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EURUSD

  • #971,321
  • Mar 19, 2015 12:03pm Mar 19, 2015 12:03pm
Looks like the 640 or 620 break is important here, fighting over it...
All My Opinions, Are Just That, My Opinion!!!
  • #971,322
  • Mar 19, 2015 12:05pm Mar 19, 2015 12:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
0688 never touched... still some time.. my thought is a London roll under 0707 is bearish.. and under 0645 adds more.. for near future move, the 5 est close lower even stronger.
bear still in charge.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #971,323
  • Mar 19, 2015 12:08pm Mar 19, 2015 12:08pm
I think this is loading more shorts so that it could go up and dump them before resuming downward trend
  • #971,324
  • Mar 19, 2015 12:20pm Mar 19, 2015 12:20pm
Quoting FXSayWhat
Post March FOMC Thoughts So EU and UJ has just returned to their pre-FOMC position. {image} Many got wiped out through trading the FOMC within the first 30 minutes release. Many got margin called through trading the FOMC within the first 30 minutes release. Some even place their position RIGHT BEFORE the release, so they can "secure" their placement. Hope this would be a lesson to you all... If you got wiped out or margin called. Don't blame or bad mouth this industry. No one tried to fuck with you. We warned you NOT to trade the FOMC....
why would you even compare UJ and EU? Euro is digesting and trying to price it's new QE price right now. JPY is way past this point. This is 100% a E/U game right now. I think implicit in your comparison is an undermining in the sheer magnitude of this E/U digestion's effect on the market right now. And the fact that Germany is now openly accepting a leadership role in pledging EU stability only puts a black cloud on the short thesis.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #971,325
  • Mar 19, 2015 12:36pm Mar 19, 2015 12:36pm
Quoting Neqrotik
why would you even compare UJ and EU?
Neqrotik, read my post couple times more. If you still cannot get what i am trying to say there, feel free to PM me. I'd be happy to breaking it down excursively, just for you.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...63#post8150463
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #971,326
  • Mar 19, 2015 12:38pm Mar 19, 2015 12:38pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Y, am playing micro rejections of w/d/h4 levels, quick in and out.
Also this beeing TA, I have turned on Stochastic! My second favourite indicator. I use only two for TA, momentum and Stoch.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #971,327
  • Mar 19, 2015 12:38pm Mar 19, 2015 12:38pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} bear still in charge.
Yeap ...nothing to do until 1.068x is taken back up.

The main issue right now in play its 1.063x holding the roll (especially the weekly roll) as it will first set the low of the month and second it will kill all volatility (it has been a wild 2 days as expected with the FED) for a few weeks.

In simple words, the only way to keep the pair kicking in terms of short term volatility it's a very quick break down to the 1.050x handle ...

Lets see how it plays ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #971,328
  • Mar 19, 2015 12:46pm Mar 19, 2015 12:46pm
Quoting FXSayWhat
{quote} Neqrotik, read my post couple times more. If you still cannot get what i am trying to say there, feel free to PM me. I'd be happy to breaking it down excursively, just for you. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...63#post8150463
No need. But thanks. Yeah I see what your'e sayin.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #971,329
  • Mar 19, 2015 12:58pm Mar 19, 2015 12:58pm
Quoting Neqrotik
{quote} No need. But thanks. Yeah I see what your'e sayin.
Thank you, Negrotik.
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #971,330
  • Mar 19, 2015 1:05pm Mar 19, 2015 1:05pm
hope my question makes sense.... does the price of oil affect the EURUSD? I know it does, generally speaking, but in this market condition, isn't the EURUSD price mostly influenced by the ECB and their QE program?
  • #971,331
  • Mar 19, 2015 1:10pm Mar 19, 2015 1:10pm
Quoting FXSayWhat
{quote} Thank you, Negrotik.
Aye. We are all Gents here. Savages with Ties....xD
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
  • #971,332
  • Mar 19, 2015 1:30pm Mar 19, 2015 1:30pm
Quoting ws121
hope my question makes sense.... does the price of oil affect the EURUSD? I know it does, generally speaking, but in this market condition, isn't the EURUSD price mostly influenced by the ECB and their QE program?
EUR/USD is an impact directly correlated but minor in effect. OPEC output and demand are the strongest drivers of price and bear in mind that Oil per barrel is measured in USD therefore strong dollar = weaker oil price. You need to look at inventory levels, Geo-political risk and tankers at sea, any political risk in oil producing countries and armed conflict all play a part. So the answer to your question is yes and ....
  • #971,333
  • Mar 19, 2015 1:35pm Mar 19, 2015 1:35pm
Quoting ws121
hope my question makes sense.... does the price of oil affect the EURUSD? I know it does, generally speaking, but in this market condition, isn't the EURUSD price mostly influenced by the ECB and their QE program?
So the second part to your question. QE has a net de-valuing effect on price and if you add negative deposit rates, these are the primary drivers of the low EU... Then review Greece risk and its fairly sure that policy support the EU being weak for a while
  • #971,334
  • Mar 19, 2015 1:36pm Mar 19, 2015 1:36pm
Quoting Neqrotik
{quote} We are all Gents here. Savages with Ties....xD
That's how all of my girlfriends described about me, in the bed. Mutherfuker.
If u luv happiness, start w/ discomfort, make friends w/ pain and failure.
100 Hits 0 Miss All Time Return: 35.8%
  • #971,335
  • Mar 19, 2015 1:37pm Mar 19, 2015 1:37pm
Quoting JimmyC
{quote} EUR/USD is an impact directly correlated but minor in effect. OPEC output and demand are the strongest drivers of price and bear in mind that Oil per barrel is measured in USD therefore strong dollar = weaker oil price. You need to look at inventory levels, Geo-political risk and tankers at sea, any political risk in oil producing countries and armed conflict all play a part. So the answer to your question is yes and ....
ISIS conquered 1/3rd of Persia within 3 months and Oil price didnt even shiver. Something smells fishy.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #971,336
  • Mar 19, 2015 1:38pm Mar 19, 2015 1:38pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} ISIS conquered 1/3rd of Persia within 3 months and Oil price didnt even shiver. Something smells fishy.
Well, they kept the Oil flowing to fund operations
  • #971,337
  • Mar 19, 2015 1:39pm Mar 19, 2015 1:39pm
Quoting JimmyC
{quote} Well, they kept the Oil flowing to fund operations
Yup. But it also means they already had contracts on that Oil before attack. Takes some time to write a contract.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #971,338
  • Mar 19, 2015 1:40pm Mar 19, 2015 1:40pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yup. But it also means they already had contracts on that Oil before attack. Takes some time to write a contract.
Thats a very uncomfortable and valid point
  • #971,339
  • Mar 19, 2015 1:41pm Mar 19, 2015 1:41pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} ISIS conquered 1/3rd of Persia within 3 months and Oil price didnt even shiver. Something smells fishy.
It is not Persia, it is IraQ.
  • #971,340
  • Edited 1:55pm Mar 19, 2015 1:44pm | Edited 1:55pm
Quoting k.k
{quote} It is not Persia, it is IraQ.
Whatever, thats Persia, smartass.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
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