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  • #986,901
  • May 5, 2015 8:07am May 5, 2015 8:07am
Quoting kuroro001
As long as usdnok is not below 7,4 i won't short euro
Do you look price of cross each other?Thanks
  • #986,902
  • May 5, 2015 8:09am May 5, 2015 8:09am
Quoting pepsiez
{quote} USD non emplo change will take EU to 1.14+? but EU come bear 1.12?

Dunno about the employment data as i don't trade news. From what i gather from my amateur half baked chart, if we do reach 1.1230 or above on this round without pullback and with good voume....... i don't think it will be easy for the bears to bring it back to below 1.11 without reaching 1.14+ first.
  • #986,903
  • May 5, 2015 8:10am May 5, 2015 8:10am
Quoting Hickson
{quote} Yes ... So fat yankees can also load for the party
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  • #986,904
  • May 5, 2015 8:11am May 5, 2015 8:11am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Precisely because they want a bigger slice of a cake they over trade and over size in a trade and they cant sustain a trade going against them long enough and they end up going bust
I cannot make myself to close my short positions thinking this pair would go down if it still cannot go up despite terrible set of US data. Am I a part of the ones who is so greedy or cannot sustain the long position enough ?
money ain't shit,i'm the shit..
  • #986,905
  • May 5, 2015 8:12am May 5, 2015 8:12am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} what is the reaction ship between them ?
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} Do you look price of cross each other?Thanks
Even though people saying they are not correlated i use usdnok as a proxy for eurusd moves most of the time.

It works pretty fine for me

This morning they both reversed at the same time, and usdnok had better reversal PA
Same thing when it reversed 17/18th of march

And that's why 2 weeks ago i was looking at 1,12xx for euro. I checked usdnok which want below something near 7,35
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #986,906
  • May 5, 2015 8:23am May 5, 2015 8:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} later 1205 changed to 1226. 1224 was a high later from below. the blue is how norm would likely pace himself. it could bring 1277 but 1226ish is more classic. dont know if it bearish yet. but its following those footprints. i would have preferred 1317 area. not to say it will not get there, if so 1226 will change with pa. but at this moment bulls are allowing a normal retrace. its no different then the bears allowing 1344ish.... low atm is the um 2065 is still a larger s/r that as had a 1/4 close below. bbl {image}...
correction 1177
if 1226ish holds it. it may be the second hump after a high formation. and it would have respected norm for 0786 levels. posted charts show these and where we r atm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #986,907
  • May 5, 2015 8:25am May 5, 2015 8:25am
i dont wanna be an american idiot... green day
  • #986,908
  • May 5, 2015 8:34am May 5, 2015 8:34am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} {quote} Even though people saying they are not correlated i use usdnok as a proxy for eurusd moves most of the time. It works pretty fine for me This morning they both reversed at the same time, and usdnok had better reversal PA Same thing when it reversed 17/18th of march And that's why 2 weeks ago i was looking at 1,12xx for euro. I checked usdnok which want below something near 7,35
That's interesting! I just did an overlay with these two pairs, and you're right! Why, is this so? What drives this correlation? Thanks for the "head's up"!
  • #986,909
  • May 5, 2015 8:39am May 5, 2015 8:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} correction 1177 if 1226ish holds it. it may be the second hump after a high formation. and it would have respected norm for 0786 levels. posted charts show these and where we r atm
very unlikely it is going higher now. greece news was a dampner. expect to see lower levels now.
  • #986,910
  • May 5, 2015 8:40am May 5, 2015 8:40am
flat on EURUSD
  • #986,911
  • May 5, 2015 8:47am May 5, 2015 8:47am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} USD bears starting to take some speed all over the place it seems. Nice call. Also Gold tries 1200 again...+Oil. Edit: Also sold some EG - a little for flow out of EU into Brittain after elections.
Gold about 1200 and Oil bout 60. m5+m15 suggests correct now. Hope it doesnt go deep .
Edit: m15 invalidated, wasnt closed and reversed. Momentum up pretty strong.

Btw, am GU overload.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #986,912
  • May 5, 2015 8:51am May 5, 2015 8:51am
Quoting roadtogo
{quote} I cannot make myself to close my short positions thinking this pair would go down if it still cannot go up despite terrible set of US data. Am I a part of the ones who is so greedy or cannot sustain the long position enough ?
Start thinking about news releases as a way to touch technical levels and you will see why news release and price do not always correlate. Short of anything extreme, news releases are only there for good entries (not exits). Most of what is news to you is yesterday's paper to those who actually move markets.
The price will go where it has to go.
  • #986,913
  • May 5, 2015 9:02am May 5, 2015 9:02am
1125 next EU, short on retest of high.
  • #986,914
  • May 5, 2015 9:03am May 5, 2015 9:03am
Quoting Bmitchell
{quote} That's interesting! I just did an overlay with these two pairs, and you're right! Why, is this so? What drives this correlation? Thanks for the "head's up"!
I guess there is a link between them and Oil + USD correlation.

But i don't look at oil, it acts on his own to me
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #986,915
  • May 5, 2015 9:06am May 5, 2015 9:06am
Now is a SaP sellof after PMI data pulling us down to correct. Depends where USD sell cash flow comes from, but think are investors leaving country to invest in Europe QE. ..So correlation between SaP and USD could be a bit broken. Perhaps.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #986,916
  • May 5, 2015 9:08am May 5, 2015 9:08am
buy!
  • #986,917
  • May 5, 2015 9:09am May 5, 2015 9:09am
Quoting Nfp
buy!
LH, LL on 5 minute.. I will wait.. still bear power after latest news..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #986,918
  • May 5, 2015 9:11am May 5, 2015 9:11am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} LH, LL on 5 minute.. I will wait.. still bear power after latest news..
Yes mate, charts could align. Gold corrects from 1200 Oil from 60 and SaP goes down on PMI and it outweights investment cash flow so USD goes bull. My stops are ready 1,5089 and 1,1082.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #986,919
  • May 5, 2015 9:12am May 5, 2015 9:12am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yes mate, charts could align. Gold corrects from 1200 Oil from 60 and SaP goes down on PMI and it outweights investment cash flow so USD goes bull. My stops are ready 1,5089 and 1,1082.
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #986,920
  • May 5, 2015 9:13am May 5, 2015 9:13am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote}
Hello Ata abi,

what do you think of eur/try?
money ain't shit,i'm the shit..
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