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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #412,961
  • Apr 6, 2015 2:58am Apr 6, 2015 2:58am
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morning looking to break over the tl if not look back to 4868
  • #412,962
  • Apr 6, 2015 3:01am Apr 6, 2015 3:01am
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  • #412,963
  • Apr 6, 2015 5:41am Apr 6, 2015 5:41am
(technicals: 45 period closing price 1, 2 and 3 std dev. bollingers [ see 'three sigma rule' ], set up as 'red, white, and blue' [ flag colors, for memory's sake ])

Might blowout to the H4 3 sigma of 1.4984, which is 40 pips above~, and barely touch 1.50, giving shorts a psychological advantage as the 'BoE stays steady' expectation probably has jittery commitment and USDCAD might spread higher if you just look at simple PA USDCAD bar chart, which has an 'arc'-up kind of feel.

Short limit at 1.5006 might be an idea with a 15 or so pip stop, small size. Time based exit, before the BoE on Thursday.

Thoughts?
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  • #412,964
  • Apr 6, 2015 9:20am Apr 6, 2015 9:20am
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  • #412,965
  • Apr 6, 2015 10:22am Apr 6, 2015 10:22am
anyone know what is the fundamental market condition right now ?

politicians are offering best economical growth for people because of UK election next month
  • #412,966
  • Apr 6, 2015 11:11am Apr 6, 2015 11:11am
get ready for 5000
  • #412,967
  • Apr 6, 2015 11:16am Apr 6, 2015 11:16am
down until london open
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  • #412,968
  • Apr 6, 2015 11:23am Apr 6, 2015 11:23am
Quoting GrowthHack
anyone know what is the fundamental market condition right now ? politicians are offering best economical growth for people because of UK election next month
fundemental is:

gov. + cameron wants GBP depreciation.
USD is stronger than ever.
EUR/GBP should trace lower, but that creates trade imbalance as cameron told.

nothing new...
  • #412,969
  • Apr 6, 2015 12:04pm Apr 6, 2015 12:04pm
Quoting openyoureyes
{quote} fundemental is: gov. + cameron wants GBP depreciation. USD is stronger than ever. EUR/GBP should trace lower, but that creates trade imbalance as cameron told. nothing new...
Then do you think tomorrow will have fast touch around 1.50x before continue down trend?
Try don't lose pants never...
  • #412,970
  • Apr 6, 2015 1:26pm Apr 6, 2015 1:26pm
Couldn't break the 1.4980 zone. It will probably try again, and I suspect it will fail. My sentiment remains bearish. Failure to close above 1.5 will likely call for a harsh drop, exposing the 1.45 zone. My thoughts on the day.
  • #412,971
  • Apr 6, 2015 1:32pm Apr 6, 2015 1:32pm
Quoting braintheboss
{quote} Then do you think tomorrow will have fast touch around 1.50x before continue down trend?
there is chance for 4950
  • #412,972
  • Apr 6, 2015 1:33pm Apr 6, 2015 1:33pm
Quoting braintheboss
{quote} Then do you think tomorrow will have fast touch around 1.50x before continue down trend?

1.482x is more likely,
before london open; we have GBP - Services PMI.
  • #412,973
  • Apr 6, 2015 1:36pm Apr 6, 2015 1:36pm
Then this means bull pullback is close to finish this week, don't you?
Try don't lose pants never...
  • #412,974
  • Edited 2:41pm Apr 6, 2015 1:45pm | Edited 2:41pm
hard to tell,
nowadays I deal vanilla FX options only.

so I only watch news + fundementals.

watch USD Index close.

personally I don't enter any countertrend trades (vs USD)

what I do is:
trading USD against the weakest currency (DKK, SEK, NOK, [JPY]).

because some countries want their money weak,
others don't.
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  • #412,975
  • Apr 6, 2015 2:28pm Apr 6, 2015 2:28pm
http://forex-nawigator.biz/forum/day...26604-150.html

This was happening and replay
  • #412,976
  • Apr 6, 2015 2:48pm Apr 6, 2015 2:48pm
Weird day...
Try don't lose pants never...
  • #412,977
  • Apr 6, 2015 2:49pm Apr 6, 2015 2:49pm
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  • #412,978
  • Apr 6, 2015 4:22pm Apr 6, 2015 4:22pm
Quoting Kajos2250
{quote} GU H8 GMT+2 Not too much, narrowing, still in bearish marubozu, watching BO... Good luck! {image}
GU H8 GMT+2

After some game of bulls (sl for me), i hope the bearish engulfing reaction to the broken YPS1 again will take its effect and the bears weak up, but little confused by being in previous bullish marubozu.
Sell limit .4907, expecting new low...

Good luck!
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Anything is math!
  • #412,979
  • Apr 6, 2015 4:53pm Apr 6, 2015 4:53pm
don't be baffled by technicals,
fundementals > technicals

you can't change this :
USD bulls until rate hike,
USD ultra bulls after rate hike
  • #412,980
  • Apr 6, 2015 5:42pm Apr 6, 2015 5:42pm
I haven't posted here much (I usually post on the gbp/jpy threads)

Here's my two bits:

Currently long from 1.48780. Planned trade duration is intraday scalp; slated to be finished within a day or a few hours.

Hard SL at 1.48400, Manual soft SL subject to early closing depending on price action.
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