
missed one rule.. sorry my fault..
GL
do not stand out in the open with gun ;stand in the bushes with knife..
  • #1,034,903
  • Nov 10, 2015 2:23am Nov 10, 2015 2:23am
Quoting Atihun
{quote} learn to count properly. 2 below 1? are you serious?

i was not necessarily counting Elliot wave (1, 2,3) . The big picture i see is buy trend is on as a major retracement. But it will come back to re-taste the low region to give room for seller to exit before going the major up. It can't sell my 2 as in picture yet cos buyers are gradually taking over the trend as seller exit. It is my big picture.
i have tried to start trades with a trend, now i prefer to follow the trend
  • #1,034,904
  • Nov 10, 2015 2:23am Nov 10, 2015 2:23am
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} Because when NFP was 90k over expectations all the market maker algorithms moved their buy limits to low 1.07 area when they were probably placed much higher than that prior to NFP's release. This is typical of NFP and FED/ECB statements but most other news releases don't cause these kinds of moves. Anytime you see price move very fast in one direction it's because there are very little orders to be filled in between! Just my experience that when these "liquidity gaps" occur, price tends to correct a large portion of the move.
Yes, good explanation. The extreme happened in the SNB desaster - with the artificial price cap, there were literally no orders under the magical "Limes". So when support cracked during the announcement, there was nothing to hold it from a 1000 pip drop within seconds. The less liquid an asset, the faster it can happen also.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #1,034,905
  • Nov 10, 2015 2:25am Nov 10, 2015 2:25am
Quoting jereajali
{quote} i was not necessarily counting Elliot wave (1, 2,3) . The big picture i see is buy trend is on as a major retracement. But it will come back to re-taste the low region to give room for seller to exit before going the major up. It can't sell my 2 as in picture yet cos buyers are gradually taking over the trend as seller exit. It is my big picture.
ok i thought you are doing elliot.
follow the flow
  • #1,034,906
  • Nov 10, 2015 2:28am Nov 10, 2015 2:28am
could be a good breakout setup.

price stuck between yesterdays poc 0763 and fridays close, poc and yesterdays VAL (around 0736).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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follow the flow
  • #1,034,907
  • Edited 2:46am Nov 10, 2015 2:28am | Edited 2:46am
Got some, Now LONG again

S/O
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #1,034,908
  • Nov 10, 2015 2:32am Nov 10, 2015 2:32am
Daily Pivot is 758
Forex, awful to watch, AWESOME to play
  • #1,034,909
  • Nov 10, 2015 2:54am Nov 10, 2015 2:54am
Quoting egkid
1.0835 mark this number
[email protected]
  • #1,034,910
  • Nov 10, 2015 2:54am Nov 10, 2015 2:54am
Last try
In Again
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #1,034,911
  • Edited 4:46am Nov 10, 2015 3:13am | Edited 4:46am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} Is it? which contract is currently trading 300 pips price difference in both directions at the same time to current front contract or spot? It is not possible to price in a move in both directions, priced in means the move is already reflected
Hi Max,

EVZ @ 12.31 on 11/09 (https://www.cboe.com/micro/volatility/introduction.aspx) currently prices in has open interest for ~170 pip move. Since it is a volatility index ("measures the market's expectation of 30-day volatility of the $US/Euro exchange rate by applying the VIX methodology to options on the CurrencyShares Euro Trust (Ticker - FXE)" quote from the cboe page) it doesnt say if the move is up or down.
  • #1,034,912
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:14am Nov 10, 2015 3:14am
short from 1.0749 just below Daily Pivot and the open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 2015 Nov 10a.PNG Size: 29 KB
  • #1,034,913
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:15am Nov 10, 2015 3:15am
Quoting MaxDoom
short from 1.0749 just below Daily Pivot and the open {image}
holding the old one ?
  • #1,034,914
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:16am Nov 10, 2015 3:16am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} holding the old one ?
no closed that out yesterday
  • #1,034,915
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:17am Nov 10, 2015 3:17am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} no closed that out yesterday
what's your target ? 1.061x could be ?
  • #1,034,916
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:21am Nov 10, 2015 3:21am
Its great to catch the falling knife better than climbing falling snow. Always better to BE ON TREND.
Good Trade buddy
Never follow/blame others,Patience is the key skill for Succesfull trading.
  • #1,034,917
  • Edited 3:48am Nov 10, 2015 3:21am | Edited 3:48am
Quoting ill_be_back
Last try In Again {image}
Feed me your thoughts, I've been looking at this.

Edit: Sorry, I should have mentioned that the solid line trend is USD/CHF.
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  • #1,034,918
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:22am Nov 10, 2015 3:22am
Quoting countdown
{quote} I am going to try to get out of this trade at BE. missed one rule.. sorry my fault.. GL
was really bad start to the day for me...
sometimes i cant believe myself how can i do such a big mistake..
anyway i am out from this wrong order at the right time maybe with luck..
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do not stand out in the open with gun ;stand in the bushes with knife..
  • #1,034,919
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:23am Nov 10, 2015 3:23am
building shorts. 0.12 holding. looking for under 1.07 stops above 1.08
this long got sl-ed.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,034,920
  • Nov 10, 2015 3:29am Nov 10, 2015 3:29am
Quoting buaksam
{quote} Hi Max, EVZ @ 12.31 on 11/09 (https://www.cboe.com/micro/volatility/introduction.aspx) currently prices in a ~170 pip move. Since it is a volatility index ("measures the market's expectation of 30-day volatility of the $US/Euro exchange rate by applying the VIX methodology to options on the CurrencyShares Euro Trust (Ticker - FXE)" quote from the cboe page) it doesnt say if the move is up or down.
Thanks, I see what you are looking at now. It is actually trying to measure the sentiment of investors as measured by volatility in the open option contracts. So I appreciate your point and those meters can be useful. It is not actually priced in though as the under lying assets have not moved in price, but a gauge of what the option markets are expecting all the same. The big issue with options as a gauge is that you never know how many of them are being used as a hedge for the real asset position.

thanks for the clarification
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