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  • #963,001
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:40pm Feb 23, 2015 2:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the Saudis have more pain tolerance then anyone else. they alone know where their coffers stand. the price is already down. they can bleed the (isis), Iranians and Russians slowly further by keeping things the same. or destroy some governments quickly with a production increase.. i have no doubt the plan is pain for the Russians and the Iranians. after all, take their oil money, and they have less to cause M.E. mischief. i dont doubt the Saudis can inflict more pain. they just need to be careful, because the vacuum left behind may prove...
You can sum it up like this: It was cold war 1 and it was scenario they played, it is cold war 2 and they use copy paste function.
  • #963,002
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:41pm Feb 23, 2015 2:41pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Do you trade USDCAD? Draw a fib from the very top to the very bottom and you may find something interesting right now
looked earlier
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #963,003
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:42pm Feb 23, 2015 2:42pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Do you trade USDCAD? Draw a fib from the very top to the very bottom and you may find something interesting right now
Another test and rejection of 0.5 would be great.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #963,004
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:43pm Feb 23, 2015 2:43pm
Quoting sisse
... The only ones still not playing ball are equities. ES is just testing last mini breakout point so i don't expect a selloff on todays close rather a compress chop zone first before a break down...without equities playing ball...there is no party for this leg in my books. sisse
watching for a V-bottom to take shape in UST's, recent three-week sell-off was about the largest seen, ever, and equities are floating on a sea of cash if bonds are gonna keep bleeding. As usual the bots and us will be hanging on the Yellen's every word midweek.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #963,005
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:45pm Feb 23, 2015 2:45pm
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Another test and rejection of 0.5 would be great.
Trend is up, already had a .50 test in 2008, back below 23....now back at 50, 1.30477 is the one to beat, and it's a mid

2015 reasons are much different than 2008
  • #963,006
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:48pm Feb 23, 2015 2:48pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Trend is up, already had a .50 test in 2008, back below 23....now back at 50, 1.30477 is the one to beat, and it's a mid 2015 reasons are much different than 2008
For long I'd prefer a W close above 50 untill then I'll short at 2600/2640 and a last spike (if any) to 2680.
Attached Image
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #963,007
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:48pm Feb 23, 2015 2:48pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} looked earlier
Did you post about it? I don't see anything...
  • #963,008
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:48pm Feb 23, 2015 2:48pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Do you trade USDCAD? Draw a fib from the very top to the very bottom and you may find something interesting right now
possibly on a different page.. i was looking at monthly.. 2008 um, and near current level. need 400 more to =
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #963,009
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:52pm Feb 23, 2015 2:52pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} possibly on a different page.. i was looking at monthly.. 2008 um, and near current level. need 400 more to =
I wish they all followed as well as EU

In 2008 1.30477 and both lower mofu followed exceptionally well. (speaking of ucad on weekly)
  • #963,010
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:52pm Feb 23, 2015 2:52pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Did you post about it? I don't see anything...
no, i only posted about oil and 94.86.. cad has some more room up as oil down.. so i left it alone.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #963,011
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:57pm Feb 23, 2015 2:57pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} I wish they all followed as well as EU In 2008 1.30477 and both mofus followed exceptionally well. (speaking of ucad on weekly)
no such thing an idiot once told me.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 17 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #963,012
  • Feb 23, 2015 3:06pm Feb 23, 2015 3:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} no such thing an idiot once told me. {image}
No such thing as aliens either.

I'm about 20 pips different on my charts- still the same trade on that TF anyway.

Broken down more, 1.30584 (on your charts) allowed entries on the LM twice. Damn that would have been a nice trade. Maybe round 2 soon.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADWeekly.png Size: 38 KB
  • #963,013
  • Feb 23, 2015 3:15pm Feb 23, 2015 3:15pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} ..... bots and us will be hanging on the Yellen's every word


We closed at the very highs again in stocks.

The FED surprise dovish tone last minutes gave that extra and not needed boost in equities (bleeding bonds as you well mentioned). We are in overdose mode in equites and in non sustainable levels in bonds. Its amazing how easy and fast the bastards forget the risks of going wild and blind.

In any case, there is every fundamental reason to have a healthy pullback before we burst on overdose but at the same time I find hardly any reason to trigger profit taking in equites. From QE to dovish FED and negative rates across the world and even the only "risk" play via Greece is fading in positive news at the end...

Bastards like usual in happy times are playing with fire ...i hope we don't get burnt as the the world economy (except the US) is very feeble and a strong wind could trigger the dominoes to fall...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #963,014
  • Feb 23, 2015 3:24pm Feb 23, 2015 3:24pm
Quoting maximinus
{quote} For long I'd prefer a W close above 50 untill then I'll short at 2600/2640 and a last spike (if any) to 2680. {image}
1.22053 is the area I'd look to long, best RR.

Likewise a short @ 1.30477 may be worth a shot, but against trend, both should give you enough reaction to get BE
  • #963,015
  • Feb 23, 2015 3:33pm Feb 23, 2015 3:33pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} We closed at the very highs again in stocks. The FED surprise dovish tone last minutes gave that extra and not needed boost in equities (bleeding bonds as you well mentioned). We are in overdose mode in equites and in non sustainable levels in bonds. Its amazing how easy and fast the bastards forget the risks of going wild and blind. In any case, there is every fundamental reason to have a healthy pullback before we burst on overdose but at the same time I find hardly any reason to trigger profit taking in equites. From QE to dovish FED...
there will be new dax ath´s - goldy locks scenario: low inflation, high liquidity, cheap oil, decreasing €, dragi put. -0,21% rate on bubills today, 5% stocks in german pension funds portfolio on average, putting presure on them to buy stocks with 2-4% dividends to meet their financial goals. bonds are interest-free risk. dax to take out 12.000 in 2015, 13.200 in 2016. stocks are the best perfoming asset class since 2008, some trippled from that point. not to own them is a performance risk.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #963,016
  • Feb 23, 2015 3:38pm Feb 23, 2015 3:38pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} 1.22053 is the area I'd look to long, best RR. Likewise a short @ 1.30477 may be worth a shot, but against trend, both should give you enough reaction to get BE
Arff i'm not an orthodox mofu trader, furthermore I dont trade the normal fib levels but 25/50/75 and to complicate further I want to be exposed the least possible time in the market which leads me to identify the levels where the price will bounce, I dont care of the main trend, coz I exit most of my positions at LN lunchbreak, LN close, NY break etc... I have no PATIENCE

I agree with your long entry level for long term player.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #963,017
  • Feb 23, 2015 3:44pm Feb 23, 2015 3:44pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #963,018
  • Feb 23, 2015 3:48pm Feb 23, 2015 3:48pm
Quoting GlobalMacro
{quote} Did you see that 142-tick spike to 50.55 on APR contracts.... ? ... man I'm telling ye ... just placing limits in retracement zones and .. bam...lottery jackpot it is in this jittery markets ... beats waiting & waiting for breakouts ...
Yep, agreed...
  • #963,019
  • Feb 23, 2015 4:08pm Feb 23, 2015 4:08pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
baby PTL is in the house...
Congrats PTL. I wish good life to baby PTL with mom&dad
  • #963,020
  • Feb 23, 2015 4:09pm Feb 23, 2015 4:09pm
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Arff i'm not an orthodox mofu trader, furthermore I dont trade the normal fib levels but 25/50/75 and to complicate further I want to be exposed the least possible time in the market which leads me to identify the levels where the price will bounce, I dont care of the main trend, coz I exit most of my positions at LN lunchbreak, LN close, NY break etc... I have no PATIENCE I agree with your long entry level for long term player.
lmao that's my new status
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