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  • #1,013,921
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:35am Jul 28, 2015 7:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}i dont think we will close this month above 0964 is my guess.. but i also see evidence 1.0 is near, and a fed cut or not dont matter much except timing. a china meltdown may be on the feds mind, a emu possible one can not be unnoticed with germany's china gdp connection.
''near 1.0'' I'm with you on this , but after I would expect prefect RUN to 1.20 area for yearly/quaterly/monthly Resistence , we could say bounce , we could say correction . and then go for 0.8xxxx
  • #1,013,922
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:37am Jul 28, 2015 7:37am
Quoting navk
{quote} I am tired of scalping. Want to try out this. Stop 30 pips. Profit 100 pips. Either loose 300 $ or make 800 $.
how about sell at 1.11 stop 1.15 TP 1.0 , stop 400 pips , TP 1.100 pips or more
  • #1,013,923
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:41am Jul 28, 2015 7:41am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} how about sell at 1.11 stop 1.15 TP 1.0 , stop 400 pips , TP 1.100 pips or more
If you are tired of scalping, yes, you can do. But hey.. you MM is bad.
Intraday only.
  • #1,013,924
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:48am Jul 28, 2015 7:48am
Quoting navk
{quote} To me a new bull trend has started. When 0850 held strong. what had happened today is just retracement for the bullish move yesterday. However I will stop below 0995.
1.1435 to 1.0807 move hit %50 1.1126 yesterday and bounce back today. Just a reminder.
  • #1,013,925
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:48am Jul 28, 2015 7:48am
see what is holding the downtrend in 4 hr chart.

will watchout 9 am candle.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 76 KB
Intraday only.
  • #1,013,926
  • Edited 8:05am Jul 28, 2015 7:50am | Edited 8:05am
Raising interest rates isn't all good for the dollar?? Stocks tend to decline (because the cost of money goes up), mortgage and loan costs go up, exports decrease (price of our goods go up globally at the same time global currencies decline against the dollar), it can cause deflation (lower cost of goods but also lower profits and income) or worse stagflation where the economy contracts and goes into a recession at the same time (and unemployment rate goes up).

The FOMC news might be a mixed bag, not a clear winner and they may be trying to decide between the lesser of two evils (not raising rates has its problems too like the bubble collapses and they can't do much about it). And they can always change their mind in the fall. Might cause more swings in the EU.

Also get the impression there may be some quiet intervention going on as "somebody" doesn't want the euro to depreciate too much against the dollar. Bad for both economies at a certain point.
  • #1,013,927
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:50am Jul 28, 2015 7:50am
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} 1.1435 to 1.0818 move hit %50 1.1126 yesterday and bounce back today. Just a reminder.
You noticed it, yes.

So, what is happening today is retracement, I am allowing 50 % retracement.
Intraday only.
  • #1,013,928
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:50am Jul 28, 2015 7:50am
If anyone is interested in gbp, this 'could' be interesting... beautiful fresh demand area below coming out of what appears to be a heavy supply area...
we'll see...a little late on the entry, but we must trade what we see!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 33 KB
  • #1,013,929
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:53am Jul 28, 2015 7:53am
Quoting navk
{quote} You noticed it, yes. So, what is happening today is retracement, I am allowing 50 % retracement.
You are allowing 50 retracement against higher tf retracement. That's why I would wait lower tf retracement first than may be long.
  • #1,013,930
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:57am Jul 28, 2015 7:57am
Probably 1.550
  • #1,013,931
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:58am Jul 28, 2015 7:58am
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} You are allowing 50 retracement against higher tf retracement. That's why I would wait lower tf retracement first than may be long.
Can you post your lower TF chart. For me, the 50 % retracement is on hourly chart, which is posted above.
Intraday only.
  • #1,013,932
  • Jul 28, 2015 7:58am Jul 28, 2015 7:58am
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} 1.1435 to 1.0807 move hit %50 1.1126 yesterday and bounce back today. Just a reminder.
Same thinking here too
The trend is your friend
  • #1,013,933
  • Jul 28, 2015 8:01am Jul 28, 2015 8:01am
should have resistance at 1035-1036
The trend is your friend
  • #1,013,934
  • Jul 28, 2015 8:02am Jul 28, 2015 8:02am
go bulls lets go back !!!!

this 1.1020 looks like the bulls hold it very well .
  • #1,013,935
  • Jul 28, 2015 8:02am Jul 28, 2015 8:02am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} back to ltl of hourly channel, 1st attempt edit @79 completed, see waht this hrly prints
2nd attempt 6679
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #1,013,936
  • Jul 28, 2015 8:02am Jul 28, 2015 8:02am
Quoting navk
see what is holding the downtrend in 4 hr chart. will watchout 9 am candle. {image}
nothing is holding anything. this is price. all it does is fill the orders and move up and down. there is one truth - the current price. everything else is a bull crap. can it bounce/reverse from 1030? yes it may. this is applicable to 1031,1032,1033... as well as 1029, 1028, 1027... etc
As Above, So Below
  • #1,013,937
  • Jul 28, 2015 8:04am Jul 28, 2015 8:04am
Double taps are more profitable for the money makers, it's gonna retrace. How much, time will tell.
  • #1,013,938
  • Jul 28, 2015 8:04am Jul 28, 2015 8:04am
Quoting navk
{quote} Can you post your lower TF chart. For me, the 50 % retracement is on hourly chart, which is posted above.
Both on D1
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 26 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily1.png Size: 25 KB
  • #1,013,939
  • Jul 28, 2015 8:06am Jul 28, 2015 8:06am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} nothing is holding anything. this is price. all it does is fill the orders and move up and down. there is one truth - the current price. everything else is a bull crap. can it bounce/reverse from 1030? yes it may. this is applicable to 1031,1032,1033... as well as 1029, 1028, 1027... etc
For me, the middle band seems to be holding the downmove in an uptrend in 4hr chart.

You can see how it has been holding at all times.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 86 KB
Intraday only.
  • #1,013,940
  • Jul 28, 2015 8:07am Jul 28, 2015 8:07am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} nothing is holding anything. this is price. all it does is fill the orders and move up and down. there is one truth - the current price. everything else is a bull crap. can it bounce/reverse from 1030? yes it may. this is applicable to 1031,1032,1033... as well as 1029, 1028, 1027... etc
The brokers rarely ask where the orders come from, and why buy so much one day and sell the next.
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