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MT4: how to change "EURUSD" to "#EURUSD"? 3 replies

Re: EurUsd short term 15 replies

did oanda just drop its spread for eurusd to 1 pip? 11 replies

EA for multiple lot limit order for EURUSD 0 replies

NFP nice bump up on EURUSD 2 replies

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  • Post #966,481
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:13am Mar 6, 2015 8:13am
  •  ill_be_back
  • Joined Sep 2011 | Status: Member | 6,363 Posts
Quoting Ken A
Disliked
{quote} Personally prefer to read the data first
Ignored
cancelled, could go higher will try 10 am fix
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
 
 
  • Post #966,482
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  • Mar 6, 2015 8:14am Mar 6, 2015 8:14am
  •  Ck87
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Oct 2012 | 3,968 Posts
Likely to bounce
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  • Post #966,483
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  • Mar 6, 2015 8:15am Mar 6, 2015 8:15am
  •  Ken A
  • Joined Jun 2012 | Status: ケンジ | 21,416 Posts
Quoting ill_be_back
Disliked
{quote} cancelled, could go higher will try 10 am fix
Ignored
Smart

NFP and UR are not the only deciding factor for USD at the same time mixed with CAD so the reaction could be unpredictable until it settled down

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  • Post #966,484
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  • Mar 6, 2015 8:19am Mar 6, 2015 8:19am
  •  Miguel.N
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Dec 2012 | 1,215 Posts
short ahead, and this time is going to be really furiouse, so bealt on ! -)

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  • Post #966,485
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  • Mar 6, 2015 8:21am Mar 6, 2015 8:21am
  •  palinco
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined May 2012 | 1,024 Posts
472 glued to this forum. wow. Something great happening in 10 mins.
 
 
  • Post #966,486
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  • Mar 6, 2015 8:21am Mar 6, 2015 8:21am
  •  skymania
  • | Joined Aug 2012 | Status: Member | 531 Posts
Quoting Miguel.N
Disliked
short ahead, and this time is going to be really furiouse ! -) {image}
Ignored
i have a feeling we gonna push a bit higher first to take out those weak shorts....
 
 
  • Post #966,487
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  • Mar 6, 2015 8:21am Mar 6, 2015 8:21am
  •  sisse
  • Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Technical Fundamentalist | 11,563 Posts
Quoting sisse
Disliked
Here we go again for a new ECB conference. Expecting a mild impact conference that will fully complete with NFP and the weekly roll....
On the fundamental side...
Ignored
And here we go for a new NFP day to complete the ECB combo.

On the fundamental side.

A slightly irrelevant [from a fundamental perspective] NFP expected with a bit lower than forecast numbers as the most probable outcome. Anything between 220K to 260K will be inline and wont have FA implications. Very straight forward reading today:

  1. Inline and or better than expected. Measured rally in equities, carrying dollar and leaving the FED hikes clearly set to Jun/Aug.
  2. An undershoot will trigger profit taking in equities and will add a fuel for the next FED meeting as the FED hawkish will be on the spotlight. Nothing major expected but enough to put a slowdown on the momentum of the current leg in euro.

Quote
Disliked
Simply two options in play but the actual play will extend until the weekly roll:

  1. An extension leg to 1.07xx or
  2. A wide chop range formation to 1.140x (from 1.10xx). [failure]

...

On the technical side

I underestimated the reaction on the QE ECB. Markets went for the full extension swing. For today only an undershoot will only delay the unovoidable (completing the extension to 1.07xx)

Quote
Disliked
Wide range make things a lot harder intraday but 3 options in play

  1. In general inline with expectation economic outlook and no inflation concerns play, a zigzag set in play. Fading 1.106x[check] to kill weak hands and option to 1.098x [check] before pushing up and settling for the daily roll around 1.108x for the NFP leg [FAILURE]...

...


For the actual flow and news play:

ZigZag final leg got truncated on the roll yesterday so in a bit of chasing mode for those who waited for NFP. A simple and straight forward map for today:

  1. Inline or slightly better NFP (not expected) will open 1.0707x with intermediate stop at 1.086x. Slightly better or overshoot is direct trade if you are not already in to a max entry point 1.098x . Inline will open 1.102x and slower choppy end of the session on the lows.
  2. An undershoot and we will have the low of the week in place for a direct move to 1.102x on profit taking with a max extension to 1.114x for next week.

From a TA pespective all card already dealt, only the NFP confirmation for the next mov

GL all trading NFP

ssisse

Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
 
 
  • Post #966,488
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  • Mar 6, 2015 8:23am Mar 6, 2015 8:23am
  •  Neqrotik
  • | Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Member | 980 Posts
Quoting Ken A
Disliked
{quote} Smart NFP and UR are not the only deciding factor for USD at the same time mixed with CAD so the reaction could be unpredictable until it settled down {image}
Ignored

The USD reminds me of AUD back in April 2013. Trade balance shit and super high currency. Not to mention the price of oil exacerbating the situation even more. The only difference btw AUD and USD is Monetary Policy (the one that counts anyway). We'll see just how much that helps the U.S weather the real storm.
The coincidental success is more dangerous than the expected failure
 
 
  • Post #966,489
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  • Mar 6, 2015 8:24am Mar 6, 2015 8:24am
  •  Ck87
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Oct 2012 | 3,968 Posts
WTI positioning on IGmarkets.... The crowd is usually..... right?
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  • Post #966,490
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  • Mar 6, 2015 8:32am Mar 6, 2015 8:32am
  •  mkvy
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 2,226 Posts
oh well, another push down?
Retail Broker, Institution and Bank Butt Whipper
Moment of Truth - You have no clue All Time Profit: -£6,701
 
 
  • Post #966,491
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:34am Mar 6, 2015 8:34am
  •  pistacho
  • | Joined Nov 2014 | Status: Member | 55 Posts
boom.. headshot!
"The Public Sucks" - George Carlin
 
 
  • Post #966,492
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:35am Mar 6, 2015 8:35am
  •  HelloOz
  • | Joined Oct 2012 | Status: sutatS | 3,461 Posts
fxtyrant is going to watch 50 shades of grey and unleashing his whip tonight..
 
 
  • Post #966,493
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:35am Mar 6, 2015 8:35am
  •  sisse
  • Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Technical Fundamentalist | 11,563 Posts
Quoting sisse
Disliked
For the actual flow and news play:

  1. Inline or slightly better NFP (not expected) will open 1.0707x with intermediate stop at 1.086x. Slightly better or overshoot is direct trade if you are not already in to a max entry point 1.098x . Inline will open 1.102x and slower choppy end of the session on the lows.
  2. An undershoot and we will have the low of the week in place for a direct move to 1.102x on profit taking with a max extension to 1.114x for next week.

Ignored
Superb numbers !!!!! and that was quick. Done to the first target. A tick below 1.086x opens clean sweep !!! to 1.070x with NY opening range...

Well done all bears from above ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
 
 
  • Post #966,494
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:36am Mar 6, 2015 8:36am
  •  afhacker
  • Joined Dec 2014 | Status: Member | 229 Posts
Thanks NFP!!!
Without an edge MM is useless!
 
 
  • Post #966,495
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:36am Mar 6, 2015 8:36am
  •  mkvy
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 2,226 Posts
take the elevator to the ground floor please!
Retail Broker, Institution and Bank Butt Whipper
Moment of Truth - You have no clue All Time Profit: -£6,701
 
 
  • Post #966,496
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:36am Mar 6, 2015 8:36am
  •  21vs7
  • Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Foook Bollinger-dr.Kegel knows! | 9,705 Posts
Quoting 21vs7
Disliked
{quote} doin nothing man...been awesome weekend and im still in chill mode here. some errons to take care off, otherwizze 1,087 would be nice. but atm eurxxx supported.
Ignored
we are here.
 
 
  • Post #966,497
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:37am Mar 6, 2015 8:37am
  •  egkid
  • Joined Apr 2008 | Status: Member | 9,414 Posts
Quoting egkid
Disliked
{quote} like orange but mine 1.0980 edit: my sell limit @ 1.0980 but need to see it when news coming not now time important to my way of trading
Ignored
Quoting egkid
Disliked
{quote} 1.0885 i will b waiting it
Ignored
Target hit
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  • Post #966,498
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:37am Mar 6, 2015 8:37am
  •  teddybomber
  • | Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Member | 295 Posts
Yeehaw
 
 
  • Post #966,499
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:37am Mar 6, 2015 8:37am
  •  mkvy
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 2,226 Posts
Quoting HelloOz
Disliked
fxtyrant is going to watch 50 shades of grey and unleashing his whip tonight..
Ignored
yep, i had my whipping before! but then came around the right way
Retail Broker, Institution and Bank Butt Whipper
Moment of Truth - You have no clue All Time Profit: -£6,701
 
 
  • Post #966,500
  • Quote
  • Mar 6, 2015 8:37am Mar 6, 2015 8:37am
  •  Ck87
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Oct 2012 | 3,968 Posts
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