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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #11,261
  • Aug 21, 2015 12:00pm Aug 21, 2015 12:00pm
Quoting Dano12
DAX - from April lost 19% in 2344 points, almost all of ECB QE
The Rothschild must have made a killing this week shorting.
  • #11,262
  • Aug 21, 2015 12:18pm Aug 21, 2015 12:18pm
Quoting Dano12
DAX - from April lost 19% in 2344 points, almost all of ECB QE
Big ? now is, how much further? The Dow smashed through the weekly 100 simple moving average today. The Dax now sits right on top of it, so the rot stops here or we fall to 9,000 or lower if we are at the beginning of the next financial crash which will see us fall below 7,000 before the year is out.
  • #11,263
  • Aug 21, 2015 4:54pm Aug 21, 2015 4:54pm
no one trade dow here?, would someone make a separate thread for dow?
  • #11,264
  • Aug 22, 2015 11:57am Aug 22, 2015 11:57am
middle MA 89 100 week chart the SP500
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: SP500_D1.gif Size: 177 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: SP500_W1_.gif Size: 42 KB
  • #11,265
  • Aug 22, 2015 2:35pm Aug 22, 2015 2:35pm
If ever there was a time that we need D1 back then its now.......D1 !!!!!!!!!!!!
  • #11,266
  • Aug 23, 2015 6:39am Aug 23, 2015 6:39am
Quoting Solomon1a
no one trade dow here?, would someone make a separate thread for dow?
This is a Dow thread as well, so if you've got stuff to post, then fire away
  • #11,267
  • Aug 23, 2015 7:23am Aug 23, 2015 7:23am
Everything shouts "bounce" here but maybe this time it IS different?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Image1.png Size: 24 KB
  • #11,268
  • Aug 23, 2015 8:05am Aug 23, 2015 8:05am
Quoting cat
{quote} This is a Dow thread as well, so if you've got stuff to post, then fire away

sure i will share what i have, but i was wondering why no one is posting anything related to dow.

anyway, dow is very low in the monthly curve and broke the major support 166 and now sitting at 164, price should move upside and make the new highs from now.
  • #11,269
  • Aug 23, 2015 8:28am Aug 23, 2015 8:28am
Quoting Solomon1a
{quote} sure i will share what i have, but i was wondering why no one is posting anything related to dow. anyway, dow is very low in the monthly curve and broke the major support 166 and now sitting at 164, price should move upside and make the new highs from now.
Always good to see someone with a 100% polar opposite viewpoint to my own - I certainly do not see the Dow making new highs anytime soon and see nothing but considerable downward pressure at the moment which looks set to drive it much lower. It is futile to even attempt to predict next week apart from to say that at present, it is falling like a brick.
  • #11,270
  • Aug 23, 2015 9:00am Aug 23, 2015 9:00am
Quoting cat
{quote} Always good to see someone with a 100% polar opposite viewpoint to my own - I certainly do not see the Dow making new highs anytime soon and see nothing but considerable downward pressure at the moment which looks set to drive it much lower. It is futile to even attempt to predict next week apart from to say that at present, it is falling like a brick.
do u expect it to retrace to 171 to get more new sellers at the moment?
  • #11,271
  • Aug 23, 2015 9:14am Aug 23, 2015 9:14am
Inserted Video
  • #11,272
  • Aug 23, 2015 10:53am Aug 23, 2015 10:53am
Quoting Solomon1a
{quote} do u expect it to retrace to 171 to get more new sellers at the moment?
Impossible to say. However, it is right on the 76.4% fib right now, so if it is going to rally, it's got to be from here. If it does, then the 171 level is easily one it could head for.
  • #11,273
  • Aug 23, 2015 11:34am Aug 23, 2015 11:34am
Quoting cat
{quote} Impossible to say. However, it is right on the 76.4% fib right now, so if it is going to rally, it's got to be from here. If it does, then the 171 level is easily one it could head for.
But the monthly trendline consensus? its low on the monthly uptrend line, and the weekly demand nested with monthly fresh demand, alos 175 is the fresh supply. 171 is the h4 fresh supply now.
  • #11,274
  • Aug 23, 2015 11:49am Aug 23, 2015 11:49am
Quoting Dano12
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rkEL...ature=youtu.be
Pretty thought provoking video Dano12. However I dont see it happening. On the off chance hope it doesnt happen...
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #11,275
  • Aug 23, 2015 1:48pm Aug 23, 2015 1:48pm
Has Anyone actually see a massive bounce out a huge down candle /fail like Friday. I am expecting a smaller follow on down candle. 3-4% move into end next week - washout. It seems everyone is banking on PBOC to cut interest rates by 50basis points this weekend - well I haven't heard the announcement yet.. it could be announced some tonight and watch the shanghai index tomorrow. any weakness or even a poor recovery candle signals more weakness next week as the final shakeout (for now) is completed. as I have said before - once the school holidays are over and everyone turns back to the real grind of life and the real market makers return from holidays to strategise into end of year and into 2016 then we see.

Given that the DAX 10000 was actually broken into the US close (collapse). DAX futures dipped under 10000 in the last 30mins of US trading

My take is a short gap down to 9860-9900 and bounce back to 10200 and then zigzag fail into to the end of the week where we would see 9540-80 zone and recovery in September.

Sure I could be wrong, but I would find it strange to see massive down candle without some sort of smaller candle down and then a retrace.
Vix over 20 expect significant volatility swings.
  • #11,276
  • Aug 23, 2015 5:03pm Aug 23, 2015 5:03pm
DAX Futures down at the open 9970
  • #11,277
  • Aug 24, 2015 12:14am Aug 24, 2015 12:14am
Look for new lows today and some major losses. Index could lose 3-6% today.
  • #11,278
  • Aug 24, 2015 12:18am Aug 24, 2015 12:18am
Quoting stylinex
{quote} I took the gamble with some SPY puts, DOW Puts and Nasdaq puts for US market. I have been eyeing the Nikkei which has run from 13000 to over 20,000 without really seeing a pullback.If we do see a big correction that Nikkei may drop pretty hard and shorting that one could be very fruitful. I got a feeling we may see that 10,380 again before the end of the year for the DAX if things get worse from here. Do you know any Trading Platforms that allow trading of Thai,Taiwan Index and Currencies. Good time to short those these days.
Nikkei shorts finally paid off
  • #11,279
  • Aug 24, 2015 12:42am Aug 24, 2015 12:42am
Shanghai index drop 8% today....
My guess is global market will continue to go down. And China will face economy crisis...
  • #11,280
  • Aug 24, 2015 1:28am Aug 24, 2015 1:28am
DAX, Long @ 9'856, Target @ 10'850
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