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  • #1,021,961
  • Aug 24, 2015 7:48am Aug 24, 2015 7:48am
duh.. covering bad margin..requires liquidity, money brought home to where the easy money came from (converted back to yen and euro). trades close, causing capitulation. more closes causes more closes. until it springs back..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,021,962
  • Aug 24, 2015 7:48am Aug 24, 2015 7:48am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} s/o on crude on Friday, but I have 2 contracts long at present from $39 zone also long on EU {image}
Crude s/o - jump back in

The rest ok
  • #1,021,963
  • Aug 24, 2015 7:49am Aug 24, 2015 7:49am
Quoting openyoureyes
S&P NASDAQ recovering, exp. twitter open -%16 twitter current -%2.8
just wait. when equities have a top like that, crash is coming soon.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #1,021,964
  • Aug 24, 2015 7:51am Aug 24, 2015 7:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yen across the board. look at ea....
amazing inst it.
rat
  • #1,021,965
  • Aug 24, 2015 7:52am Aug 24, 2015 7:52am
I have 4 account ready to short
XAU
X/JPY
EU/NZ
EU/AU

hope I don't need more xD
  • #1,021,966
  • Aug 24, 2015 7:53am Aug 24, 2015 7:53am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} just wait. when equities have a top like that, crash is coming soon.
fine by me,
I only buy vanilla options + small fx

losses already covered
  • #1,021,967
  • Aug 24, 2015 7:56am Aug 24, 2015 7:56am
Quoting rattyo
{quote} amazing inst it.
whats amazing is you keep spamming w/o any analysis. if u continue, you will not be the first, or last to be gone.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,021,968
  • Aug 24, 2015 7:57am Aug 24, 2015 7:57am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Prolly make a new HIGH & come back DOWN to where I Entered then Resume UP again
So you trade the plan?
  • #1,021,969
  • Aug 24, 2015 7:57am Aug 24, 2015 7:57am
Quoting ccj8
what? what just happen? what is the main cause of all those spikes?
people making loads of money buying euros at a cheap price, then cashing into USD... simple
  • #1,021,970
  • Aug 24, 2015 7:58am Aug 24, 2015 7:58am
Quoting openyoureyes
short EU / 1 lot no SL target 1.117x cheers.
classic, short the top after the event and don't use a stop loss in an extremely volatile period, you got a time machine there chap?
  • #1,021,971
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:00am Aug 24, 2015 8:00am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Crude s/o - jump back in The rest ok
still waiting to get in again
  • #1,021,972
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:00am Aug 24, 2015 8:00am
strategy:

only watch xau and e/u

if you see a fat finger @xau short; eu / xau / jpy

reasoning: risk +
xag / xau correlation broken,
xau should be lower. ( ~1100 : ~14.80)
  • #1,021,973
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:01am Aug 24, 2015 8:01am
Quoting digiff
{image} Now let's see why we all love Forex. It's a Monday. No news. In fact, not even a mild one. EU moves hundreds of pips. G/N moves 1600+ pips. So much for dull August. [Hey it didnt even gap on Sunday! At least not on my charts. lol]
we have member Lockhart speaking in 5 hours
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  • #1,021,974
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:04am Aug 24, 2015 8:04am
according to abbonacci EURUSD will reach 1.18570
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  • #1,021,975
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:04am Aug 24, 2015 8:04am
long USD + GBP vs EM

focus TRY + ZAR shorts
  • #1,021,976
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:05am Aug 24, 2015 8:05am
Ok, macro fundie analysts, who wants to explain this?

Last time it was risk off in 2008, stock markets crashed, and people BOUGHT the dollar, in spite of the fact that
the Fed was obviously going to lower rates, and in spite of the fact that the US economy was falling apart
from the collapse of the housing bubble.

Now we have risk off, stock markets are collapsing, and people are SELLING the dollar, in spite of the fact
that the Fed is (theoretically at least) going to raise rates and the the US economy is RECOVERING finally
from the collapse of the housing bubble.

Let's say this current movement is the unwinding of the carry trades. But once it's unwound,
what are they going to do with the money? Preferring to keep it in Euros and Yen rather than dollars doesn't make sense because Japan and Europe are going to get hurt more by the China collapse than the US.

There is only one thing that makes sense about this to me, and that is that there was that monthly engulfing bar pointing up, and from a technical standpoint those rarely fail, indicating that this has been in the works for a while. But that is only technical. Fundamentally it doesn't make sense to me.

Anybody want to venture a guess why
  • #1,021,977
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:07am Aug 24, 2015 8:07am
easy one: FED rate hike is already priced in...

btw stocks are nowhere near a crash.

edit: also back in 2008 china was doing GREAT.

china = world production
  • #1,021,978
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:07am Aug 24, 2015 8:07am
Quoting Karpa
{quote} we have member Lockhart speaking in 5 hours
You are right. But Lockhart shows as news after midnight where I am at. Didnt take the time difference into account. Still a fun loving Monday. Green pips to all
In other news: A ranger was trapped between a bull and a bear
  • #1,021,979
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:07am Aug 24, 2015 8:07am
Quoting openyoureyes
strategy: only watch xau and e/u if you see a fat finger @xau short; eu / xau / jpy reasoning: risk + xag / xau correlation broken, xau should be lower. ( ~1100 : ~14.80)
what is a fat finger in xau?
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #1,021,980
  • Aug 24, 2015 8:08am Aug 24, 2015 8:08am
Quoting openyoureyes
{quote} fine by me, I only buy vanilla options + small fx losses already covered
can i check with you, which house did you play for your options? thanks mate

it is scary when exactly 9.10pm (asian time zone) yen and eur PA with big volumes went up...and looking at bond yield, crude oil ( just to see the what causing it ), there are nothing but just pure flows. yeah Seemore say unwinding of carry trades which make sense....but just before US opens, maybe big players were scared of US markets gonna tank badly which it did..but is recovering now..maybe this time it has bottomed? lets see how asian markets react tom.

anyway back to the point...with this issue of "what cause this" which hardly any indicators can help, playing options might be the best choice in a super crazy markets.
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