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  • #1,014,641
  • Jul 29, 2015 4:06pm Jul 29, 2015 4:06pm
Quoting scottszone
{quote} Textbook answer is rate hike raises dollar, rate cut lowers dollar. But a rate hike is not a black and white issue if raising it hurts the overall economy. If money gets too expensive it causes an economic contraction, stock market drops, consumption declines, exports decrease, price of mortgage and business loans go up, deflation because of lower demand and less money supply, unemployment rises, etc. It's a balancing act. Fed needs to raise rates though because of the bubble. At the moment, they are out of ammo if it collapses. It's a tricky...

thank you Scott super valuable words so Ic an more and more understand all these dynamics
much appreciated
  • #1,014,642
  • Jul 29, 2015 4:12pm Jul 29, 2015 4:12pm
Quoting scottszone
{quote} Textbook answer is rate hike raises dollar, rate cut lowers dollar. But a rate hike is not a black and white issue if raising it hurts the overall economy. If money gets too expensive it causes an economic contraction, stock market drops, consumption declines, exports decrease, price of mortgage and business loans go up, deflation because of lower demand and less money supply, unemployment rises, etc. It's a balancing act. Fed needs to raise rates though because of the bubble. At the moment, they are out of ammo if it...
Hi interseting read, i posted this in gb thread taken from web ,, GB money numbers where down today .????.......M4 Money is widely referred as "broad money" or simply "money supply". The M4 Money Supply released by the Bank of England measures all the sterling in circulation, encompassing notes and coins as well as money held in bank accounts. It is considered as an important indicator of inflation, as monetary expansion adds pressure to the exchange rates. Normally, an acceleration of the M4 money is considered as positive for the GBP, whereas a decline is negative.
  • #1,014,643
  • Jul 29, 2015 4:20pm Jul 29, 2015 4:20pm
The market did not expect a rate hike today but the door is still open for september or december. . Due to this the USD rose
  • #1,014,644
  • Jul 29, 2015 4:30pm Jul 29, 2015 4:30pm
Quoting MarianneOslo
The market did not expect a rate hike today but the door is still open for september or december. . Due to this the USD rose
I dont get why there is a general perception about news events being the cause of direction determination in the most liquid market on the planet like forex. there is no chance of such a thing, just spikes.

Anyway theres no rate hike happening till at least Obama hits the bleachers.

Any expectations of a rate hike/or no hike have already been reflected in price. All around.

PA prevails until the third world war
  • #1,014,645
  • Jul 29, 2015 4:34pm Jul 29, 2015 4:34pm
Quoting muhammadfit
just follow the trend...
you're a genius , we need more people like you in FF
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #1,014,646
  • Jul 29, 2015 4:36pm Jul 29, 2015 4:36pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 0964 is still the one i need month closed below on// 0905, 0845 0775 even better
not much to see here.. pa still working on 0974.. need it closed as well as -0964.. any of those numbers above closed below, even better to take care of these..
since its still above 0974 with closes, bulls are still alive.. they were able to keep the close above.. in my case i am still short. because on a larger tf i see bearish.. on the day we have several lower closes.. this 5est close is below london roll.. that's the bear side.. so some R at 1000.4 is expected.. a drop below 0964 with closes than -0905 than a LL closing -0774 is the better scenario for me.. 2 days left in july trading. 200 pips is achievable.. the close at 0981 and the norm at 0786 is less than 200.. lets see how it plays
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,014,647
  • Jul 29, 2015 5:03pm Jul 29, 2015 5:03pm
http://www.breakingnews.com/topic/ma...-march-8-2014/
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,014,648
  • Jul 29, 2015 5:06pm Jul 29, 2015 5:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
http://www.breakingnews.com/topic/ma...-march-8-2014/
scary...
  • #1,014,649
  • Jul 29, 2015 5:16pm Jul 29, 2015 5:16pm
back to business now circus is over:nerd:
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #1,014,650
  • Jul 29, 2015 5:18pm Jul 29, 2015 5:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
some s/r on chart , the larger 0964 still here with its um as low atm.. yesterday a long after 1024 was what i saw.. today its waiting for 0914.. even so bounces to 1074/ 79 may be in the cards, those red ones are closes {image}
what i mean about 0974 is in this chart..it does need some closes below to kill bulls, the chart has it in the quoted post
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1438092151
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,014,651
  • Jul 29, 2015 5:31pm Jul 29, 2015 5:31pm
WTI crude long is attractive.. but my broker dont allow trades for comm. CFD...
  • #1,014,652
  • Jul 29, 2015 5:39pm Jul 29, 2015 5:39pm
Going to sleep now Good night
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,014,653
  • Jul 29, 2015 5:53pm Jul 29, 2015 5:53pm
Of all the currencies, NZD is the one I just don't understand. "Oh oh, bad news coming out! Let's party, up we go!" Seems like about half a dozen of those over the past week.
  • #1,014,654
  • Jul 29, 2015 5:55pm Jul 29, 2015 5:55pm
Quoting dan2boy
Going to sleep now Good night {image}
if gdp is good.. or last quarter revised up, this thing may move big..either way.. but first quarter gdp has been underestimated for 30 years.. so a revision higher is not out the question. good gdp is a reason to drop quick, since first q gdp was the reason we are here on a dt b/o that made it to 14xx
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,014,655
  • Jul 29, 2015 5:59pm Jul 29, 2015 5:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if gdp is good.. or last quarter revised up this thing may move big..either way.. but first quarter gdp has been underestimated for 30 years.. so a revision higher is not out the question
We talking about "Advance GDP q/q"? The calendar shows it was revised down (from +.2% to -.2%)... unless I'm looking at the wrong thing.
  • #1,014,656
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:08pm Jul 29, 2015 6:08pm
Quoting Ratmach
{quote} We talking about "Advance GDP q/q"? The calendar shows it was revised down (from +.2% to -.2%)... unless I'm looking at the wrong thing.
from 1 to - .2
it may have been revised up.. i think the original number was revised up on the actual a month later.
it can be revised further. first quarter is usually a anomally .. its usually revised higher

q2 # comes out august 27,


Thu Aug 27 7:30am USD Prelim GDP q/q

USD Unemployment Claims

http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php#closed
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #1,014,657
  • Jul 29, 2015 6:15pm Jul 29, 2015 6:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if gdp is good.. or last quarter revised up, this thing may move big..either way.. but first quarter gdp has been underestimated for 30 years.. so a revision higher is not out the question. good gdp is a reason to drop quick, since first q gdp was the reason we are here on a dt b/o that made it to 14xx
will stop before news... only a few small lots would hold through the news thanks for advise
  • #1,014,658
  • Jul 29, 2015 7:16pm Jul 29, 2015 7:16pm
Quoting NuNix
{quote} will close one of them if this hour closed below 1.0977 {image}
my next decision point on the downside is 1.0828
Dangdut is a music of my country
  • #1,014,659
  • Jul 29, 2015 7:22pm Jul 29, 2015 7:22pm
Quoting Pharm0r
Lots of reasons to add a short at 1.1028, if we have a small bounce before going lower than 1.0966/68
If this bounces at 1.0930, I'll consider 1.1028/30 to be a much stronger short
  • #1,014,660
  • Jul 29, 2015 7:29pm Jul 29, 2015 7:29pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} from 1 to - .2 it may have been revised up.. i think the original number was revised up on the actual a month later. it can be revised further. first quarter is usually a anomally .. its usually revised higher q2 # comes out august 27, Thu Aug 27 7:30am USD Prelim GDP q/q USD Unemployment Claims http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php#closed
Ah okay... thanks.
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