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MT4: how to change "EURUSD" to "#EURUSD"? 3 replies

Re: EurUsd short term 15 replies

did oanda just drop its spread for eurusd to 1 pip? 11 replies

EA for multiple lot limit order for EURUSD 0 replies

NFP nice bump up on EURUSD 2 replies

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EURUSD

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  • Post #1,030,741
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2015 10:31pm Oct 8, 2015 10:31pm
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 92,662 Posts
Quoting ExForX
Disliked
Long upper wicks. Gator has his 1.133 (ok... almost), so now back down? ... only to halt back at 1.127, would be hilarious.
Ignored
1320
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #1,030,742
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  • Oct 8, 2015 10:34pm Oct 8, 2015 10:34pm
  •  Talhazz
  • | Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 97 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} who is cutting? research the Saudis recent borrowing amounts. somebody is broke. but they dont want Russia back in the mid east. so they have to break the Russians by keeping prices down. than u got Iran almost online. 50.23 may be close to the top for a while. (yes they are in Syria)
Ignored
But if we see priceaction and does not go for any outside news then its a clear cut buy on oil. Why see so much disturbance in it ?? above 49.31 previous high candle close so just we cannot buy it with little retrace ??
 
 
  • Post #1,030,743
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  • Oct 8, 2015 10:39pm Oct 8, 2015 10:39pm
  •  TuTang
  • | Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 806 Posts
Quoting Talhazz
Disliked
{quote} but it engulf the previous candle and also breaks 49.31 which was previous high so you can wait for some retrace and then go for buy because its a clear buy we saw a 5 week range broken at least 54 is there for me
Ignored
technically yes for bull but still have to track weekly close today for more information, it could get 'nastley'
 
 
  • Post #1,030,744
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  • Oct 8, 2015 10:40pm Oct 8, 2015 10:40pm
  •  mahooo
  • | Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Member | 217 Posts
Add short 1.1275
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  • Post #1,030,745
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  • Oct 8, 2015 10:41pm Oct 8, 2015 10:41pm
  •  andexQ
  • | Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Member | 1,144 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} yen and euro not moving so much verse usd
Ignored

USD could be under heavy pressure next week... maybe yen & euro could get a boost.

just my opinion though.
 
 
  • Post #1,030,746
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  • Oct 8, 2015 10:44pm Oct 8, 2015 10:44pm
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 92,662 Posts
Quoting Talhazz
Disliked
{quote} But if we see priceaction and does not go for any outside news then its a clear cut buy on oil. Why see so much disturbance in it ?? above 49.31 previous high candle close so just we cannot buy it with little retrace ??
Ignored
that's up to you. its near and below a 50% retrace. with such crappy u.s. news. it still hasn't managed to make a fairly common minimal retrace atm. it may just as easy drop 4$ to 46.8x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #1,030,747
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  • Oct 8, 2015 10:44pm Oct 8, 2015 10:44pm
  •  Talhazz
  • | Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 97 Posts
Quoting mahooo
Disliked
Add short 1.1275 {image}
Ignored
Euro looking very weak but usd is also weak. This pair is not looking attractive
 
 
  • Post #1,030,748
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  • Oct 8, 2015 10:45pm Oct 8, 2015 10:45pm
  •  TuTang
  • | Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Member | 806 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} that's up to you. its near and below a 50% retrace. with such crappy u.s. news. it still hasn't managed to make a fairly common minimal retrace atm. it may just as easy drop 4$ to 46.8x
Ignored
i'm also tracking 46.81 for the weekly roll today what a coincidence.
 
 
  • Post #1,030,749
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2015 10:54pm Oct 8, 2015 10:54pm
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 92,662 Posts
Quoting andexQ
Disliked
{quote} USD could be under heavy pressure next week... maybe yen & euro could get a boost. just my opinion though.
Ignored
a lot is possible. its also possible 1320 min was needed to free up a new move. i cant say for sure until it happens or not happens. i posted the techs i saw pre nfp and fomc. its up to the market now. -1271 closes are less bullish. 1272 may be a s/r, but be sure to get the close above 1282 or limbo
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #1,030,750
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  • Oct 8, 2015 10:56pm Oct 8, 2015 10:56pm
  •  Talhazz
  • | Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 97 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} a lot is possible. its also possible 1320 min was needed to free up a new move. i cant say for sure until it happens or not happens. i posted the techs i saw pre nfp and fomc. its up to the market now. -1271 closes are less bullish.
Ignored
Euro itself looks very weak i think we might see 1.1210 before new high
 
 
  • Post #1,030,751
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  • Oct 8, 2015 11:01pm Oct 8, 2015 11:01pm
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 92,662 Posts
Quoting TuTang
Disliked
{quote} i'm also tracking 46.81 for the weekly roll today what a coincidence.
Ignored
46.8x more of a guess using 50.23,, w/o a hh 46.61 may be closer
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #1,030,752
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2015 11:43pm Oct 8, 2015 11:43pm
  •  ptoftangency
  • | Joined May 2015 | Status: Member | 340 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} yen and euro not moving so much verse usd
Ignored
Definitely noticed this as well. I'm am always looking for the ring pair correlation.

U/J H1 over the last few days
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E/A H1 over the last few days
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  • Post #1,030,753
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  • Oct 9, 2015 12:19am Oct 9, 2015 12:19am
  •  mahooo
  • | Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Member | 217 Posts
Quoting Talhazz
Disliked
{quote} Euro looking very weak but usd is also weak. This pair is not looking attractive
Ignored
Yes i agree
 
 
  • Post #1,030,754
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2015 12:26am Oct 9, 2015 12:26am
  •  ill_be_back
  • Joined Sep 2011 | Status: Member | 6,363 Posts
Pending BUY EA 1.54670
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
 
 
  • Post #1,030,755
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2015 12:29am Oct 9, 2015 12:29am
  •  Pharm0r
  • Joined Apr 2013 | Status: I'm learnding! | 8,973 Posts
so much for those crude trades
 
 
  • Post #1,030,756
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2015 12:38am Oct 9, 2015 12:38am
  •  Sayy29
  • | Joined Sep 2015 | Status: Member | 125 Posts
Quoting Pharm0r
Disliked
so much for those crude trades
Ignored
Welp... I'm done with crude lol
Demo? What's A Demo?
 
 
  • Post #1,030,757
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2015 12:54am Oct 9, 2015 12:54am
  •  Mr Hatch
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: Member | 11,001 Posts
Quoting Pharm0r
Disliked
so much for those crude trades
Ignored
look at aud/nzd for a range-bound long entry.
 
 
  • Post #1,030,758
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2015 12:58am Oct 9, 2015 12:58am
  •  ptoftangency
  • | Joined May 2015 | Status: Member | 340 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} yen and euro not moving so much verse usd
Ignored
It's difficult to analysis. I had to sit down and think about this. I'm not an economist by any means, I'm just a finance grad student. All I could add is that the real exchange rate (Ɛ) for the US is at a modest lagging level. For instance, if Ɛ is high, domestic goods are more expensive relative to foreign goods, therefore, the US will want to purchase more M and other countries will purchase less of US goods. Thus, demand for NX is low.

In contrast, if Ɛ is low, domestic goods are cheap, making it cheaper and more attractive to purchase these goods. While, other countries will also want to purchase US goods. In each case, net NX is higher or lower, respectively.

There isn't a behavioral relation between NX = NX, however; when Ɛ enters the equation, NX = NX(Ɛ), it becomes behavioral.

Of course, there are other factors involved, that are way beyond my ability to derive and make sense of it. It's always important to distinguish the nominal and real exchange rates, and how this and I(r) makes r = r* (r* being the world interest rate).

There's always the simple function of Y = F(K,L), where K and L are constant.

Trying to avoid heavy math, it really boils down where (X-M) enters the consumption function Y = C + I + G. And when national income accounts identity is S - I = NX, there in lies if a trade surplus or deficit exists.

Despite all of this above, there is a different perspective when FP (foreign policy) is introduced. There is a good article in the Economists that covers this. If you don't have a subscription, PM me and I'll show you how to get it for free.
 
 
  • Post #1,030,759
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2015 1:12am Oct 9, 2015 1:12am
  •  KiwiTrada
  • Joined Aug 2009 | Status: Member | 12,448 Posts
Quoting Mr Hatch
Disliked
{quote} look at aud/nzd for a range-bound long entry.
Ignored
yes but both au and nu @ resistance 4hr, will require a wtf to move an
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
 
 
  • Post #1,030,760
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2015 1:18am Oct 9, 2015 1:18am
  •  fxreza
  • | Joined May 2009 | Status: Member | 114 Posts
Quoting ptoftangency
Disliked
{quote} It's difficult to analysis. I had to sit down and think about this. I'm not an economist by any means, I'm just a finance grad student. All I could add is that the real exchange rate (Ɛ) for the US is at a modest lagging level. For instance, if Ɛ is high, domestic goods are more expensive relative to foreign goods, therefore, the US will want to purchase more M and other countries will purchase less of US goods. Thus, demand for NX is low. In contrast, if Ɛ is low, domestic goods are cheap, making it cheaper and more attractive...
Ignored

Hi there, Is there a way to chat in ForexFactory? I like to further discuss your analysis with you!
 
 
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